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Old 07-11-2010, 09:54 PM   #61
Falls City Beer
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Re: Not going to panic, but something I don't understand

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Originally Posted by mdccclxix View Post
Per Lance's blog, they lead the league in being shut out - 10 times.

Halladay
Santana
Rowland-Smith
Lee
Kuroda
Cain
Paulino
Carpenter
LeBlanc
With only one exception, those are some tough customers.
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Old 07-11-2010, 09:55 PM   #62
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Re: Not going to panic, but something I don't understand

Slugging dependent team. That usually leads to major explosions and major slumps.

It is what it is.
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Old 07-11-2010, 09:57 PM   #63
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Re: Not going to panic, but something I don't understand

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Slugging dependent team. That usually leads to major explosions and major slumps.

It is what it is.
That's why I've wanted to stand by Cabrera who was slap hitting and wasting tons of pitches for the first 2 months. He's made it awfully hard to stand with him though.
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Old 07-11-2010, 10:15 PM   #64
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Re: Not going to panic, but something I don't understand

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That's why I've wanted to stand by Cabrera who was slap hitting and wasting tons of pitches for the first 2 months. He's made it awfully hard to stand with him though.
Don't make the mistake of thinking low slugging means productive. This team needs guys that get on base and slug the ball, duh. Cabrera does neither.

As of right now the future success of the Reds offense depends on Gomes, Rolens back, and whoever hits 2nd.

I'm not exactly optimistic about this offense.
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Old 07-11-2010, 10:53 PM   #65
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Re: Not going to panic, but something I don't understand

Yeah... IMO, the best places this team can create a change would be at SS and RF...

Here are a few guys I'm looking at that I think could make a bit of an impact without breaking the bank...

1.) Alex Gordon... Perfect time to buy-low on a player. Is still only 26 years old, and gives you a player with upside at third base when you need to spell Rolen...
http://web.minorleaguebaseball.com/m...pbp&pid=460086

2.) Stephen Drew... With the DBacks selling, this would be a HUGE get. Can hit pretty much anywhere in the line-up, but especially seems to thrive from the lead-off or two holes... IMO, the perfect line-up would be Drew, Phillips, Votto, Bruce, Rolen, Gomes, Stubbs....

3.) Dexter Fowler... Young and Raw, but has top of the line speed, and knows how to take a walk...
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Old 07-11-2010, 10:58 PM   #66
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Re: Not going to panic, but something I don't understand

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By the way, the Reds scored plenty of runs on this trip; as recently as Friday they scored 7 in one game...
Is there a way to assess how well the Reds hit in their blow-out victories compared to their lowest scoring games and/or compared to games in which they score their average number of runs per game (presently 4.8 runs or 5.0 rounded off)?

One would probably need to establish some arbitrary parameters about the number of runs that would qualify for the three categories (low, average, and high number of runs per game).

For example, an average game could be considered as being between 4.0 and 6.0 runs (calling below 4.0 runs a low scoring game and above 6.0 runs a high scoring game) and then compare the team's OBS, SLG, OPS etc. among those three categories.

If might be self-evident, but my gut feeling is that the Reds' hitters (perhaps this is true for all teams in all seasons) really inflate their stats in the blow-out games and are relatively flat in their average games and below average scoring.

If so, then the hitters perhaps should not be counted on (against contenders or playoff opponents) as much as the -- superficial -- stats appear to make them now look.

Last edited by Far East; 07-11-2010 at 11:03 PM.
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