Best Case Scenario - RedsZone.com - Cincinnati Reds Fans' Home for Baseball Discussion

Mario-Rijo · 08-19-2010, 06:22 AM

Not trying to get ahead of things here but just trying to figure out what our best chances are to move beyond the 1st round of the playoffs should we make them. Doing it early so we can hope/root for the best case scenario to happen to give us that best chance to proceed beyond the 1st round and even to the W/S.

What do you think that scenario is?

I think obviously we are gonna have to root for the teams who are more well rounded and less dominant in any one area. The least dominant and/or less established TOR's makes sense as this seems to be the weak link in our club for the playoffs.

Atlanta as winner of the East.
San Diego as winner of the West.
Cincinnati as Winner of the Central.

S.F. as the winner of the W/C.

IMO we have a better chance of beating these teams than any others who still have a realistic shot to make the playoffs. S.F. has the best rotation but weaker offenses IMO than St. Louis or Philly. FWIW Though I think it's likely gonna end up like this.

Philly in the East
S.F. in the West
Reds..

Atlanta as W/C

A quick glance at the schedules shows S.D. with the toughest schedule IMO for the remainder of the season. And if I were a betting man I'd guess Philly has the best record and faces Atlanta. I think we can beat the Giants, sure they have excellent starting pitching but their offense is so-so at best. I also don't give a clear advantage to the Braves or Padres over us, JMO but I think Philly, once in the playoffs would be far tougher to beat.

So IMO the best case scenario is for the W/C to come out of the West and Atlanta to somehow eek out the East. Preferably like so...

Atlanta (best record)
Vs.
San Francisco (W/C)

S.D. (better record)
Vs.
Cincy (worst division winner record)

Atlanta
Vs.
Cincy

Playing more games away hurts the offense a bit but gives the pitching the best bet to succeed. Does anyone think we'd be better off if we had home field advantage? If Philly and/or St. Louis make the playoffs they have the best chance of winning a short series against everyone else.

Redhook · 08-19-2010, 07:36 AM

Way too early for this. Still 25% of the season left.

Mario-Rijo · 08-19-2010, 11:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redhook

Way too early for this. Still 25% of the season left.

Apparently others concur. Not too soon to hope for the best case scenario. Especially when the only challenger to us making the playoffs are looking worse all the time. Watching those Cardinal highlights Pujols was looking pretty bad with that hip issue or whatever it is he is dealing with, was noticeably having a tough time running. That IMO would be a deathnail for them.

redsfan30 · 08-19-2010, 11:46 AM

I certainly am rooting for the Braves in the East. Philly would be scary should they get in.

GoReds · 08-19-2010, 12:12 PM

I would rather not face St. Louis in the playoffs. Seems like we inspire them to play above their heads.

Philadelphia also worries me as does San Diego, but not to the same degree.

So, Cincy, Atlanta, San Diego and San Francisco would be ideal.

Spitball · 08-19-2010, 09:54 PM

Really, I would most like the Reds to face the Braves, Giants, or the Padres in the playoffs. I think they have at least a decent chance against those teams.

The Phillies...they scare me with the top of their rotation. Same with the Cardinals.

The Voice of IH · 08-19-2010, 10:00 PM

I am not involved in all the stats and such, but I think the best case scenario is
Braves- East
Reds- Central
SD- West or Wild Card
SF- West or Wild Card

I think the Reds would have a chance against any of these teams. They would not sweep anyone of them, but they would be able to hang in their and possibly win it.

GADawg · 08-19-2010, 10:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redhook

Way too early for this. Still 25% of the season left.

ah c'mon...it's a forum for discussion...we could discuss the 2016 postseason if the mood hit us!

I hope we play the SanAntonio Devil Rays that October!!

15fan · 08-19-2010, 10:59 PM

Nothing would make me happier than to exorcise the demons that have been haunting me since I moved here a few months before the 1995 NLCS.

(Reggie blankety blank Sanders, I'm talking about YOU.)

But I also know that the Braves have generally had their way with the Reds over the past, oh, 15 years or so. I've seen the Reds lose here in just about every way imaginable. And with it being Cox's swan song, it's going to be a tough gig to knock out the Braves and send him into retirement.

Spitball · 08-19-2010, 11:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GADawg

ah c'mon...it's a forum for discussion...we could discuss the 2016 postseason if the mood hit us!

It has been more than ten years since Reds fans have had the opportunity to discuss such matters in August. It is not too early to discuss such matters.

08-19-2010, 06:22 AM	#1
Mario-Rijo HOF CLASS OF '12 Join Date: Apr 2005 Location: Springfield, Ohio Posts: 9,003	Best Case Scenario Not trying to get ahead of things here but just trying to figure out what our best chances are to move beyond the 1st round of the playoffs should we make them. Doing it early so we can hope/root for the best case scenario to happen to give us that best chance to proceed beyond the 1st round and even to the W/S. What do you think that scenario is? I think obviously we are gonna have to root for the teams who are more well rounded and less dominant in any one area. The least dominant and/or less established TOR's makes sense as this seems to be the weak link in our club for the playoffs. Atlanta as winner of the East. San Diego as winner of the West. Cincinnati as Winner of the Central. S.F. as the winner of the W/C. IMO we have a better chance of beating these teams than any others who still have a realistic shot to make the playoffs. S.F. has the best rotation but weaker offenses IMO than St. Louis or Philly. FWIW Though I think it's likely gonna end up like this. Philly in the East S.F. in the West Reds.. Atlanta as W/C A quick glance at the schedules shows S.D. with the toughest schedule IMO for the remainder of the season. And if I were a betting man I'd guess Philly has the best record and faces Atlanta. I think we can beat the Giants, sure they have excellent starting pitching but their offense is so-so at best. I also don't give a clear advantage to the Braves or Padres over us, JMO but I think Philly, once in the playoffs would be far tougher to beat. So IMO the best case scenario is for the W/C to come out of the West and Atlanta to somehow eek out the East. Preferably like so... Atlanta (best record) Vs. San Francisco (W/C) S.D. (better record) Vs. Cincy (worst division winner record) Atlanta Vs. Cincy Playing more games away hurts the offense a bit but gives the pitching the best bet to succeed. Does anyone think we'd be better off if we had home field advantage? If Philly and/or St. Louis make the playoffs they have the best chance of winning a short series against everyone else. __________________ 2008 Reds Draft Prospect RZ Scouting Reports 2009 Reds Draft Prospect RZ Scouting Reports 2010 Reds Draft Prospect RZ Scouting Reports "You can't let praise or criticism get to you. It's a weakness to get caught up in either one." --Woody Hayes Last edited by Mario-Rijo; 08-19-2010 at 06:25 AM.

08-19-2010, 07:36 AM	#2
Redhook Miami Redhawks Join Date: May 2006 Location: Cincy Posts: 2,247	Re: Best Case Scenario Way too early for this. Still 25% of the season left. __________________ "....the two players I liked watching the most were Barry Larkin and Eric Davis. I was suitably entertained by their effortless skill that I didn't need them crashing into walls like a squirrel on a coke binge." - dsmith421 www.kylevoska.com - Golfer? Check out my blog for golf tips.

08-19-2010, 11:46 AM	#4
redsfan30 Member Join Date: Nov 2002 Posts: 7,546	Re: Best Case Scenario I certainly am rooting for the Braves in the East. Philly would be scary should they get in. __________________ "Strickland Propane... Taste the meat, not the heat." - Hank Hill

08-19-2010, 12:12 PM	#5
GoReds Cruisin' for trouble Join Date: May 2000 Location: Fredericksburg, VA Posts: 3,287	Re: Best Case Scenario I would rather not face St. Louis in the playoffs. Seems like we inspire them to play above their heads. Philadelphia also worries me as does San Diego, but not to the same degree. So, Cincy, Atlanta, San Diego and San Francisco would be ideal.

08-19-2010, 09:54 PM	#6
Spitball Member Join Date: Apr 2000 Posts: 5,498	Re: Best Case Scenario Really, I would most like the Reds to face the Braves, Giants, or the Padres in the playoffs. I think they have at least a decent chance against those teams. The Phillies...they scare me with the top of their rotation. Same with the Cardinals. __________________ "The trouble with trouble...it usually starts out as fun." - anonymous

08-19-2010, 10:00 PM	#7
The Voice of IH Lets Go 'Bird' Hunting Join Date: Jun 2009 Location: The University of Akron Posts: 1,108	Re: Best Case Scenario I am not involved in all the stats and such, but I think the best case scenario is Braves- East Reds- Central SD- West or Wild Card SF- West or Wild Card I think the Reds would have a chance against any of these teams. They would not sweep anyone of them, but they would be able to hang in their and possibly win it. __________________ Hey Sparky! Indian Hill English teachers taught me everything I know! Numbers behind the Debate: Small Ball vs. Long Ball

08-19-2010, 10:59 PM	#9
15fan Member Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Atlanta, GA Posts: 5,467	Re: Best Case Scenario Nothing would make me happier than to exorcise the demons that have been haunting me since I moved here a few months before the 1995 NLCS. (Reggie blankety blank Sanders, I'm talking about YOU.) But I also know that the Braves have generally had their way with the Reds over the past, oh, 15 years or so. I've seen the Reds lose here in just about every way imaginable. And with it being Cox's swan song, it's going to be a tough gig to knock out the Braves and send him into retirement.

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