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Old 08-15-2010, 08:18 PM   #16
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Re: Reds' magic number
45
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Old 08-25-2010, 08:35 PM   #17
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Re: Reds' magic number
35

6 to eliminate those pesky Pirates.
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Old 08-26-2010, 09:17 AM   #18
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Re: Reds' magic number
34. Thanks Pirates!
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Old 08-26-2010, 11:45 PM   #19
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Re: Reds' magic number
33.
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Old 08-28-2010, 01:24 AM   #20
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Old 08-28-2010, 10:38 PM   #21
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Old 08-29-2010, 11:43 AM   #22
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Re: Reds' magic number
Here's a site designed about a decade ago with the help of one of my friends at Cal-Berkeley. It's more accurate than the other magic number sites I've seen because it writes the MLB schedule into the formula. The numbers represent the number necessary to clinch a "tie" and force a one-game playoff (like in 1999). So I always add 1 to the magic number.

http://riot.ieor.berkeley.edu/~baseb...al_league.html

At start of play on the morning of August 29, the Reds' magic number for reaching the playoffs is only 29.
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Old 08-29-2010, 04:16 PM   #23
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Re: Reds' magic number
29!
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Old 08-29-2010, 04:21 PM   #24
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Re: Reds' magic number
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29!
If the Reds play at the pace they're on, going 18-14 the rest of the way, the Cardinals have to go 24-10 to tie and 25-9 to win the division outright.
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Old 08-29-2010, 04:23 PM   #25
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Re: Reds' magic number
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If the Reds play at the pace they're on, going 18-14 the rest of the way, the Cardinals have to go 24-10 to tie and 25-9 to win the division outright.
In other words, the division is really the Reds to win right now and it would take a pretty sizeable collapse to lose it.
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Old 08-29-2010, 04:45 PM   #26
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In other words, the division is really the Reds to win right now and it would take a pretty sizeable collapse to lose it.
Shhhhhhhh!
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Old 08-29-2010, 04:51 PM   #27
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Re: Reds' magic number
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In other words, the division is really the Reds to win right now and it would take a pretty sizeable collapse to lose it.
I think a lot depends on the series with the Cards. If the Cards sweep they can make up a ton of ground fast. Then after that series the Reds go to Colorado for 4 games. It's a tough week stretch.
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Old 08-29-2010, 05:00 PM   #28
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Re: Reds' magic number
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I think a lot depends on the series with the Cards. If the Cards sweep they can make up a ton of ground fast. Then after that series the Reds go to Colorado for 4 games. It's a tough week stretch.
True but the Cards will NEED to sweep. Otherwise, they're going to have an uphill battle.
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Old 08-29-2010, 05:02 PM   #29
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Shhhhhhhh!
I didn't wanna say it, but it's true. But as others have mentioned, we'll really have a good idea exactly one week from now.
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Old 08-29-2010, 06:06 PM   #30
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Re: Reds' magic number
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In other words, the division is really the Reds to win right now and it would take a pretty sizeable collapse to lose it.
To quote Ace Rothstein in Casino

"In so many words, yes."
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