Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

[bucksfan2]

Originally Posted by jojo

Hopefully no one has waited until the last minute to buy their tickets.....

I heard a report on StubHub about the game. What a cluster........

[gonelong]

Originally Posted by Boston Red

The Vegas books are decidedly on the side of Oregon. They are taking a bath if Auburn wins by more than three.

[simplified]
From how I understand it the line moves because money comes in on one side or the other. The initial line is important because the book makes money 10% (or whatever) on the losers. If they can keep 1/2 the money on each side, they win every time. If the line moves alot from the initial, they can get themselves in a spot where they can't control both sides of the bet as well.
[/simplified]

If you are talking about something else, I'd love to add to my knowledge base. Can't be a Renaissance man if you don't know something about everything.

[Boston Red]

Originally Posted by gonelong

[simplified]
From how I understand it the line moves because money comes in on one side or the other. The initial line is important because the book makes money 10% (or whatever) on the losers. If they can keep 1/2 the money on each side, they win every time. If the line moves alot from the initial, they can get themselves in a spot where they can't control both sides of the bet as well.
[/simplified]

If you are talking about something else, I'd love to add to my knowledge base. Can't be a Renaissance man if you don't know something about everything.

The line started at Auburn -3. 70% of the money came in on Auburn. The line dropped to Auburn -1. Vegas is taking the Ducks tonight.

[kaldaniels]

Originally Posted by Boston Red

The line started at Auburn -3. 70% of the money came in on Auburn. The line dropped to Auburn -1. Vegas is taking the Ducks tonight.

That doesn't make sense.

[Boston Red]

It makes sense if the house is inviting even more money to come in on Auburn. Their objective isn't always to even up the amount of money on both sides.

[kaldaniels]

Originally Posted by Boston Red

It makes sense if the house is inviting even more money to come in on Auburn. Their objective isn't always to even up the amount of money on both sides.

Why would they want to do that?

Unless the fix is in....

[kaldaniels]

I will say I don't understand how Vegas sets/adjusts the spreads completely.

Of the 4 upcoming games, only 1 has a 50/50 split on the spread...the others have variances from 16 to 38 percent....and I view these stats regularly and this is typical.

I always hear how vegas just wants a 50/50 split...but according my chart from sportsbook.com, that is not the case.

[Brutus]

Originally Posted by kaldaniels

I will say I don't understand how Vegas sets/adjusts the spreads completely.

Of the 4 upcoming games, only 1 has a 50/50 split on the spread...the others have variances from 16 to 38 percent....and I view these stats regularly and this is typical.

I always hear how vegas just wants a 50/50 split...but according my chart from sportsbook.com, that is not the case.

Agreed.

Vegas just wants a line to be attractive to a majority of people. They want it to look like an easily attainable line. Once the line gets moving in a direction because of all the action on that line, the momentum slowly turns the other direction and others jump in thinking there's too much focus on the 'trendy' pick. The pendulum swings.

With all that said... Quack. Quack. Quack.

[AintlifeGrande]

Originally Posted by Brutus the Pimp

Agreed.

Vegas just wants a line to be attractive to a majority of people. They want it to look like an easily attainable line. Once the line gets moving in a direction because of all the action on that line, the momentum slowly turns the other direction and others jump in thinking there's too much focus on the 'trendy' pick. The pendulum swings.

With all that said... Quack. Quack. Quack.

Amen to that Brutus.With me being a die hard Alabama fan,I would rather rot than pull for the Barners.To heck with this this ''fan of the conference''crap.Oregon could have Charles Manson QB,Bernie Madoff in the backfield,and Hitler split wide to the left,and I would still never pull for Auburn.

[jojo]

Originally Posted by AintlifeGrande

[/B]



Amen to that Brutus.With me being a die hard Alabama fan,I would rather rot than pull for the Barners.To heck with this this ''fan of the conference''crap.Oregon could have Charles Manson QB,Bernie Madoff in the backfield,and Hitler split wide to the left,and I would still never pull for Auburn.

If Auburn was all that stood between Hitler and the holocaust, you wouldn't scream War Eagle?

[RedsBaron]

I'm picking TCU.

[Oxilon]

What's with the grass? Players are already slipping everywhere...

[Boston Red]

Defensive struggle!

[Brutus]

Originally Posted by RedsBaron

I'm picking TCU.

The AP folks could still technically do that lol

[Oxilon]

Here's a novel concept...stop throwing interceptions!