2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread . - RedsZone.com - Cincinnati Reds Fans' Home for Baseball Discussion

gonelong · 03-25-2011, 09:42 AM

Welcome to Gonelong's 10th annual Reds Win prediction thread. The history of the prediction threads are at the end of this post. For only the 2nd time in 9 seasons, tORG understimated the Reds win total, and did so by a mind-numbing 7.7 Wins.

Hopefully the Sundeck will once again organize a thread and take up this friendly challenge from the ORG. Last year tORG got "SunDecked" in this challenge so congratulations is owed to all the SunDeck members who participated.

tORG holds a slim 2-1 advantage in the head-to-head challenge with the SunDeck looking to even the score this season.

As always, the prediction thread request is simple.

1. Give a number of Wins you project for the Reds 2011 season.
2. Make the prediction as honestly as you can. It's a prediction, not a hope. (Please, no 162-0 "predictions")
3. Feel free to wait for opening day to make your prediction.

When I return from opening day I'll compute the average guestimate for tORG. (One again, my brother was able to secure a ticket for me for the 4th year in a row. I have only missed one opening day since attending my first in 1996. Thanks bro!) In fact, I have a True Value Reds opening Day baseball from 1997 in my desk at work. Anybody else still have that one?

I cannot remember entering a reds season with such anticipation. My son is 7 this year and is very interested thanks to last season's showing. I am hearing much more chatter around the neighborhood and at work as well. I am hoping the Reds get out of the gate on solid footing so we can enjoy a season similar to last years.

My prediction for the Reds is that they will win 94 games this season.

Go Reds!

GL

Code:

Old Red Guard
YR RZ   Act   Ptgh Delta
-- --   ----  ---- -----
10 83.3,  91,  92 (- 7.7)
09 79.0,  78,  76 (+ 1.0)
08 81.6,  74,  72 (+ 7.6)
07 81.4,  72,  75 (+ 9.2)
06 76.7,  80,  76 (-  3.3)
05 84.7,  73,  75 (+ 11.7)
04 76.8,  76,  67 (+  0.8)
03 87.9,  69,  63 (+ 18.9)
02 79.7,  75,  75 (+  4.7)       
 
Sundeck
YR RZ   Act   Ptgh Delta
-- --   ----  ---- -----
10 84.6,  91,  92 (- 6.4)
09 82.7,  78,  76 (+ 4.7)
08 85.1,  74,  72 (+ 11.1)

kaldaniels · 03-25-2011, 09:45 AM

91 Wins for the Reds

Would be a bit higher but I've gotten terribly scared of the injury bug this past week so I hedged a little.

*BaseClogger* · 03-25-2011, 09:52 AM

87-75

bucksfan2 · 03-25-2011, 10:05 AM

88 Wins.

BearcatShane · 03-25-2011, 10:11 AM

94 wins

Tommyjohn25 · 03-25-2011, 10:18 AM

95 wins. I say they start a bit slow in April then catch fire and ride the wave to another Central title!

OesterPoster · 03-25-2011, 10:20 AM

I'll be the pessimistic one thus far.

86 wins

oneupper · 03-25-2011, 10:21 AM

81-81.

I'm worried about the rotation. (I'm always worried).

Homer Bailey · 03-25-2011, 10:34 AM

89 wins.

Slyder · 03-25-2011, 10:45 AM

89 wins. I don't believe we really improved but at the same time Cards loss of Wainright and the Brewers picking up Greinke I think keeps us at about the same level record wise.

Caveat Emperor · 03-25-2011, 10:46 AM

82 wins.

I'd feel a lot better about this team if Edinson Volquez could throw strikes and if Johnny Cueto wasn't seemingly destined to miss at least 1 month of the season.

I also think they're going to miss Arthur Rhodes a lot more than people realize.

Always Red · 03-25-2011, 10:47 AM

85

I think the pitching will be average.

Redsfan320 · 03-25-2011, 10:51 AM

92 wins

CE, I'm curious about your comment about missing Rhodes. You think Chap won't be able to adequately fill that role this year?

320

Unassisted · 03-25-2011, 11:00 AM

90 wins.

CarolinaRedleg · 03-25-2011, 11:02 AM

92 wins, repeat NLC champs.

03-25-2011, 09:42 AM	#1
gonelong Score Early, Score Often Join Date: Sep 2001 Posts: 4,127	2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread . Welcome to Gonelong's 10th annual Reds Win prediction thread. The history of the prediction threads are at the end of this post. For only the 2nd time in 9 seasons, tORG understimated the Reds win total, and did so by a mind-numbing 7.7 Wins. Hopefully the Sundeck will once again organize a thread and take up this friendly challenge from the ORG. Last year tORG got "SunDecked" in this challenge so congratulations is owed to all the SunDeck members who participated. tORG holds a slim 2-1 advantage in the head-to-head challenge with the SunDeck looking to even the score this season. As always, the prediction thread request is simple. 1. Give a number of Wins you project for the Reds 2011 season. 2. Make the prediction as honestly as you can. It's a prediction, not a hope. (Please, no 162-0 "predictions") 3. Feel free to wait for opening day to make your prediction. When I return from opening day I'll compute the average guestimate for tORG. (One again, my brother was able to secure a ticket for me for the 4th year in a row. I have only missed one opening day since attending my first in 1996. Thanks bro!) In fact, I have a True Value Reds opening Day baseball from 1997 in my desk at work. Anybody else still have that one? I cannot remember entering a reds season with such anticipation. My son is 7 this year and is very interested thanks to last season's showing. I am hearing much more chatter around the neighborhood and at work as well. I am hoping the Reds get out of the gate on solid footing so we can enjoy a season similar to last years. My prediction for the Reds is that they will win 94 games this season. Go Reds! GL Code: Old Red Guard YR RZ Act Ptgh Delta -- -- ---- ---- ----- 10 83.3, 91, 92 (- 7.7) 09 79.0, 78, 76 (+ 1.0) 08 81.6, 74, 72 (+ 7.6) 07 81.4, 72, 75 (+ 9.2) 06 76.7, 80, 76 (- 3.3) 05 84.7, 73, 75 (+ 11.7) 04 76.8, 76, 67 (+ 0.8) 03 87.9, 69, 63 (+ 18.9) 02 79.7, 75, 75 (+ 4.7) Sundeck YR RZ Act Ptgh Delta -- -- ---- ---- ----- 10 84.6, 91, 92 (- 6.4) 09 82.7, 78, 76 (+ 4.7) 08 85.1, 74, 72 (+ 11.1) __________________ '02-'12 Prediction Thread Archive(s) ORG Compilation

03-25-2011, 09:45 AM	#2
kaldaniels Viva la Rolen Join Date: Jul 2005 Posts: 6,330	Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread . 91 Wins for the Reds Would be a bit higher but I've gotten terribly scared of the injury bug this past week so I hedged a little.

03-25-2011, 09:52 AM	#3
BaseClogger WOOOOO!!! Join Date: Oct 2007 Location: Midland, MI Posts: 6,077	Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread . 87-75 __________________ "On-base percentage is great if you can score runs and do something with that on-base percentage," Baker said. "Clogging up the bases isn't that great to me."

03-25-2011, 10:05 AM	#4
bucksfan2 Waitin til next year Join Date: Dec 2006 Location: Cincinnati Posts: 9,618	Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread . 88 Wins.

03-25-2011, 10:11 AM	#5
BearcatShane Member Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Cincinnati/Colerain Posts: 1,247	Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread . 94 wins __________________ Follow me on twitter: http://twitter.com/ShaneHorning

03-25-2011, 10:18 AM	#6
Tommyjohn25 Moderator Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: Fairborn, OH Posts: 1,839	Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread . 95 wins. I say they start a bit slow in April then catch fire and ride the wave to another Central title! __________________ Benzinger backing and calling! And the 1990 world championship series belongs to the Cincinnati Reds!

03-25-2011, 10:20 AM	#7
OesterPoster Member Join Date: Jul 2006 Location: West-central Ohio Posts: 1,911	Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread . I'll be the pessimistic one thus far. 86 wins

03-25-2011, 10:21 AM	#8
oneupper Danger is my business! Join Date: Jun 2004 Location: Back in Florida Posts: 7,852	Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread . 81-81. I'm worried about the rotation. (I'm always worried). __________________ "A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky, dangerous animals and you know it." http://dalmady.blogspot.com

03-25-2011, 10:34 AM	#9
Homer Bailey I'm back... and forth Join Date: Sep 2006 Location: Chicago, IL Posts: 4,612	Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread . 89 wins.

03-25-2011, 10:46 AM	#11
Caveat Emperor Titanic Struggles Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: The 513 Posts: 12,134	Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread . 82 wins. I'd feel a lot better about this team if Edinson Volquez could throw strikes and if Johnny Cueto wasn't seemingly destined to miss at least 1 month of the season. I also think they're going to miss Arthur Rhodes a lot more than people realize. __________________ Championships Matter. 22 Years and Counting...

03-25-2011, 10:47 AM	#12
Always Red nothing more than a fan Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 3,985	Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread . 85 I think the pitching will be average.

03-25-2011, 10:51 AM	#13
Redsfan320 2 in 3 years! Join Date: Nov 2009 Location: Oxford, OH Posts: 2,277	Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread . 92 wins CE, I'm curious about your comment about missing Rhodes. You think Chap won't be able to adequately fill that role this year? 320 __________________ I'd rather listen to Kelch read the phone book than suffer through Thom Brennaman's attempt to make every instance on the field the most important event since the discovery of manned space flight. -westofyou

03-25-2011, 11:00 AM	#14
Unassisted RZ Chamber of Commerce Join Date: Jul 2003 Location: San Antonio Posts: 13,223	Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread . 90 wins.

03-25-2011, 11:02 AM	#15
CarolinaRedleg OOOOH YEEEAHHHH!! Join Date: Aug 2007 Location: Greensboro, NC Posts: 577	Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread . 92 wins, repeat NLC champs.

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