2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread .

[klw]

83

[Guacarock]

90 -- nice and even.

[gonelong]

127 ORG participants this year, 89.1 average.

Old Red Guard
YR RZ   Act   Ptgh Delta
-- --   ----  ---- -----
11 89.1,  ??,  ??  (??.?)
10 83.3,  91,  92 (- 7.7)
09 79.0,  78,  76 (+ 1.0)
08 81.6,  74,  72 (+ 7.6)
07 81.4,  72,  75 (+ 9.2)
06 76.7,  80,  76 (-  3.3)
05 84.7,  73,  75 (+ 11.7)
04 76.8,  76,  67 (+  0.8)
03 87.9,  69,  63 (+ 18.9)
02 79.7,  75,  75 (+  4.7)       
 
Sundeck
YR RZ   Act   Ptgh Delta
-- --   ----  ---- -----
11 ??.?,  ??,   ?? (??.?)
10 84.6,  91,  92 (- 6.4)
09 82.7,  78,  76 (+ 4.7)
08 85.1,  74,  72 (+ 11.1)

2011 ORG Predictions:

72 top6
74 RedFanAlwasy1966
77 forfreelin04
78 Caveat Emperor
78 UKFlounder
78 alloverjr
80 Reds/Flyers Fan
81 oneupper
81 1990REDS
83 lollipopcurve
83 muddie
83 membengal
83 klw
84 LoganBuck
84 paintmered
85 Always Red
85 Tom Servo
85 Will M
85 redfsfaninbsg
86 OesterPoster
86 RichRed
86 mth123
86 RANDY IN CHAR NC
86 Raisor
86 Ron Madden
86 BuckeyeRedleg
87 *BaseClogger
87 Heath
87 RedsManRick
87 dfs
87 KronoRed
87 cincrazy
87 nate
87 OUReds
87 fearofpopvol1
87 Redhook
87 redsfan30
87 pedro
87 Cyclone792
87 jmcclain19
87 RED VAN HOT
88 bucksfan2
88 Razor Shines
88 edabbs44
88 Eric the Red
88 Screwball
88 Joseph
88 AtomicDumpling
88 RFS62
88 GOYA
88 dougdirt
88 Edd Roush
88 Dan
88 Red in Chicago
89 Homer Bailey
89 Slyeder
89 Patrick Bateman
89 dabvu2498
89 goReds
89 mbgrayson
89 wheels
89 NC Reds
89 Mario-Rijo
89 BoydsofSummer
89 GAC
89 Puffy
89 westofyou
89 coachw513
89 Boss-Hog
90 Unassisted
90 Scrap Irony
90 redsmetz
90 Strikes Out Looking
90 thatcoolguy 22
90 redlegz
90 cincyinco
90 Reds Fanatic
90 kbrake
90 MississippiRed
90 Captain Hook
90 fugowitribe
90 pahster
90 Ghost of 1990
90 George Anderson
90 Guacarock
91 kaldaniels
91 WVRedsFan
91 REDblooded
91 Chip R
91 Benihana
92 Redsfan320
92 CarolinaRedleg
92 Bumstead
92 Plus Plus
92 traderumor
92 Degenerate39
92 camisadelgolf
92 Hoosier Red
92 redsfandan
93 Quatitos
93 OnBaseMachine
93 cumberlandreds
93 reds1869
93 yab1112
93 RedsBaron
94 gonelong
94 BearcatShaen
94 reds44
94 TheBurn
94 JaxRed
94 WebScorpion
94 WMR
95 Tommyjohn25
95 Kc61
95 dunner13
95 MWM
95 SirFelixCat
96  _Sir_Charles
96 Redsfaithful
97 TRF
97 tixe
97 The Voice of IH
97 RoyTucker
98 New Fever
98 Az Red
99 VR
99 Crosley68

[Cyclone792]

Originally Posted by gonelong

127 ORG participants this year, 89.1 average.

Old Red Guard
YR RZ   Act   Ptgh Delta
-- --   ----  ---- -----
11 89.1,  ??,  ??  (??.?)
10 83.3,  91,  92 (- 7.7)
09 79.0,  78,  76 (+ 1.0)
08 81.6,  74,  72 (+ 7.6)
07 81.4,  72,  75 (+ 9.2)
06 76.7,  80,  76 (-  3.3)
05 84.7,  73,  75 (+ 11.7)
04 76.8,  76,  67 (+  0.8)
03 87.9,  69,  63 (+ 18.9)
02 79.7,  75,  75 (+  4.7)

As a group, we underperformed by nearly eight games last year. Let's hope that 2011 brings similar results.

[RichRed]

I feel like I might've mentioned this before, but it would be interesting to see which posters have been the most accurate, on average, over the 10 years of this great thread.

[gonelong]

Originally Posted by RichRed

I feel like I might've mentioned this before, but it would be interesting to see which posters have been the most accurate, on average, over the 10 years of this great thread.

The links are there to every prediction thread, knock yourself out.

GL

[Razor Shines]

Why didn't anyone take 162-0? Clearly that's what's gonna happen.

[_Sir_Charles_]

Originally Posted by Razor Shines

Why didn't anyone take 162-0? Clearly that's what's gonna happen.

I was gonna....but I didn't want to be viewed as a homer. :O)

[RBA]

103-58
1 game rained out and not made up due to Reds clinching division early.

[Mario-Rijo]

Originally Posted by Mario-Rijo

89 Wins, NL Central Champs, NL Representatives in the World Series where we WIN 4-2 VS. Boston.

There fixed that for ya, me.

[Mario-Rijo]

Originally Posted by RichRed

I feel like I might've mentioned this before, but it would be interesting to see which posters have been the most accurate, on average, over the 10 years of this great thread.

I just briefly ran thru it, no one stood out too much recently. alloverjr was killing it there for about 4-5 years. edabbs had a nice little 3 year run 07-09 (not sure what happened after that). I feel like I have done pretty fair the last few years, I at least was in the neighborhood. Problem was I kept listening to my head when my gut was calling it much closer, which I find extremely interesting.

'10 - Actual: 91 wins, Sir Charles was the only one who hit it on the head, but Johnny Footstool said 92 and the Central Champs. I had 85 but I did say my gut was calling for 87-88.

'09 - Actual: 78 wins, a host of people hit that including yours truly although midseason I wasn't feeling so optimistic then they went on a tear.

Prior to that I stunk. Which is why I did a combination of head (89 wins) and now gut (World Series Champs) predictions this year. And I gotta tell ya this start although not really all that surprising considering the opponents is making me feel pretty good about my gut feeling.

[AmarilloRed]

90 wins.

[RichRed]

Originally Posted by gonelong

The links are there to every prediction thread, knock yourself out.

GL

That is NOT the answer I was hoping for.

[gonelong]

Updated with Sundeck predictions (thanks texasdave!)

GL

Originally Posted by gonelong

127 ORG participants this year, 89.1 average.
37 SD participants this year, 88.6 average.

Old Red Guard
YR ORG   Act   Ptgh Delta
-- --   ----  ---- -----
11 89.1,  ??,  ??  (??.?)
10 83.3,  91,  92 (- 7.7)
09 79.0,  78,  76 (+ 1.0)
08 81.6,  74,  72 (+ 7.6)
07 81.4,  72,  75 (+ 9.2)
06 76.7,  80,  76 (-  3.3)
05 84.7,  73,  75 (+ 11.7)
04 76.8,  76,  67 (+  0.8)
03 87.9,  69,  63 (+ 18.9)
02 79.7,  75,  75 (+  4.7)       
 
Sundeck
YR SD   Act   Ptgh Delta
-- --   ----  ---- -----
11 88.6,  ??,   ?? (??.?)
10 84.6,  91,  92 (- 6.4)
09 82.7,  78,  76 (+ 4.7)
08 85.1,  74,  72 (+ 11.1)

2011 ORG Predictions:

72 top6
74 RedFanAlwasy1966
77 forfreelin04
78 Caveat Emperor
78 UKFlounder
78 alloverjr
80 Reds/Flyers Fan
81 oneupper
81 1990REDS
83 lollipopcurve
83 muddie
83 membengal
83 klw
84 LoganBuck
84 paintmered
85 Always Red
85 Tom Servo
85 Will M
85 redfsfaninbsg
86 OesterPoster
86 RichRed
86 mth123
86 RANDY IN CHAR NC
86 Raisor
86 Ron Madden
86 BuckeyeRedleg
87 *BaseClogger
87 Heath
87 RedsManRick
87 dfs
87 KronoRed
87 cincrazy
87 nate
87 OUReds
87 fearofpopvol1
87 Redhook
87 redsfan30
87 pedro
87 Cyclone792
87 jmcclain19
87 RED VAN HOT
88 bucksfan2
88 Razor Shines
88 edabbs44
88 Eric the Red
88 Screwball
88 Joseph
88 AtomicDumpling
88 RFS62
88 GOYA
88 dougdirt
88 Edd Roush
88 Dan
88 Red in Chicago
89 Homer Bailey
89 Slyeder
89 Patrick Bateman
89 dabvu2498
89 goReds
89 mbgrayson
89 wheels
89 NC Reds
89 Mario-Rijo
89 BoydsofSummer
89 GAC
89 Puffy
89 westofyou
89 coachw513
89 Boss-Hog
90 Unassisted
90 Scrap Irony
90 redsmetz
90 Strikes Out Looking
90 thatcoolguy 22
90 redlegz
90 cincyinco
90 Reds Fanatic
90 kbrake
90 MississippiRed
90 Captain Hook
90 fugowitribe
90 pahster
90 Ghost of 1990
90 George Anderson
90 Guacarock
91 kaldaniels
91 WVRedsFan
91 REDblooded
91 Chip R
91 Benihana
92 Redsfan320
92 CarolinaRedleg
92 Bumstead
92 Plus Plus
92 traderumor
92 Degenerate39
92 camisadelgolf
92 Hoosier Red
92 redsfandan
93 Quatitos
93 OnBaseMachine
93 cumberlandreds
93 reds1869
93 yab1112
93 RedsBaron
94 gonelong
94 BearcatShaen
94 reds44
94 TheBurn
94 JaxRed
94 WebScorpion
94 WMR
95 Tommyjohn25
95 Kc61
95 dunner13
95 MWM
95 SirFelixCat
96  _Sir_Charles
96 Redsfaithful
97 TRF
97 tixe
97 The Voice of IH
97 RoyTucker
98 New Fever
98 Az Red
99 VR
99 Crosley68

2011 SD Predictions:

Oxblood       97
Bill Clawski    97
OGB            96
Tadasimha    95
Reds           94
VottoFan54    93
Eric the Red    93
Roush's socks    92
NeilHamburger    92
freestyle55    92
DirtyBaker    92
TheBigLebowski    91
LetsGoReds11    91
BuckeyeRed27    91
wlf WV        90
texasdave    90
bshall2105    90
topcat31     89
mattwellsey    89
code           89
Captain13    89
Who Dey Time    88
New York Red     88
Kingspoint    88
DaytonFlyer    88
Brisco         88
will5979       87
Ledoux        87
nmculbreth    86
Knightro28    86
Chris Sabowned    86
davereds24    82
Jefferson24    81
RedsLvr       80
Rev Doo-Rag    79
mu4103       79
redsfanmia    74