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Old 08-14-2012, 08:36 PM   #106
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Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

After 4 innings, Reds 0, Mets 0.
Latos at 66 pitches, 46 strikes.
Young at 71 pitches, 45 strikes.
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Old 08-14-2012, 08:36 PM   #107
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Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

With all these runners left on base, I have a feeling the game will be won on a cheap solo homer.
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Old 08-14-2012, 08:38 PM   #108
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Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

Tejada flies out to left.
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Old 08-14-2012, 08:38 PM   #109
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Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

One out. Get the next guy and pitch very carefully to Wright.
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Old 08-14-2012, 08:39 PM   #110
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Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

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Originally Posted by Brutus View Post
Their run expectancy increased by .3 with a runner at third and one out as opposed to a runner at second and one out. Granted, there's always the chance Stubbs could have reached base, but given his low OBP and propensity to strikeout, I would say that's statistically the correct call.
Plus those runs/win expectancy charts are just general guides. The precise situation needs to be considered.

Personally I don't bunt there because Young is very hittable, but I can understand it with Stubbs and his high K rate.
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Old 08-14-2012, 08:39 PM   #111
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Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

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Plus those runs/win expectancy charts are just general guides. The precise situation needs to be considered.

Personally I don't bunt there because Young is very hittable, but I can understand it with Stubbs and his high K rate.
If it were most anyone else in the Reds' lineup, I wouldn't be supportive of bunting there. But Stubbs' skillset doesn't lend itself well to advancing runners a high percentage of time.
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Old 08-14-2012, 08:40 PM   #112
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Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

Dodgers take the lead on the Pirates. Victorino gets the ground ball with men on base, run scores. You know, what the Reds didn't do.
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Old 08-14-2012, 08:41 PM   #113
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Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

The Reds need tonight.

I don't like their chances against R.A. Dickey tomorrow, and there is nothing wrong with that.
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Old 08-14-2012, 08:41 PM   #114
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Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

Baxter singles to center.
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Old 08-14-2012, 08:43 PM   #115
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Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

Wright flies out to the track in right. 2 outs.
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Old 08-14-2012, 08:44 PM   #116
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Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

Wright flies out to deep right. Nice catch Bruce.
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Old 08-14-2012, 08:45 PM   #117
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Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

Nice play Frazier, inning over.

Good defense by the Reds tonight. Need to hit.
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Old 08-14-2012, 08:46 PM   #118
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Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

Davis grounds out to 1st. 0-0 mid 5th.
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Old 08-14-2012, 08:46 PM   #119
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Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

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Originally Posted by Matt700wlw View Post
The Reds need tonight.

I don't like their chances against R.A. Dickey tomorrow, and there is nothing wrong with that.
For some reason I think the Reds knock Dickey around tomorrow. Not sure why I think that, just a gut feeling.
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Old 08-14-2012, 08:46 PM   #120
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Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

Update. 1-0 Dodgers over Pirates, no score DBacks and Cards, both games in third inning.
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