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#151 | |
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Et tu, Brutus?
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Atlanta, Ga.
Posts: 9,084
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Re: AL mvp....
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We can argue semantics all day, but the bottom line is that the stat does absolutely measure replacement level over same position players. That's exactly what the output measures... the number of wins above a replacement player at the same position. It's astounding to me that anyone is disagreeing with that simple statement. That's the whole calculation in a nutshell. We can argue semantics at the 'purpose,' but that is in fact what the stat does. This is basic economics. Some products might not have as good of quality as another product. But supply and demand might make that product more valuable despite being of a lesser quality. WAR doesn't aim to measure the quality of the product, but rather add in the supply/demand value aspect of the positions. One last time... Ryan Hanigan isn't a better baseball player because he plays at a position with lesser talent. All that means is he's a more valuable baseball player. WAR is meant to measure value, not necessarily talent/production. You don't need to know replacement level to compare players across different positions if all you want to know is who the better baseball player is.
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"No matter how good you are, you're going to lose one-third of your games. No matter how bad you are you're going to win one-third of your games. It's the other third that makes the difference." ~Tommy Lasorda Last edited by Brutus; 09-26-2012 at 02:23 AM. |
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#152 |
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Five Tool Fool
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 16,695
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Re: AL mvp....
WAR normalizes for position therefore it does not represent number of wins above a replacement level at the same position. It represents the number of wins above a replacement level player regardless of position. This is not a matter of opinion. It's a structural reality of the metric which neccesarily colors one's appropriate interpretation. Frankly, the adjustment for the difference between replacement level and average is window dressing-I.e a nod to the popular acceptance of marginal value in sabermetrics- rather than essential because the position adjustment essentially gives WAR it's ability to compare all players to all players on the same plain. Really, this point, again, is not a matter of opinion. It's derived fom how WAR is actually calculated.
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"This isn’t stats vs scouts - this is stats and scouts working together, building an organization that blends the best of both worlds. This is the blueprint for how a baseball organization should be run. And, whether the baseball men of the 20th century like it or not, this is where baseball is going."---Dave Cameron, U.S.S. Mariner |
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#153 |
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Hoping to be 75769013
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Dayton
Posts: 6,416
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Re: AL mvp....
Right now, on MLB Network, Mitch Williams is vehemently arguing that Cabrara should win the AL MVP because he had a better Sept than Trout, when the games really matter. Seriously, I am not making this up.
If ever you needed proof that Trout should be MVP...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them. - Albert Einstein |
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#154 |
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The Boss
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 31,094
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Re: AL mvp....
I have seen more than a few people, people who vote for the awards, bring up the same thing. I don't agree with it at all, because all of the games matter.
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#155 |
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Hoping to be 75769013
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Dayton
Posts: 6,416
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Re: AL mvp....
Yep, it's one of the most illogical arguments made. It was used against quite a few unpopular Reds by many Reds fans in the past.
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them. - Albert Einstein |
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#156 |
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Five Tool Fool
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 16,695
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Re: AL mvp....
If Cabrera had Beltre's glove, maybe the argument might be compelling especially with Cabrera challenging for the triple crown while Detroit is looking like theyll win the division.
__________________
"This isn’t stats vs scouts - this is stats and scouts working together, building an organization that blends the best of both worlds. This is the blueprint for how a baseball organization should be run. And, whether the baseball men of the 20th century like it or not, this is where baseball is going."---Dave Cameron, U.S.S. Mariner |
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#157 |
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The Boss
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 31,094
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Re: AL mvp....
Mike Trout is the first rookie with 30 home runs and 40 steals. He has 48 steals with 4 games left. If he gets two more steals, he will be only the 3rd player ever with 30 home runs and 50 steals, joining Eric Davis and Barry Bonds.
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#158 |
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post hype sleeper
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Denver
Posts: 10,358
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Re: AL mvp....
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On Dasher On Dancer On Prancer Ondrusek |
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#159 |
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Plan to be spontaneous
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Illinios
Posts: 1,178
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Re: AL mvp....
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We only live in patches. - H. G. Wells |
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#160 |
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Plan to be spontaneous
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Illinios
Posts: 1,178
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Re: AL mvp....
Eric doesn't need any company.
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We only live in patches. - H. G. Wells |
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#161 |
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Member
Join Date: Mar 2002
Posts: 9,837
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Re: AL mvp....
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#162 |
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The Boss
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 31,094
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Re: AL mvp....
Terry Francona says that Cabrera would get his vote because the Tigers are going to the playoffs.
FTR, the Angels have a 2 game lead over the Tigers.... they just happen to be in 3rd place in their own division. Another person who is willing to punish a player because someone else plays in a weaker division.
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#163 |
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Rally Onion!
Join Date: May 2000
Location: Cincinnati, OH
Posts: 33,328
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Re: AL mvp....
I saw this article this morning. If most of the writers feel like this, I wouldn't hold out much hope for Trout to win the MVP - especially if Miggy gets the Triple Crown.
http://www.sports-reference.com/blog...into-war-zero/
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#164 |
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Danger is my business!
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Back in Florida
Posts: 7,907
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Re: AL mvp....
Miggy took the HR title lead with his 44th today.
He's going to win the Triple Crown and the MVP.
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"A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky, dangerous animals and you know it." http://dalmady.blogspot.com |
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#165 | |
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Et tu, Brutus?
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Atlanta, Ga.
Posts: 9,084
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Re: AL mvp....
Quote:
And to be honest, I think Trout will win the MVP regardless.
__________________
"No matter how good you are, you're going to lose one-third of your games. No matter how bad you are you're going to win one-third of your games. It's the other third that makes the difference." ~Tommy Lasorda |
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