RedsZone.com - Cincinnati Reds Fans' Home for Baseball Discussion  

Go Back   RedsZone.com - Cincinnati Reds Fans' Home for Baseball Discussion > Baseball > The Sun Deck

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 11-28-2012, 12:21 PM   #16
malcontent
malingered here too long
 
Join Date: Jun 2001
Location: Richmond, VA
Posts: 1,990
Re: Broxton's new 3 year deal

Visions of another Rich Harden....great stats over 5-6 innings, with high pitch counts (walks, strikeouts and deep counts) forcing early exits.

I'm afraid hitters are going to be far more patient facing Chapman as a starter, so his control is going to have to improve significantly for this to work at all.
malcontent is offline   Reply With Quote
Turn Off Ads?
Old 11-28-2012, 02:47 PM   #17
Larkin88
Member
 
Larkin88's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
Posts: 494
Re: Broxton's new 3 year deal

Off the top of my head, does this make Marshall the only lefty in the bullpen now that Bray is gone and Chapman is seemingly rotation-bound?

Got to think that's something they will look to address in a middle reliever, either through internal rejumbling or by going outside the organization. Cingrani, maybe? (I personally hope he continues to be developed as a starter)
Larkin88 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-28-2012, 04:34 PM   #18
nkyguys.02
Member
 
nkyguys.02's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: Northern KY
Posts: 1
Re: Broxton's new 3 year deal

Walt's plan was for Chapman to start last year, but Madson ended up getting hurt. No surprise he is trying again this year. I don't see it as just slightly overpaying for a closer, I see it as a closer and picking up a potential ace that has the talent to be our true #1. Hopefully we model our plan with Chapman similar to the Braves method with Medlin. Keep Leake around to eat up some innings and as a safety net until the missle proves himself in the rotation. Chapman's stats in spring training were great. Here's to hoping it translate to a full season of starting.

We still need another lefty in the pen, and some help with the sticks. Getting two other needs for the high end price of one closer seems like the right direction to me.
nkyguys.02 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-28-2012, 05:30 PM   #19
DocRed
Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 1,015
Re: Broxton's new 3 year deal

I'm OK with that if it gets Chapman in the Starting rotation. Plus Brandon League isn't Mariano Rivera either. He is older than Broxton and has worse 2012 and career stats. If that is what League got paid, then Broxton's fair market value should be similar.

Plus, don't forget we were shelling out over $12 million a year for Coco Cordero. Anything seems like a good deal after that...

Last edited by DocRed; 11-28-2012 at 05:36 PM.
DocRed is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 11-28-2012, 06:40 PM   #20
MoneyInTheBank
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 260
Re: Broxton's new 3 year deal

It's obviously a risk, but the Reds must be pretty confident that his 2nd half of 2010 and all of 2011 was due to injury. You can certainly close out games cheaper than $7M annually but I'm not going to raise too big of a stink over it
MoneyInTheBank is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-28-2012, 06:55 PM   #21
Hondo
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Weatherford, Texas
Posts: 2,124
Re: Broxton's new 3 year deal

You guys that are saying $7 Million per year is way more than Broxton is worth need to wake up and smell the coffee... That is the market...

I mean, the Reds got a "discount" on Madson last year for $8.5 Million, so if Broxton was not injured in 2011 and had played on a better team than the Royals the entire year... He might have had 40-50 saves last year so $7 Million is quite a bargain considering Broxton is getting security and the Reds aren't having to pay $12-$15 Million per year for a closer.

Good Deal ALL AROUND for both parties.
Hondo is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-29-2012, 10:27 AM   #22
texasdave
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 9,574
Re: Broxton's new 3 year deal

Fangraphs not enamored by the deal. They don't really hate it either. Puzzled may be the right word.

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index...-reds-bullpen/
__________________
Let's hang a Championship Banner this year!!!!!
texasdave is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2012, 01:29 AM   #23
LexRedsFan
Moderator
 
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: Lexington, KY
Posts: 364
Re: Broxton's new 3 year deal

It feels like we overpaid. bleh.I kind of agree with the fangraphs sentiment. It's kind of an enigma.
LexRedsFan is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2012, 08:48 AM   #24
webbbj
Member
 
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 855
Re: Broxton's new 3 year deal

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hondo View Post
You guys that are saying $7 Million per year is way more than Broxton is worth need to wake up and smell the coffee... That is the market...

I mean, the Reds got a "discount" on Madson last year for $8.5 Million, so if Broxton was not injured in 2011 and had played on a better team than the Royals the entire year... He might have had 40-50 saves last year so $7 Million is quite a bargain considering Broxton is getting security and the Reds aren't having to pay $12-$15 Million per year for a closer.

Good Deal ALL AROUND for both parties.
Thats the market for overpaid relievers. The guy pitches 1 inning a game and isnt even used properly. (and thats for every manager). The reds bullpen would be just fine w/ who the have coming through the organization.


For $21mill/3yrs that could of been used to get a decent bat which is way more valuable than someone who plays 60 innings.
webbbj is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2012, 09:09 AM   #25
TSJ55
Member
 
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 390
Re: Broxton's new 3 year deal

Quote:
Originally Posted by webbbj View Post
For $21mill/3yrs that could of been used to get a decent bat which is way more valuable than someone who plays 60 innings.
No way Dude. Everybody knows that the Reds starting staff was turrible. Chapman was so hit or miss that his closing role must be changed. Consistent clutch hitting and putting up crooked numbers inning after inning is how they won so many games last year.
TSJ55 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2012, 09:10 AM   #26
rgslone
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 167
Re: Broxton's new 3 year deal

Aren't there still some concerns about the health of Broxton's arm? That was the impression that I had last season. There was also discussion about his drop off in velocity compared to his days with the Dodgers, as well as weight issues. I could have the wrong impressions about Broxton, so somebody with much more knowledge about his situation please reassure me that at least his health is not a concern.
rgslone is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2012, 02:22 PM   #27
Larkin88
Member
 
Larkin88's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
Posts: 494
Re: Broxton's new 3 year deal

Quote:
Originally Posted by rgslone View Post
Aren't there still some concerns about the health of Broxton's arm? That was the impression that I had last season. There was also discussion about his drop off in velocity compared to his days with the Dodgers, as well as weight issues. I could have the wrong impressions about Broxton, so somebody with much more knowledge about his situation please reassure me that at least his health is not a concern.
His health is improving over where it was going into 2011. I think the Reds are gambling that his time with Cincinnati was more reflective of what we could expect from a healthy Broxton going forward... as opposed to when he was still a little dinged up even with the Royals.

We'll see how it pans out, obviously. I think that's the play here, though.

Last edited by Larkin88; 11-30-2012 at 05:58 PM.
Larkin88 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2012, 02:28 PM   #28
texasdave
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 9,574
Re: Broxton's new 3 year deal

http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx...759&position=P

Interesting numbers on Broxton. He was exclusively fastball and slider with the Royals. But since coming over to the Reds he added the cutter. Hmm.
__________________
Let's hang a Championship Banner this year!!!!!
texasdave is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2012, 04:56 PM   #29
Salukifan2
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Carbondale IL
Posts: 403
Re: Broxton's new 3 year deal

I think you had to try Chapman as a starter at some point or else there would always be that what if feeling, that being said the reds will be in a tight spot if Broxton doesn't work because as everyone knows a bullpen arm could be great one year and awful the next. Its very unlikely that Simon, Arredondo, and Marshall all have sub 3 era next season.

So you have to move Chapman to starter at some point, you just have to hope it doesn't blow up on you.
Salukifan2 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2012, 11:10 PM   #30
webbbj
Member
 
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 855
Re: Broxton's new 3 year deal

Quote:
Originally Posted by Brittingham.Sam View Post
I think you had to try Chapman as a starter at some point or else there would always be that what if feeling, that being said the reds will be in a tight spot if Broxton doesn't work because as everyone knows a bullpen arm could be great one year and awful the next. Its very unlikely that Simon, Arredondo, and Marshall all have sub 3 era next season.

So you have to move Chapman to starter at some point, you just have to hope it doesn't blow up on you.
They should have started chapman last year. Who is the bullpen should have no bearing on whether chapman is a starter. If the reds want to start him just start him. They wanted to start him last year and had no excuse not to. Madsen getting injured wasnt an excuse. They didnt have to overpay for a "closer" to justify starting chapman.

The whole "closer" role frustrates me, waiting so long to start chapman frustrates me, and the idea that whether chapman starts is contingent on finding a "closer" frustrates me.

I love jockety and the reds I just think chapman has been misused from day 1.

They knew they wanted him to be a starter from the moment they signed him. They should have never flip flopped on that plan. He probably could have started a full season last year if they just stuck to the original plan.
webbbj is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 11:12 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2013, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.

Board Moderators may, at their discretion and judgment, delete and/or edit any messages that violate any of the following guidelines: 1. Explicit references to alleged illegal or unlawful acts. 2. Graphic sexual descriptions. 3. Racial or ethnic slurs. 4. Use of edgy language (including masked profanity). 5. Direct personal attacks, flames, fights, trolling, baiting, name-calling, general nuisance, excessive player criticism or anything along those lines. 6. Posting spam. 7. Each person may have only one user account. It is fine to be critical here - that's what this board is for. But let's not beat a subject or a player to death, please.

Thank you, and most importantly, enjoy yourselves!

RedsZone.com is a privately owned website and is not affiliated with the Cincinnati Reds or Major League Baseball

Contact us: Boss | GIK | dabvu2498 | GADawg | Gallen5862 | LexRedsFan | mattfeet | MBZags | Plus Plus | redsfan1995 | The Operator | Tommyjohn25