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02-17-2013, 07:17 PM
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#1 |
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Member
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: South Vienna, OH
Posts: 4,127
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Reds over/under
A few days ago Vegas released their over/under on the win total of MLB teams. So I thought it'd be a fun idea to start a Reds-related over/under thread. Here goes nothing!
1.Joey Votto homeruns- 29.5. I say over. 2.Aroldis Chapman IP- 150 3.Johnny Cueto wins- 17.5 4.Ryan Ludwick homeruns- 24.5 5.Joey Votto RBIs- 109.5 6.Todd Frazier homeruns- 19.5 7.Jonathan Broxton saves- 29.5 8.Choo OBP- .385 9.Jay Bruce homeruns- 34.5 10.Reds win total- 94.5 11. Reds postseason wins- 2.5 Granted, these are just a few of the very many I could do, so if you have any other interesting ones to add please feel free. Here are my guesses: 1. Over. I'm thinking Votto comes closer to his 2010 power numbers than 2011. 2. Under. I think he ends up back in the pen. 3. Under. I think a slight regression in performance is coming for Cueto, and the starting pitchers in general this year may find a bit less luck with the win total if the bullpen isn't as dominant as it was last year. 4. Under. I love Ludwick, but don't think he can match last year's performance. 5. Over. I think Votto's going to have his best RBI season yet. 6. Over. Frazier will no doubt hit his growing pains this year, but I think he has enough raw power to surpass 20 homers. 7. Under. For this reason- I think Chapman ends up as the closer. 8. Over. 9. Over. 10. Under. I'm thinking between 92-94 wins. 11. Over. This number is much more important than the regular season number  .
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02-17-2013, 07:29 PM
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#2 |
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KungFu Fighter
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Hamilton, OH
Posts: 2,324
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Re: Reds over/under
1.Joey Votto homeruns- 29.5.
2.Aroldis Chapman IP- 150 3.Johnny Cueto wins- 17.5 4.Ryan Ludwick homeruns- 24.5 5.Joey Votto RBIs- 109.5 6.Todd Frazier homeruns- 19.5 7.Jonathan Broxton saves- 29.5 8.Choo OBP- .385 9.Jay Bruce homeruns- 34.5 10.Reds win total- 94.5 11. Reds postseason wins- 2.5 1. Over. If he stays healthy all season he should hit 30+. 2. Over. He will end up with 170+ 3. Under. 4. Under. 5. Over. Finally has decent table-setters. 6. Under. Not a believer in Frazier. 7. Over. He should get a lot of opportunities. 8. Over. But it will be close. 9. Over. 40+ 10. Under. Closer to 90 wins. 11. Over. Last edited by AtomicDumpling; 02-17-2013 at 07:35 PM. |
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02-17-2013, 07:37 PM
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#3 |
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Member
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 34,655
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Re: Reds over/under
1.Joey Votto homeruns- 29.5 Over - I think he hits right around 30-32 HR. He should get more pitches to hit this season.
2.Aroldis Chapman IP- 150 Under - I chose under, but not by much. I think he'll throw around 140 innings. 3.Johnny Cueto wins- 17.5 Over - With an improved offense, Cueto should have quality run support this season. 18-20 wins is possible. 4.Ryan Ludwick homeruns- 24.5 Over - This one was very debatable to me. I'll go slightly over though as I think he has a chance to hit right around 25 HR. 5.Joey Votto RBIs- 109.5 Over - Should have plenty of RBI opportunities with Choo/Phillips 1-2. 6.Todd Frazier homeruns- 19.5 Over - He hit 19 last year. If he stays healthy he'll get more atbats this year. I'm going with around 22 HR. 7.Jonathan Broxton saves- 29.5 Under - I think Marshall and Hoover will get a few save chances too. Broxton won't miss this number by much. 8.Choo OBP- .385 Over - I think Choo is going to have a MVP type season. I'm thinking .390+ OBP. 9.Jay Bruce homeruns- 34.5 Over - He's getting better each season. Might this be the year he cracks 40 HR? 10.Reds win total- 94.5 Over - They won 97 last season, and added Choo this season. 95-100 wins is very possible. 11. Reds postseason wins- 2.5 Over - I'm picking the Reds to win the NL Pennant.
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I miss Adam Dunn. |
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02-17-2013, 07:41 PM
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#4 | |
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Viva la Rolen
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 6,329
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Re: Reds over/under
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02-17-2013, 09:21 PM
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#5 |
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always ask questions
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: new jersey
Posts: 2,029
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Re: Reds over/under
1.Joey Votto homeruns- 29.5. Over
2.Aroldis Chapman IP- 150 Under 3.Johnny Cueto wins- 17.5 Under 4.Ryan Ludwick homeruns- 24.5 Under 5.Joey Votto RBIs- 109.5 Over 6.Todd Frazier homeruns- 19.5 Under 7.Jonathan Broxton saves- 29.5 Over 8.Choo OBP- .385 Over 9.Jay Bruce homeruns- 34.5 Over 10.Reds win total- 94.5 Over 11. Reds postseason wins- 2.5 Over, I think the Reds will win 11 in the postseason. |
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02-17-2013, 11:47 PM
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#6 |
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The Big Dog
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 12,684
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Re: Reds over/under
1.Joey Votto homeruns- 29.5.
2.Aroldis Chapman IP- 150 3.Johnny Cueto wins- 17.5 4.Ryan Ludwick homeruns- 24.5 5.Joey Votto RBIs- 109.5 6.Todd Frazier homeruns- 19.5 7.Jonathan Broxton saves- 29.5 8.Choo OBP- .385 9.Jay Bruce homeruns- 34.5 10.Reds win total- 94.5 11. Reds postseason wins- 2.5 1. Over. He's baaaaack. 2. Under. But not by much. 3. Under. Have a bad feeling about his health. 4. Over. 5. Over. 6. Over. But struggles with RHP and has a low OBP. 7. Over. 8. Over. 9. Over. 10. Over. I have 95 wins. 11. Over. This is the year.
__________________
"All I can tell them is pick a good one and sock it." --BABE RUTH Having better players makes "the right time" or "the big hit" happen a lot more often. PLUS PLUS |
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02-18-2013, 10:11 AM
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#7 | |
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WOOOOO!!!
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Midland, MI
Posts: 6,077
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Re: Reds over/under
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"On-base percentage is great if you can score runs and do something with that on-base percentage," Baker said. "Clogging up the bases isn't that great to me." |
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02-18-2013, 10:26 AM
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#8 |
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15 game winner
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Sultanes de Monterrey
Posts: 4,172
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Re: Reds over/under
1.Joey Votto homeruns- 29.5 Over
2.Aroldis Chapman IP- 150 Under 3.Johnny Cueto wins- 17.5 Under 4.Ryan Ludwick homeruns- 24.5 Under 5.Joey Votto RBIs- 109.5 Under 6.Todd Frazier homeruns- 19.5 Over 7.Jonathan Broxton saves- 29.5 Over 8.Choo OBP- .385 Under 9.Jay Bruce homeruns- 34.5 Under 10.Reds win total- 94.5 Over 11. Reds postseason wins- 2.5 Over |
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02-18-2013, 10:30 AM
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#9 |
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We Need Our Myths
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Overlooking GABP
Posts: 4,163
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Re: Reds over/under
1.Joey Votto homeruns- 29.5. Over
2.Aroldis Chapman IP- 150 Under 3.Johnny Cueto wins- 17.5 Under 4.Ryan Ludwick homeruns- 24.5 Under 5.Joey Votto RBIs- 109.5 Over 6.Todd Frazier homeruns- 19.5 Over 7.Jonathan Broxton saves- 29.5 Over 8.Choo OBP- .385 Over 9.Jay Bruce homeruns- 34.5 Over 10.Reds win total- 94.5 Over 11. Reds postseason wins- 2.5 Over |
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02-18-2013, 10:36 AM
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#10 | |
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2013 NL MVP and WS MVP
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Houston, Texas
Posts: 6,376
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Re: Reds over/under
Quote:
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Last edited by _Sir_Charles_; 02-18-2013 at 10:42 AM. |
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02-18-2013, 10:38 AM
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#11 |
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OOOOH YEEEAHHHH!!
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Greensboro, NC
Posts: 577
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Re: Reds over/under
1.Joey Votto homeruns- 29.5. Under
2.Aroldis Chapman IP- 150. Push 3.Johnny Cueto wins- 17.5. Over 4.Ryan Ludwick homeruns- 24.5. Over 5.Joey Votto RBIs- 109.5. Over 6.Todd Frazier homeruns- 19.5. Over 7.Jonathan Broxton saves- 29.5. Over 8.Choo OBP- .385. Over 9.Jay Bruce homeruns- 34.5. Under 10.Reds win total- 94.5. Over 11. Reds postseason wins- 2.5. Over |
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02-18-2013, 10:46 AM
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#12 |
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Stat Wanker Hodiernus
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 14,915
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Re: Reds over/under
Code:
# Player Stat Value O/U My guess 1 Joey Votto Homeruns 29.5 OVER 32 2 Aroldis Chapman IP 150.0 UNDER 140 3 Johnny Cueto wins 17.5 UNDER 16 4 Ryan Ludwick Homeruns 24.5 UNDER 20 5 Joey Votto RBIs 109.5 OVER 115 6 Todd Frazier Homeruns 19.5 OVER 22 7 Broxton Saves 29.5 UNDER 25 8 Choo OBP .385 UNDER .375 9 Jay Bruce HR 34.5 OVER 36 10 Reds Win total 94.5 UNDER 90 11 Reds Postseason wins 2.5 OVER 5
__________________
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance. |
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02-18-2013, 10:48 AM
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#13 |
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2013 NL MVP and WS MVP
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Houston, Texas
Posts: 6,376
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Re: Reds over/under
Leave it to RMR to format it like a nerd. :O) I kid.
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02-18-2013, 10:49 AM
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#14 | |
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Stat Wanker Hodiernus
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 14,915
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Re: Reds over/under
Quote:
__________________
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance. |
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| Likes: | bigredmechanism (02-18-2013), _Sir_Charles_ (02-18-2013) |
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02-18-2013, 10:49 AM
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#15 |
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2013 NL MVP and WS MVP
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Houston, Texas
Posts: 6,376
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Re: Reds over/under
Hey, I just noticed the "like" button is gone. I was going to hit yours Rick. Odd.
Hmmm....after I refresh, it shows up after a few seconds. Strange.
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