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Old 03-31-2002, 02:30 PM   #1
gonelong
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Reds Ws/Ls prediction thread.

Lets have everybody chime in here, and lets hold off on the "If so an so is healthy" or if this/that stuff for this one thread. Give a simple Ws and Ls regular season record prediction, not your hope, not a best/worst case scenarion, but the number you'd put out there if you had to bet your house on being within 5 Ws or so of your call. Max range of 5 Ws.

79-84 Ws
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Old 03-31-2002, 02:38 PM   #2
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89-74
Reds beat Giants in 1 game playoff to decide wild card. (BTW, Steve Parris does NOT start this game <img border="0" title="" alt="[Wink]" src="wink.gif" /> )

<small>[ 03-31-2002, 02:39 PM: Message edited by: VR ]</small>
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Old 03-31-2002, 02:49 PM   #3
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85-77
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Old 03-31-2002, 02:55 PM   #4
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85 - 77. Strong everyday lineup and bullpen carry Reds to edge of Wild Card race. If we are close enough, hopefully we can trade for SP before the trade deadline. Hope springs eternal - that's the great thing about spring!
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Old 03-31-2002, 03:02 PM   #5
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Everyday line-up and bullpen are too good not to be at least .500 if there are not catastrophic injuries.

84-78
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Old 03-31-2002, 03:14 PM   #6
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63-99, if they get great starting pitching from these mongrels.
 
Old 03-31-2002, 03:14 PM   #7
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Are we allowed to say what we really think without being called pessimists? I am hoping so.

60-102

Reasons:

1. You have not heard the last from JR's knee.

2. You have not heard the last from Larkin's mesh.

3. You have not heard the last from Casey's back.

4. You have not heard the last from Reitsma's elbow.

5. Acevedo will be just plain bad (soon people will be making the excuse that he has hardly pitched in the minors and was rushed, which is actually true).

6. Haynes will be the same awful pitcher he has always been.

7. Clark will get 500 AB's filling in for JR and Juan (because JR will be hurt and Encarnacion will be hitting .211 with 2 strike outs a game).

8. LaRue will hit .185 (like another great defensive catcher named Johnson).

9. Sullivan will finally blow up his rubber arm.

10. Graves' ERA will be 4.50.

Not saying this because I like it. But I don't think I have every seen an organization which HOPES for so many players to suddenly NOT do what they have historically done.
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Old 03-31-2002, 03:17 PM   #8
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Very astute, even more realisticx than mine, I would have predicted lower but felt the fear of censorship.
 
Old 03-31-2002, 03:40 PM   #9
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Back to the optimistic views, 85-77.
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Old 03-31-2002, 03:57 PM   #10
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I'll go along with the 85-77 crowd. Unfortunately I don't think we'll see the playoffs, but it will be a fun season. Maybe they will surprise me.
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Old 03-31-2002, 04:05 PM   #11
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74 wins.
 
Old 03-31-2002, 04:20 PM   #12
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86-76.

This team can hit (even though they have rarely shown it in ST). Pitching will probably falter, but if enough runs are scored...well, you know what happens. <img border="0" title="" alt="[Wink]" src="wink.gif" />
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Old 03-31-2002, 04:30 PM   #13
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I'll say also 85-77, but i hope for a better record. I don't know why some of you guys are only saying about 60 wins, even with a lot of injury's I don't see that happening.
 
Old 03-31-2002, 04:49 PM   #14
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76-86

Never in my life have I predicted a losing season for the Reds, and I have been doing predictions every preseason for the last 22 years. But you cannot win with Bob Boone as your manager, unless you have the 27 Yankees or the 76 Reds, and unfortunely we don't have either of those teams.
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Old 03-31-2002, 04:49 PM   #15
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Head says 80-82, heart is hoping for more.
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