I really think its either UL or UConn who go down first, if not both. For some reason I just don't see UL going very far. Its nothing against UL I just got a gut feeling.
Last edited by bucksfan2; 03-18-2009 at 08:20 AM.
Here's a photo article of past tournament upsets. It's their top 25 upsets.
http://www.prepticket.com/album/8232...92:Photo:51477
Reds Fan Since 1971
What do you guys think of Missouri? I've got them slated to beat Memphis, but I'm not sure if that is smart. I'm not sure why, but I really don't like Memphis. Mainly because they really haven't played many good teams.
I think WVRed just sneaked a peak at my bracket and stole my upsets for this post.
Of those you listed, I have:
1) Arizona over Utah
2) VCU over UCLA
3) Western Kentucky over Illinois
4) USC over Boston College
I do have Arizona State over Temple though. And you didn't list it, but I have Maryland over Cal.
Of course, I also have West Virginia over Kansas, which you listed as well.
The Lost Decade Average Season: 74-88
2014-22 Average Season: 71-91
The Lost Decade Average Season: 74-88
2014-22 Average Season: 71-91
UL has, in my mind, the toughest road to the Elite Eight of any #1 seeds, due to the fact that they face a potential matchup with Wake Forest in the Sweet 16. Wake's been a slightly schizo team this year, but they've beaten some great teams, are battle-tested through the ACC, and can play with anyone in the country.
If any of the big seeds are going to make early exits, my money is on UL.
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USC (#10), Arizona (#12), and Tennessee (#9) are the only lower seeded teams that aren't underdogs by Vegas.
USC -2
Tenn -2
Arizona - pk
I had always thought UL was a 2 seed heading into the tourny. It surprised me to see them get the #1 overall seed to say the least. And I agree they have the toughest road to the elite 8 but I think it starts in the second round. I know I am being somewhat of a homer but OSU has a team that is loaded with talent. It has underperformed but has quite a bit of top tier talent as well as a very good 3 point shooter. If they get past OSU they then could face Wake. A team that was #1 in the country at one point and again is loaded with top tier talent. In a one and done, 40 minutes all out, anything can happen especially when you play talented teams with good coaching. The bottom half of the bracket doesn't scare me as much for UL. MSU is an ok 2 seed and Kansas looks prime to be upset again, they are very young.
What do you guys think of Oklahoma. IMO Griffen was by far the best player in college basketball this season. Until his concussion, I have to admit I haven't watched him play since, they were my pick to go all the way. I just have a hard time betting against them, especially with UNC and Lawson's toe problems.
For comparison purposes, I run a small pool, I've got 44 sheets in right now, and here are some of the popular and unpopular upset picks:
In the Midwest, Arizona is getting some attention, though not quite as much as I thought. Utah is a 31-13 pick. Few people are carrying them past Wake though. Siena is getting no action for a #9, but that's to be expected with all the entries being from Ohio. USC is a slim favorite (24-20) over BC despite being the lower seed. Kansas isn't getting much of a chance against Michigan St. later on, the top two seeds seem to be holding.
In the west, the #10 is again favored over the #7 by a 24-20 vote, this time Maryland over Cal. A&M is a slight favorite over BYU despite being the lower seed. Here's a weird one, despite the well known 5/12 upset alert, and the fact that people loving calling the 12 for an upset, there isn't a single person thus far taking N. Iowa over Purdue. I've never seen a 5 so heavily favored over a 12. Utah St. is getting a fair amount of action, but not a ton. Memphis has become the overwhelming favorite to win the region, getting twice as many picks as Connecticut.
The east is looking extremely chalky. Pitt has more Final Four picks than any team in any region. Texas is a big favorite in the 7/10 game, not many believers in Minnesota. VCU is getting some first round attention, but I thought they would be a little trendier pick (it's 32-12 UCLA). A couple of upsets later on according to seeds, Florida St. has emerged as a slight favorite over Xavier, and Villanova a slight favorite over Duke.
In the south, Butler is a decent sized favorite to upset LSU in the 8/9 game. Michigan is getting little action in the 7/10 game despite the local team effect, it seems even Michigan fans aren't confident in that game. W. Kentucky is a somewhat trendy pick. Akron however is not. Usually there's at least a couple of MAC homer picks, being in the heart of MAC country here, but not a single person believes in the Zips. Temple is getting ignored, as was Dayton as the 11 in its region, no confidence in the A-10 I guess. Gonzaga is a huge favorite over Illinois later, and it's chalk from there on.
Once you get to the Final Four it's a jumble. The only thing that stands out is that Connecticut is completely unloved as a #1 seed. Only 2 out of 44 have them winning, fewer than #2 seeds Memphis and Michigan St. Louisville is the leader with 11.
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