Volquez is an excellent comp for this argument. The difference between Volquez's actual ERA and the ERA he would have without "luck" (xFIP) is 3.39 - 1.06 = 2.33. Volquez has struck out a tremendous number of hitters, but has had poor control, walking a batter every other inning. The high amount of walks, and his avoidance of the home run, has contributed to a higher xFIP. Meanwhile, Lee has also struck out many hitters, while maintaining much better control. The difference between his ERA and xFIP is 2.84 - 0.67 = 2.17. Volquez has benefitted from more "luck" this season than Lee. Lee's peripherals may be unmaintainable, but there is nothing so far this year to suggest he will not be a great pitcher this season...