I wouldn't worry about Janish outperforming anyone.
“I don’t care,” Votto said of passing his friend and former teammate. “He’s in the past. Bye-bye, Jay.”
Perhaps because of the injury, but his short stint was impressive and his minor league pedigree is good. I think he is a question mark, which I think is what you meant by your analogy, but has performed well enough to project as being at least average at the position, both with the stick and defensively. All things considered, that level of performance will benefit the team.
"Rounding 3rd and heading for home, good night everybody"
I'm not sure how impressive his debut really was.
He had 38 PA, zero walks.
A .345 BABIP and a 20% HR/FB rate indicates his low .800's OPS was not sustainable on that basis.
Now it was 38 PA, so it really means little in any event.
His minor league stats indicate he should be a servicable major league SS, but not much else.
With him coming off a serious injury, I think we needed more than one option.
TJ surgery is routine these days. Janish himself had it while in the minors, and to his throwing arm. Cozart's surgery was to his left elbow. Not a complete non-issue, but nothing to be real worried about.With him coming off a serious injury, I think we needed more than one option.
The problem as I see it is that if Cozart fails or sustains a long-term injury, neither Janish or Valdez are decent options - if this club plans on contending.
Depth is nice, but if the Reds need to rely on this depth more than occasionally then they are probably in trouble.
The results for 38 PA is completely irrelevant to this conversation. He clearly demonstrated MLB talent both at the plate in the field. His minor league results are the relevant indicator, and offensively he should be a positive addition to the offense's bottom line, and at least neutral defensively.
For the record, I had to eat crow for those who were begging for him last year much earlier. Not calling him up probably wouldn't have made a difference in the big picture since he wasn't a pitcher, but that misstep by management could have given them more than 38 PAs in the show to project for this season, which is evidenced by their handing him the job going into this season.
"Rounding 3rd and heading for home, good night everybody"
11 pages of debate that Janish is as good as Valdez...haha...Janish is one of the worst MLB players in the history of the game. Valdez can play all the infield positions with above average defense (Janish is pretty much just a SS) and is clearly, clearly, clearly a better hitter no matter how old he is. I would venture that Valdez will be a better hitter than Janish when he is 50. As to giving up something of value, it was Jeremy Horst...If Janish starts in AAA over some younger guy that should be playing I would be shocked. Amazing how tied into home-grown "talent" some of us Reds fans become. Janish is horrible, we should be happy we won't have to watch him be horrible...
Bum
The grass is always greener on the other side, I guess.
Over their last season's worth of playing time, they're basically the same guy production wise - Wilson has a slight edge that you certainly couldn't detect with your eyes. Valdez has been a better hitter. Janish has been a better fielder. It more or less comes out a wash.Code:PA AVG OBP SLG Fld WAR 2010 363 .258 .306 .360 1.9 1.1 2011 300 .249 .294 .341 -5.0 0.0 663 .254 .300 .351 -3.1 1.1 2010 228 .260 .338 .385 1.2 1.1 2011 366 .214 .259 .262 4.2 -0.4 594 .231 .289 .308 5.4 0.7
The idea that either guys is clearly better (that is, much more likely to outproduce the other given the same opportunity) is just silly and seems to be to be based in a visceral reaction from having the privilege of watching Janish suck -- and not having been able to watch Valdez.
I get that people really don't want Janish on the team. I'd love to have a better backup too. But the reality is that they are very similar players -- guys are quality defensive IFs who have played primarily at SS and some at 3B and 2B and who are poor hitters. Try to project them for 2012 and the bars of uncertainty around either players' performance significantly overlaps with the other guy.
It's completely possible that the Reds don't miss Horst at all. But let's not delude ourselves that one crappy hitting, good fielding 25th man is better than the other. It assumes way too much about our ability to differentiate between part-time players in small samples. Janish is not a good player and arguing that Valdez isn't much better is not to defend Janish so much as it is an effort to assess Valdez realistically.
Last edited by RedsManRick; 01-30-2012 at 01:59 PM.
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.
Valdez is better (and clearly a better hitter) and knows his job and has no problem with that being his job. For those that want to continue to hold onto this belief that Janish is actually a MLB player, carry-on for another 11 pages. I will just be happy that he is done and that Dusty won't be able to play him an excessive amount in the coming season. War means nothing to me; I will continue to go by real stats and actually watching players (as opposed to stats created by people that don't want to watch players).
11 pages! Hilarious!
Bum
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don't let facts get in the way of a good rant. I said it before, I'll say it again. You don't trade for Paul Janish... you buy him. You buy him, you buy Juan Castro's. You buy them you shouldn't trade for them, especially when you already have them.
Valdez is just Janish with a Latin last name and a few more miles. That's it. And if you THINK Valdez has value, then you think Janish has value.
Dubito Ergo Cogito Ergo Sum.
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