Brett Bartles
Scott Carroll
Tzu-Kai Chui
Chris Dickerson
Richie Gardner
Rafael Gonzalez
Sean Henry
Danny Herrera
Evan Hildenbrandt
Paul Janish
Derrik Lutz
Juan Rafael
Ramon Ramirez
Justin Reed
Justin Turner
Phil Valiquette
Other (please specify)
I agree with you on that, but 11 errors won't win you any Gold Gloves either. Would you say that Dickerson is a better defensive outfielder than Hopper?
I went with Janish, not because I believe he has much of an upside, but because I feel he's the safest bet to actually make it to the Major Leagues. I fully expect him to see some time as a spare glove in Cincinnati this year. I don't expect his bat to ever be more than Castroesque, but if any infielder goes down (and one will) he's going to get the callup.
I think Janish is a good pick here. This poll is very stats driven so it makes sense he would fall, he had some poor offensive numbers last year, but my guess is the Reds internally have him higher on their list.
Obviously an excellent fielder, Janish played last year as a 24 year old. At AA he had an OBP of .358. He had 54 Ks in 324 at bats, with no power. One could argue that, since he hits so many balls in play, if his "luck" factor improved he could have some decent seasons as a backup infielder. If he gets his walks up a bit more, that would help too.
Janish didn't do as well at AAA. But he is still only 25 and perhaps next year he will adjust to AAA pitching.
Minor league stats often don't tell the whole story. When a utility type player can keep the ball in play offensively, better things can happen for him.
Can we take this to mean you voted for Dorn fairly high up? I sure did. I have a couple of friends who played Minor League ball, and they both say that AA is the make or break point. If you are successful at AA, you've got the talent to play MLB. Then, it becomes a mental question of do you want it bad enough to focus your life around making the Big Leagues.
Last edited by gedred69; 01-08-2008 at 09:02 PM. Reason: additional thought
How does Marcus McBeth still count as a prospect? He has been in the the majors and is 28
He won't be 28 until August. But the real issue is that he still qualifies for a rookie and has just 163 professional innings under his belt. Compare that to say, Tyler Pelland (494 IP), Homer Bailey (353 IP), Matt Maloney (376.1), or Johnny Cueto (348.1).
His age is certainly the #1 factor in why he's ranked where he is, but it would be wrong to assume that he's not going to have a decent major league career just because he got a late start as a pitcher.
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.
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