Can anyone come up with a scenario where Jason Werth signs with the Nats or Cliff Lee turns down an extra $38M to sign with a team that shipped him out of town just a year ago? (famous shrug).
Things happen and the Mets are under new management that may want to 're-make' the team in a form that doesn't resemble that of the past management. (Once again, famous shrug.)
Rem
If that is the case, why not just let him walk? they won't get near what they will have to give up, and by give up i mean Reyes and a HUGE chunk of cash.
The only thing that makes any sense to me about picking up his option is they believe he is healthy and ready to go for a team that hasn't made a peep this off season.
Dubito Ergo Cogito Ergo Sum.
Have no idea how to come up with WAR. But looking at the numbers I'd say what Pedro posted about his minor league numbers feels right to me. I usually expect a drop off of about .20 across the board from the minors to the majors. I also look to see if there is a way for a player to improve upon his talents/skills and with Paul his skills are/were pretty maxed out when he got up to the pros. He has increased his strength and maybe that isn't quite maxed but I doubt it. So bumping that .20 back up for his improved strength (could be more, could be less) he is a .220 - .230 hitter in my estimation. With a little luck he could be adequate in the 8 hole. When the luck isn't there we'll let's just say we might have the pitcher leading off a whole lot of innings. Put him in the #2 hole (Dusty) and that number should decrease.
Being pessimistic .210/.260/.320 - .580 OPS, Solid but unspectacular defense = less than replacement level???
"You can't let praise or criticism get to you. It's a weakness to get caught up in either one."
--Woody Hayes
Where would you rank Janish defensively amongst all starting shortstops in the National League?
Trading a "power arm" like Bailey for the upgrade of Reyes over Janish seems to me unlikely to help us move toward beating a Phillies team that just added a 4th Number 1 pitcher. I'm surprised how little the Cliff Lee signing has altered RZ discussions. To me, it now becomes completely irrelevant for a team like the Reds to consider marginal upgrade trades at positions where we have cheap young players. All the resources spent in such deals are going to have to be harbored to go after the best pitching available and we're going to have to hope, simultaneously, that our very best arms can be developed if we're going to have a rotation even remotely able to go up against the Phillies successfully. It seems possible to me that a Greinke, Bailey, Chapman, Wood lineup might be up to the task by 2012.
Has anyone else noticed a large improvement in Janish's skills at the plate since we first saw him in the bigs? Or am I the only one. With him being 28 and showing noticeable improvement it doesn't make a ton of sense to use his minor league numbers to try and project his MLB numbers this year. If he went down in AAA he would be a .260-.280 hitter now days.
"Today was the byproduct of us thinking we can come back from anything." - Joey Votto after blowing a 10-1 lead and holding on for the 12-11 win on 8/25/2010.
"Today was the byproduct of us thinking we can come back from anything." - Joey Votto after blowing a 10-1 lead and holding on for the 12-11 win on 8/25/2010.
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