This has been thrown around a lot this season. While I think there's some truth to the core of young arms in baseball right now, it's interesting that offensive stats are down to pre-strike levels (read: pre-steroid levels).
I retrieved data for the last 30 years. Homers are down to a 17-year low. I think Citi Field, Comerica, Petco and some of these more spacious ballparks give hope that the homer-happy days of Major League Baseball could again be over for a while (these things always run in cycles anyhow).
Interestingly, though, strikeout rates are at an all-time high. That's partially because of the new, pitch-taking, homer-happy strategy... though the 3-run homers aren't as common these days.
But here's the 30-year data. It's interesting.
Code:
Year R/G HR BA OBP SLG OPS K% BB% HR%
2010 4.42 3,342 0.259 0.327 0.406 0.733 18.2% 8.6% 2.5%
2009 4.61 5,042 0.262 0.333 0.418 0.751 18.0% 8.9% 2.7%
2008 4.65 4,878 0.264 0.333 0.416 0.749 17.5% 8.7% 2.6%
2007 4.80 4,957 0.268 0.336 0.423 0.758 17.1% 8.5% 2.6%
2006 4.86 5,386 0.269 0.337 0.432 0.768 16.8% 8.4% 2.9%
2005 4.59 5,017 0.264 0.330 0.419 0.749 16.5% 8.2% 2.7%
2004 4.81 5,451 0.266 0.335 0.428 0.763 16.9% 8.6% 2.9%
2003 4.73 5,207 0.264 0.333 0.422 0.755 16.4% 8.5% 2.8%
2002 4.62 5,059 0.261 0.331 0.417 0.748 16.8% 8.7% 2.7%
2001 4.78 5,458 0.264 0.332 0.427 0.759 17.3% 8.5% 2.9%
2000 5.14 5,693 0.270 0.345 0.437 0.782 16.5% 9.6% 3.0%
1999 5.08 5,528 0.271 0.345 0.434 0.778 16.4% 9.4% 2.9%
1998 4.79 5,064 0.266 0.335 0.420 0.755 16.9% 8.7% 2.7%
1997 4.77 4,640 0.267 0.337 0.419 0.756 17.1% 8.9% 2.6%
1996 5.04 4,962 0.270 0.340 0.427 0.767 16.5% 9.1% 2.8%
1995 4.85 4,081 0.267 0.338 0.417 0.755 16.2% 9.1% 2.6%
1994 4.92 3,306 0.270 0.339 0.424 0.763 15.9% 8.9% 2.7%
1993 4.60 4,030 0.265 0.332 0.403 0.736 15.1% 8.7% 2.3%
1992 4.12 3,038 0.256 0.322 0.377 0.700 14.7% 8.5% 1.9%
1991 4.31 3,383 0.256 0.323 0.385 0.708 15.2% 8.7% 2.1%
1990 4.26 3,317 0.258 0.325 0.385 0.710 14.9% 8.6% 2.1%
1989 4.13 3,083 0.254 0.320 0.375 0.695 14.8% 8.5% 1.9%
1988 4.14 3,180 0.254 0.318 0.378 0.696 14.7% 8.1% 2.0%
1987 4.72 4,458 0.263 0.331 0.415 0.747 15.5% 8.9% 2.8%
1986 4.41 3,813 0.258 0.326 0.395 0.721 15.4% 8.8% 2.4%
1985 4.33 3,602 0.257 0.323 0.391 0.714 14.0% 8.6% 2.2%
1984 4.26 3,258 0.260 0.323 0.385 0.708 14.0% 8.3% 2.0%
1983 4.31 3,301 0.261 0.325 0.389 0.714 13.5% 8.4% 2.1%
1982 4.30 3,379 0.261 0.324 0.389 0.713 13.2% 8.3% 2.1%
1981 4.00 1,781 0.256 0.320 0.369 0.689 12.5% 8.4% 1.7%
1980 4.29 3,087 0.265 0.326 0.388 0.714 12.5% 8.2% 1.9%