|08-25-2013, 02:27 PM||#1|
Join Date: Jan 2001
Reds Stats Through 130 Games, 2013
Reds with a 6-4 stretch, including winning three of four against DBacks, rivals for wild card slot. Reds now 74-56 still in third place in NL Central. Trail Pirates and Cards by 2.5 games, those two teams exactly tied. Reds gained one on Pirates in this stretch, but lost two games in standings to hot Cards. Reds lead DBacks by seven in wild card race after head to head series win.
Reds now 41-23 at home, 33-33 on the road. Many websites have one road loss listed as a home loss, appears to be confusion caused by "home" game played at SF as rain makeup. Reds with five three game road series remaining, fifteen games, v. Cards, Rockies, Brewers, Astros, Pirates. Seventeen remaining at home, one with Brewers being played now, also Cards (four games), Dodgers, Cubs, Mets, Pirates.
Reds RS/RA +91 an improvement of +10 since last time. Reds third in NL in RS/RA. Only six NL teams with positive RS/RA, the six competing for playoff spots. Nationals with outside shot, slightly negative with -18 RS/RA. Reds still with best MLB record against sub-.500 teams, 48-21. Against teams currently at or above .500, Reds are up to 16th best, 26-35, just below average.
Reds v. RHP 52-35 (presumably, dependent on which pitcher gets the "win" or "loss" for opposition). This is fifth best MLB record. Against LHP, Reds 22-21, ninth best MLB record. Over last 30 games, Reds 17-13, only Dodgers and Braves better in NL.
Broxton on DL again, this time for the season, Christiani up. Cingrani about to go on DL with Reynolds coming up to make today's start.
Offense - Reds OPS .718, fifth best in NL. Last report was .714. Reds BA, .249, eighth best in NL and just below league average. Reds SLG now .392, slightly higher than last time and eighth in NL, just above league average. OBP is is third best in NL at .326. Reds wOBA is fifth best in NL at .315, Reds wRC+ is tied for 7th-8th in NL with Padres at 95. OPS+, Reds at 93 just below league average.
Reds hitting lefthanded (against all pitching) is tops in NL OPS at .793. OBP from the left side is .365, first place by far in NL. Reds batters hitting right handed with a .652 OPS, next to worst in NL (Marlins lower). From the right side, Reds with a .292 OBP, thirteenth in NL. Reds hitters (all) against lefthanded throwers at .707, seventh highest in NL. Against righties, Reds fifth in NL at .723 OPS.
When ahead in the game, Reds OPS is sixth best in NL, .721. When behind, Reds OPS is ninth best in NL, .682. When tied, Reds OPS is fourth best in NL at .749. In "late/close" situations as per MLB.com, Reds OPS is twelfth in NL at .652.
Reds with 39 stolen bases, only Cards with fewer in NL. Reds caught stealing 31 times, fourth most in NL. Reds grounded into 104 DPs, fifth most in NL. Reds second in Ultimate Base Running stat for NL, Mets with big lead. Reds wSB (Fangraphs translation of stolen base percentage in terms of runs) last in NL at -8.2.
With stretch run underway (IMO), a look at performance for last 14 days. For players with more than 15 PAs in that stretch, Heisey at .956 OPS, Hanigan .862, Choo .790, Votto .775, Phililps .769, Frazier, .698, Ludwick .690, Cozart .661, Mesoraco .630, Bruce .536. Paul and Hannahan with very good OPS in that stretch, but very few at bats, Paul over 1.000, Hannahan at .830.
Overall, OPS+ for Reds with qualified number of at bats this year, Votto at 152, Choo at 132, Bruce 113, Phillips 94, Frazier 91, Mesoraco 89, Cozart 72. Votto fourth in NL in OPS+ behind Goldschmidt, McCutcheon, and David Wright.
Pitching - Reds team ERA now 3.37, just .02 higher than last time and fourth in NL behind Pirates, Dodgers, and Braves. Reds starters at 3.31, second in NL behind Dodgers. Reds relievers 3.51 ERA, seventh in NL. Bullpen ERA up from 3.45 last report. Reds with 79 quality starts (six innings, three runs or fewer), second most in the NL. Reds starters credited with 55 wins, also second most in NL (Cards starters with most wins). Reds quality start percentage is 61% of all starts, second best in NL.
Reds pitchers have allowed 471 runs, including both earned and unearned, fourth fewest in NL. Reds starters have averaged 6.3 innings per start, most in NL. Reds starters have averaged 96 pitches per start, four teams with 97, entire league between 90-97. Interesting stat, percentage of runners left on base by starters who subsequently scored - Reds at 33%, only Pirates lower.
Relievers save percentage is 75% for Reds, fourth best in the NL behind Pirates, Braves, Padres. Reds relievers with 71 holds, trailing only Pirates. Reds relievers tied with Cubs allowing most homers per nine innings, NL, 1.09. Reds relievers lead NL in Ks per nine, 9.66, and have allowed fourth most walks of any NL bullpen, 3.53.
Reds pitching FIP is 3.65, sixth best in NL, Cards best at 3.37. Reds xFIP tied with Braves for second-third best in NL at 3.60, Dodgers with best at 3.57. Pitching WAR (Fangraphs), Reds at 14.1 tied with Cards for third-fourth in NL.
Last 14 days, pitching WAR, Latos 0.9 by far team leader. Arroyo at 0.5, Lecure 0.4. Simon worst at -0.3. Bailey and Broxton at -0.1. In that 14 day span, Arroyo at 3-0. Last 14 days ERA - Ondrusek 0.00, Latos 1.17, Hoover 1.35, Cingrani 1.80. Lecure 5.79, Simon 5.68, Leake 4.50, Bailey 3.54.
Full season, Latos at 4.1 WAR, Bailey 3.4, with large lead over the other Reds pitchers. BABIP against -- Parra .349, Lecure .304, Latos .304, Bailey .298, Chapman .292. Lowest BABIP (over 50 innings) are Cingrani .235, Simon .244, and Hoover .248.
Chapman has allowed a 22.5% line drive rate, Latos 21.7%. Broxton only 16.6% LD rate, Parra 18.0%. GB% for Reds pitchers include Leake at 48.5% and Parra 48.3%, Bailey 46%. Hoover only 32.2% grounders, Chapman 33.3%, Cingrani 33.8%.
Fielding - Reds with fourth highest UZR rating in NL, 16.3, trailing Arizona, Cubs, Giants. Three leaders have much higher range runs factor than Reds, for example Giants at 31.8 Reds at 13.4. Reds individual UZR ratings led by Todd Frazier at 10.0, Phillips 6.9, Cozart 4.7, Heisey 4.5, Bruce 3.1, Votto 1.7, Izturis 1.6. Choo at -14.8 due to range runs factor of -13.8. Reds with 63 errors, trailing only Cards and DBacks for fewest in NL. Baseball Reference shows a Rtot fielding stat, Total Zone Total Fielding Runs Above Avg. Reds lead the National League in this composite defensive stat with 75, compared to Braves (second) at 56.
Last edited by Kc61; 08-25-2013 at 08:13 PM.