Gonelong's 5th annual Season W/L prediction thread ... - Page 4 - RedsZone.com - Cincinnati Reds Fans' Home for Baseball Discussion

Eric_Davis · 03-28-2006, 03:38 PM

85-76.

One game will get rained out against Pittsburg that will never get made up.

Newport Red · 03-28-2006, 06:18 PM

The opposition and the Reds will both claim 81 games, shake hands and call it a year.

redsfanmia · 03-28-2006, 07:34 PM

This is going to go down as one of the worst years in recent memory 64 up and 98 down. On the bright side Wayne K is not afraid to make moves and totally blows it up.

reds44 · 03-28-2006, 07:47 PM

98-64

Im feeling lucky

Petitt33 · 03-28-2006, 07:54 PM

75-87.......

gonna be a long year.

Reds1 · 03-28-2006, 09:37 PM

I'm going for 84 wins.

Griffey will be up for MVP honors, the Reds will stay relatively healthy and a pitcher to be named later will be the key to our success. Also, you heard it here 1st - Milton will get 14 wins despite giving up 39 HRs.

Go Reds!

Betterread · 03-28-2006, 10:31 PM

They will win 10 more games because of improved starting pitching.
They will lose 10 more games because of a weaker offense.
They will fall back an additional 6 games because of a bad bullpen.
Prediction 67-95.
If they improve to 80 wins, I will be quite pleased. Later I will wonder why.

marcshoe · 03-28-2006, 11:31 PM

Right now, I will say 78-84. Another deal or two could change that, though.

M2 · 03-28-2006, 11:48 PM

I make no predictions until gonelong says it's time to predict.

gonelong · 03-29-2006, 12:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by M2

I make no predictions until gonelong says it's time to predict.

I was going to start a thread on Thur/Friday, figured we might have a better idea of when Larue was going to be back.

Here are the old ones if anyone is interested:
2002 http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4202
2003 http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=9414
2004 http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=21619
2005 http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=33108

GL

Ron Madden · 03-29-2006, 04:28 AM

I have nothing against Jerry Narron. I'd love to see him manage in AAA where he can mix and match scrappy baseball players with older guys who do the little things.

I'd love to see this pitching staff fool the world but....
With this pitching staff and this manager an 81-81 season bet would be a long shot.

My heart wants to say 88-74.

My head says 74-88. (hope i'm wrong)

KearnsyEars · 03-29-2006, 08:17 AM

90 and 72

Strikes Out Looking · 03-29-2006, 08:27 AM

88-74 and in contention for the Wild Card.

Here's how I think it will play out (in my wildest fantasies--or at least those not involving Elizabeth Hurley).

The Reds get off to a decent start in April as they get decent starting pitching (ERA of 4.5 for the month) and the bullpen blows only a couple of leads/saves. Womack is benched for a low OBP and lackluster defense--Freel and Aurilia basically split time at 2b after tax day.

As Memorial day winds closer, the Reds are a few games over .500. Wilson replaces Williams as the 5th Starter. Aurilia and Dunn see more time at 1b and Denforia is recalled from AAA to share time with Freel as the 4th OF when Dunn is at 1b. Dunn and JR. are both vying for the HR lead and Kearns, Ed. E and Lopez are having sold offensive years. Coffey becomes the closer and saves 90% of the leads he inherits.

Come summer, Williams and Milton (who has pitched sub 5.00 ERA) are dealt as part of a blockbuster deal (maybe 3 team) that gives the Reds another solid starting pitcher. They continue to play well until the last weekend of the season when they only need one victory to beat the Phillies out for the WC. They win on a Jr. home run, but the Phillies are in extra innings and we all have to sit on our hands until its over....

Sabo4Life · 03-29-2006, 01:03 PM

I like the wild card scenario, but I'm not as optimistic. 80-82

gonelong · 03-29-2006, 02:01 PM

Note: This is a good chance for all those lurkers out there to get a first post under their belt.

Ok, time for Gonelong's 5th annual Reds Win prediction thread. Similar to years past my requests are minimal:

1) We are not predicting a record here, but a range of 5 Wins you think the Reds will fall into. (Max range of 5 Ws, and not give or take 5 (a 10 W range).
2) Lets make our prediction as if your house was being bet on it. (Please no 162 Ws, etc ? we have other threads available for this)
3) I will be at home on opening day this year, not having a ticket, I'll be watching the game on the tube. (Please let this be on in HD!) I'll average the range in and come to a "Redszone consensus" (Hey, I just invented an Oxymoron!)
4) If I am feeling particularly sassy, I might just retroactively figure the first 4 Redszone's predictions and see how we "optimistic", "pessimistic", or "realistic" we are as a group.

Here are the historical prediction threads, if anyone wants to check on their past performance:
2002: http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4202
2003: http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=9414
2004: http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=21619
2005: http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=33108

I realize there is a VERY similar thread on sticky at this point. Feel free to ignore this one, I won't be put out either way.

My prediction for 2006 Range of Reds Wins is between 72-77 Ws.

GL

Edit: Ok, shame on all of you for not calling me out on "range of 5 W's" for the past 4 seasons. 72-77 is actually a range of six ... 72, 73, 74, 75, 76, & 77

03-28-2006, 03:38 PM	#46
Eric_Davis Member Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: Portland, Or Posts: 5,041	Re: 2006 Prediction Thread 85-76. One game will get rained out against Pittsburg that will never get made up. __________________ Rob Neyer: "Any writer who says he'd be a better manager than the worst manager is either 1) lying (i.e. 'using poetic license') or 2) patently delusional. Which isn't to say managers don't do stupid things that you or I wouldn't."

03-28-2006, 06:18 PM	#47
Newport Red Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: End of the bench Posts: 738	Re: 2006 Prediction Thread The opposition and the Reds will both claim 81 games, shake hands and call it a year. __________________ "Hyperbole is the greatest thing ever" Redsland

03-28-2006, 07:34 PM	#48
redsfanmia Member Join Date: Nov 2004 Location: indianapolis, IN Posts: 3,463	Re: 2006 Prediction Thread This is going to go down as one of the worst years in recent memory 64 up and 98 down. On the bright side Wayne K is not afraid to make moves and totally blows it up. __________________ I was in the ORG once, best 6 months of my life.

03-28-2006, 07:47 PM	#49
reds44 Member Join Date: Oct 2003 Location: North Carolina Posts: 23,790	Re: 2006 Prediction Thread 98-64 Im feeling lucky

03-28-2006, 07:54 PM	#50
Petitt33 Freelin' it Join Date: Jun 2004 Location: Ashland, Kentucky Posts: 616	Re: 2006 Prediction Thread 75-87....... gonna be a long year.

03-28-2006, 09:37 PM	#51
Reds1 Member Join Date: Jul 2000 Location: Newburgh, IN Posts: 3,442	Re: 2006 Prediction Thread I'm going for 84 wins. Griffey will be up for MVP honors, the Reds will stay relatively healthy and a pitcher to be named later will be the key to our success. Also, you heard it here 1st - Milton will get 14 wins despite giving up 39 HRs. Go Reds! __________________ And This One Belongs to the REDS!!!

03-28-2006, 10:31 PM	#52
Betterread Member Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 1,106	Re: 2006 Prediction Thread They will win 10 more games because of improved starting pitching. They will lose 10 more games because of a weaker offense. They will fall back an additional 6 games because of a bad bullpen. Prediction 67-95. If they improve to 80 wins, I will be quite pleased. Later I will wonder why.

03-28-2006, 11:31 PM	#53
marcshoe Ex-tixe Join Date: Dec 2002 Location: Just past Mars Posts: 4,526	Re: 2006 Prediction Thread Right now, I will say 78-84. Another deal or two could change that, though. __________________ At the Edge of the Woods Preview Go to the edge of the cliff and jump off. Build your wings on the way down. --Ray Bradbury

03-28-2006, 11:48 PM	#54
M2 Posting in Dynarama Join Date: Sep 2000 Location: Boston Posts: 26,809	Re: 2006 Prediction Thread I make no predictions until gonelong says it's time to predict. __________________ Baseball isn't a magic trick ... it doesn't get spoiled if you figure out how it works. - gonelong I'm witchcrafting everybody.

03-29-2006, 04:28 AM	#56
Ron Madden Member Join Date: Nov 2003 Posts: 5,815	Re: 2006 Prediction Thread I have nothing against Jerry Narron. I'd love to see him manage in AAA where he can mix and match scrappy baseball players with older guys who do the little things. I'd love to see this pitching staff fool the world but.... With this pitching staff and this manager an 81-81 season bet would be a long shot. My heart wants to say 88-74. My head says 74-88. (hope i'm wrong)

03-29-2006, 08:17 AM	#57
KearnsyEars Member Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: Columbus, Ohio Posts: 1,579	Re: 2006 Prediction Thread 90 and 72

03-29-2006, 08:27 AM	#58
Strikes Out Looking Member Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: Maryland Posts: 2,273	Re: 2006 Prediction Thread 88-74 and in contention for the Wild Card. Here's how I think it will play out (in my wildest fantasies--or at least those not involving Elizabeth Hurley). The Reds get off to a decent start in April as they get decent starting pitching (ERA of 4.5 for the month) and the bullpen blows only a couple of leads/saves. Womack is benched for a low OBP and lackluster defense--Freel and Aurilia basically split time at 2b after tax day. As Memorial day winds closer, the Reds are a few games over .500. Wilson replaces Williams as the 5th Starter. Aurilia and Dunn see more time at 1b and Denforia is recalled from AAA to share time with Freel as the 4th OF when Dunn is at 1b. Dunn and JR. are both vying for the HR lead and Kearns, Ed. E and Lopez are having sold offensive years. Coffey becomes the closer and saves 90% of the leads he inherits. Come summer, Williams and Milton (who has pitched sub 5.00 ERA) are dealt as part of a blockbuster deal (maybe 3 team) that gives the Reds another solid starting pitcher. They continue to play well until the last weekend of the season when they only need one victory to beat the Phillies out for the WC. They win on a Jr. home run, but the Phillies are in extra innings and we all have to sit on our hands until its over.... __________________ The Future Is Now!

03-29-2006, 01:03 PM	#59
Sabo4Life Four Eyed Phenom Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 7	Re: 2006 Prediction Thread I like the wild card scenario, but I'm not as optimistic. 80-82

03-29-2006, 02:01 PM	#60
gonelong Score Early, Score Often Join Date: Sep 2001 Posts: 4,129	Gonelong's 5th annual Season W/L prediction thread ... Note: This is a good chance for all those lurkers out there to get a first post under their belt. Ok, time for Gonelong's 5th annual Reds Win prediction thread. Similar to years past my requests are minimal: 1) We are not predicting a record here, but a range of 5 Wins you think the Reds will fall into. (Max range of 5 Ws, and not give or take 5 (a 10 W range). 2) Lets make our prediction as if your house was being bet on it. (Please no 162 Ws, etc ? we have other threads available for this) 3) I will be at home on opening day this year, not having a ticket, I'll be watching the game on the tube. (Please let this be on in HD!) I'll average the range in and come to a "Redszone consensus" (Hey, I just invented an Oxymoron!) 4) If I am feeling particularly sassy, I might just retroactively figure the first 4 Redszone's predictions and see how we "optimistic", "pessimistic", or "realistic" we are as a group. Here are the historical prediction threads, if anyone wants to check on their past performance: 2002: http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4202 2003: http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=9414 2004: http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=21619 2005: http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=33108 I realize there is a VERY similar thread on sticky at this point. Feel free to ignore this one, I won't be put out either way. My prediction for 2006 Range of Reds Wins is between 72-77 Ws. GL Edit: Ok, shame on all of you for not calling me out on "range of 5 W's" for the past 4 seasons. 72-77 is actually a range of six ... 72, 73, 74, 75, 76, & 77 Last edited by gonelong; 03-29-2006 at 02:09 PM.

Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Email this Page
Display Modes
Linear Mode Switch to Hybrid Mode Switch to Threaded Mode