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View Poll Results: Where does Homer begin 2007?
AA 10 7.52%
AAA 102 76.69%
MLB 20 15.04%
On another team 1 0.75%
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Old 10-01-2006, 01:34 PM   #1
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What level does Homer start next year?

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Old 10-01-2006, 01:38 PM   #2
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Re: What level does Homer start next year?

He'll start at AAA, but he won't be there long, I wouldn't think.
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Old 10-01-2006, 01:46 PM   #3
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Re: What level does Homer start next year?

AAA

Plan your staff like he's not going to be there; ie- bring in a FA pitcher, a #2-3 type to add to Harang and Arroyo.

If Homer's tearing it up again, or if (when) someone goes down, bring him up in May or early June. Because I think he'll struggle a little bit right away, but having most of the season in front of him will give him time to get settled and adjust.

By the end of 2007, he's at least the Reds #3 starter, IMO.
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Old 10-01-2006, 01:54 PM   #4
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Re: What level does Homer start next year?

Krivsky said in the booth the other night that he'll probably start in Louisville... he feels AAA is very important in a player's development.
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Old 10-01-2006, 02:05 PM   #5
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Re: What level does Homer start next year?

Meet your opening day starter: HOMER BAILEY!

Nah, I chose AAA.
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Old 10-01-2006, 02:07 PM   #6
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Re: What level does Homer start next year?

I couldn't possibly care less if he's not with the big club, where he should be. He can be washing cars for all I care. He's got nothing to learn at AAA or AA.
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Old 10-01-2006, 02:32 PM   #7
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Re: What level does Homer start next year?

No reasone to start his arbitration clock, leave him in the minors for atleast 2 more years.
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Old 10-01-2006, 02:35 PM   #8
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Re: What level does Homer start next year?

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No reasone to start his arbitration clock, leave him in the minors for atleast 2 more years.
Sounds like old management....

I don't think that's an issue anymore
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Old 10-01-2006, 04:12 PM   #9
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Re: What level does Homer start next year?

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Sounds like old management....

I don't think that's an issue anymore
I was being stupid, like I am often. I think that David would be great as the 4th starter next year but it sounds like from Krivsky that unless he is lights out in the spring that he will start the season at AAA.
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Old 10-01-2006, 08:55 PM   #10
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Re: What level does Homer start next year?

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I couldn't possibly care less if he's not with the big club, where he should be. He can be washing cars for all I care. He's got nothing to learn at AAA or AA.
That is not what his coaches say at AA. While they believe he is the "real deal", the areas where he still needs work is with his change-up and breaking ball (especially vs lefties).

I believe they'll start him at AAA, and go from there.

But success at AA, and vs AA hitting is not a guarantee of success vs ML level hitting. Big difference IMO.

He'll be up here soon enough.
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Old 10-01-2006, 10:33 PM   #11
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Re: What level does Homer start next year?

It all depends on how he pitches in Spring Training. Jerry wanted him called up this year. K would have a hard time telling Jerry "no" again if Homer kicks butt in Florida.
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Old 10-01-2006, 11:26 PM   #12
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Re: What level does Homer start next year?

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I couldn't possibly care less if he's not with the big club, where he should be. He can be washing cars for all I care. He's got nothing to learn at AAA or AA.
Except that whole pesky third pitch thing.

If his change is down, then he should start the year at AAA and get proficient at working deeper into ballgames and retiring better hitters. AAA would be a tune-up stop for him where he can get some experience facing guys with ML service time before making the jump up to the show.

If his change isn't down, then he needs to repeat AA and learn to throw it for strikes. He can't get by as a big-league starter with just two pitches -- he'll kill his arm trying to put everything on his fastball if he thinks that is the only weapon he has against hitters.
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Old 10-02-2006, 01:25 AM   #13
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Re: What level does Homer start next year?

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Originally Posted by redsfanmia View Post
No reasone to start his arbitration clock, leave him in the minors for atleast 2 more years.

Yeah, let's make sure the intriguing 3-man rotation anchor window of Harang + Arroyo + Homer can't ever happen. let him miss out on learning from two workhorses that get almost max results for their talents.

I'd like to see another 8-10 Michalak starts down the stretch drive in 2007...

Barring unforeseen derailing, Homer ought to be up with the club by Memorial Day at the lastest and in the rotation starting after July 4th...
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Old 10-02-2006, 06:56 AM   #14
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Re: What level does Homer start next year?

He will start in AAA, me thinks.
I think they will keep him pretty late during Spring Training, unless he gets absolutely bombed. Of course in doing so, that will bring many to assume he is going north with the big club - until he is sent down the last week, or so.
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Old 10-02-2006, 09:32 AM   #15
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Re: What level does Homer start next year?

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Except that whole pesky third pitch thing.

If his change is down, then he should start the year at AAA and get proficient at working deeper into ballgames and retiring better hitters. AAA would be a tune-up stop for him where he can get some experience facing guys with ML service time before making the jump up to the show.

If his change isn't down, then he needs to repeat AA and learn to throw it for strikes. He can't get by as a big-league starter with just two pitches -- he'll kill his arm trying to put everything on his fastball if he thinks that is the only weapon he has against hitters.
He'll dominate AAA. And he'll still not have worked out his third pitch. That's just more mileage on his arm that the Reds aren't seeing the benefit of. Now if the idea is to leave him at AAA to send his trade value to the roof, then sign me up. Otherwise, this organization is just putting mileage on an arm that could be used on the big team. Use him or trade him.
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