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#136 |
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Lime in da Coconut
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: Rainelle, WV
Posts: 7,712
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
79 wins.
I actually think 86, but every year I get optimistic and predict a big year. I've got to change that luck!
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www.ris-news.com "The price of seeking to force our beliefs on others is that someday they might force their beliefs on us." Mario Cuomo "You only have to bat a thousand in two things; flying and heart transplants. Everything else you can go 4-for-5." -Beano Cook |
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#137 |
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HOF CLASS OF '12
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Springfield, Ohio
Posts: 8,994
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
Last years final standings:
Central W L PCT GB St. Louis 83 78 .516 - Houston 82 80 .506 1.5 Cincinnati 80 82 .494 3.5 Milwaukee 75 87 .463 8.5 Pittsburgh 67 95 .414 16.5 Chicago 66 96 .407 17.5 Trend in the division: More offense, Less pitching Key addition's per team: (Most Impact adds in Red) St. Louis - Adam Kennedy/Kip Wells Houston - Carlos Lee/Mark Loretta/Jason Jennings/Woody Williams Cincinnati - Alex Gonzales/Jeff Conine/Josh Hamilton/Kirk Sarloos/Mike Stanton Milwaukee - Tony Graffinino/Craig Counsell/Johnny Estrada/Jeff Suppan/Claudio Vargas/Greg Aquino/Elmer Dessens Pittsburgh - Adam Laroche/Tony Armas Jr. Chicago - Alfonso Soriano/Cliff Floyd/Mark Derosa/Daryle Ward/Ted Lilly/Jason Marquis/Neal Cotts Key Defections: St. Louis - Jeff Suppan, Jeff Weaver, Ron Belliard Houston - Roger Clemens, Andy Pettite, Aubrey Huff Cincinnati - Rich Aurilia Milwaukee - Jeff Cirillo, Brady Clark, Doug Davis Pittsburgh - Joe Randa, Mike Gonzales Chicago - Juan Pierre Key Injury returnee's: (These are just possible returnees) St. Louis - Mark Mulder Houston - Morgan Ensberg Cincinnati - Ken Griffey Jr Milwaukee - Ben Sheets, Corey Koskie Pittsburgh - NA Chicago - Derek Lee, Mark Prior, Kerry Wood What's it all mean: St. Louis: Worse (Rotation and/or Pen) Houston: Worse (Rotation and defense doesn't make up for offense adds) Cincinnati: Same to better (Better def., better bench may make up for poss small decline in pitching overall) Milwaukee: Much Better (Better Staff and Pen, Same Off, similiar to better D) Pittsburgh: Slightly better (1 yr of maturity for pitch, better off, sim def) Chicago: Much better but 20-25 games better no (better off, worse def. same to worse pitching) 2007 Standings: (Injuries not withstanding) Milwaukee - 88 wins Cincinnati - 86 wins St. Louis - 81 Wins Chicago - 80 wins Pittsburgh - 76 Wins Houston - 72 wins
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2008 Reds Draft Prospect RZ Scouting Reports 2009 Reds Draft Prospect RZ Scouting Reports 2010 Reds Draft Prospect RZ Scouting Reports "You can't let praise or criticism get to you. It's a weakness to get caught up in either one." --Woody Hayes |
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#138 |
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Ex-Tree
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Evansville
Posts: 230
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
I think it's going to be tightly bunched again this season. Reds get 85 wins, and it might be enough to win. The only team that won't be in it is Pittsburgh. Everyone else stays in it until Sept.
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Semper Ubi Sub Ubi |
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#139 |
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Rally Onion!
Join Date: May 2000
Location: Cincinnati, OH
Posts: 33,227
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
81 wins 81 losses
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The Rally Onion wants 150 fans before Opening Day. http://www.facebook.com/pages/Rally-...24872650873160 |
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#140 |
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Member
Join Date: Apr 2000
Location: Vancouver, Wa
Posts: 8,222
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
91
Dunn, MVP Harang Cy Candidate Ross big year Griff traded
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“Our team is a team full of fighters. They never panic. We don't necessarily get all the hits we want all the time, but we find a way to win.” – Dusty Baker |
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#141 |
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Will post for food
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Dublin, OH
Posts: 5,099
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
74-88
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#142 |
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Member
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Radford, Virginia
Posts: 282
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
89-73 for me
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#143 |
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Member
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: West Virginia
Posts: 939
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
88-74
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Let's play two!!! |
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#144 | |
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Beer is good!!
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Indianapolis
Posts: 4,136
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
Quote:
Well having watched "The "Price is Right" for years, I am going to top ya by one. I will go for 99 wins.....Your old coach is sorry about doin that to ya Ryan!! Yea 99 wins sounds crazy, but no one will remember my prediction 5 months from now and if the Reds do by some miracle have 99 wins, I will look like a freaking genius!!!
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"Boys, I'm one of those umpires that misses 'em every once in a while so if it's close, you'd better hit it." Cal Hubbard |
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#145 |
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OlafTheBlack
Join Date: May 2000
Location: Woodbridge, VA
Posts: 2,039
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
72-90 this season
One of the better predictors of how the season will go is the final 10-ish games of spring training (I used the final 12), when rotations are being set and everyday lineups are being used more often and for longer periods. Reds went 5-7 in that period. Extrapolated over a full season that means 68 or so wins. I think the Reds are a tad better than that so I'm saying 72 wins this year.
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Genius|Madness "Somebody will be bigger, stronger and faster than you, growing up," Griffey said with a shrug. "So why worry about it? As long as you don't let them outwork you, and you can look yourself in the mirror, then that's all you should worry about. Never worry about what somebody else is doing." |
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#146 |
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Member
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 3
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
86 wins
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#147 |
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Member
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Lebanon, OH
Posts: 203
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
84 wins
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R.I.P Farney 12/22/2012 |
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#148 |
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You're being very UnDude.
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Columbus, OH
Posts: 1,575
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
Egads!
79 wins ignore my signature
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Witty signature. |
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#149 |
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Little Reds BandWagon
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 3,244
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
77 wins.
And that's being optimistic.
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"...You just have a wider lens than one game." --Former Reds GM Wayne Krivsky, on why he didn't fly Josh Hamilton to Colorado for one game. "...its money well-spent. Don't screw around with your freedom." --Roy Tucker, on why you need to lawyer up when you find yourself swimming with sharks. |
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#150 |
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Member
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 68
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
83-79
Good for Narron's first winning season as a manager and a 3 year contract extension.
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