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Old 04-12-2008, 11:53 AM   #1
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Reds 2008 Pythagorean record

IIRC we had a thread last year or the year before where we kept track of the Reds Pythagorean record nightly. I know it's early but I'd like to go ahead and start tracking now so we can look back on this thread later in the season. You can't edit posts after so many hours, so I'll just make a nightly post with the updated numbers.

Runs scored: 48
Runs allowed: 38
Differential: +10

Reds Pythagorean record: 7-4

Reds actual record: 6-5

So far we're one game under what we should be.
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Old 04-12-2008, 12:00 PM   #2
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Re: Reds 2008 Pythagorean record

Quote:
Originally Posted by OnBaseMachine View Post
IIRC we had a thread last year or the year before where we kept track of the Reds Pythagorean record nightly. I know it's early but I'd like to go ahead and start tracking now so we can look back on this thread later in the season. You can't edit posts after so many hours, so I'll just make a nightly post with the updated numbers.

Runs scored: 48
Runs allowed: 38
Differential: +10

Reds Pythagorean record: 7-4

Reds actual record: 6-5

So far we're one game under what we should be.
Yeah, I plan to do it again this year, but I'm going to wait until the Reds have played 20 games or so. At this point, the Pythagorean record is of little use. In the meantime, here's the prerequisite reading: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/ar...?articleid=342
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Last edited by paintmered; 04-12-2008 at 12:03 PM.
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Old 04-12-2008, 12:21 PM   #3
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Re: Reds 2008 Pythagorean record

Ah, what the heck, let's start early.

Code:
AL EAST		G	W	L	PCT	GB	RS	RA	Diff	PPCT	PW	PL	+/-	PWON	PLOSS
Baltimore	10	6	4	0.600	-	50	45	5	0.549	5	5	1	89	73
NY Yankees	11	6	5	0.545	0.5	35	40	-5	0.438	5	6	1	71	91
Toronto		10	5	5	0.500	1	53	40	13	0.629	6	4	-1	102	60
Tampa Bay	10	5	5	0.500	1	55	44	11	0.603	6	4	-1	98	64
Boston		11	5	6	0.455	1.5	43	51	-8	0.421	5	6	0	68	94
AL CENTRAL	G	W	L	PCT	GB	RS	RA	Diff	PPCT	PW	PL	+/-	PWON	PLOSS
Kansas City	10	6	4	0.600	-	33	29	4	0.560	6	4	0	91	71
Chicago Sox	9	5	4	0.556	0.5	52	49	3	0.528	5	4	0	85	77
Minnesota	10	5	5	0.500	1	40	39	1	0.512	5	5	0	83	79
Cleveland	10	4	6	0.400	2	44	52	-8	0.423	4	6	0	68	94
Detroit		10	2	8	0.200	4	33	60	-27	0.246	2	8	0	40	122
AL WEST		G	W	L	PCT	GB	RS	RA	Diff	PPCT	PW	PL	+/-	PWON	PLOSS
Oakland		11	7	4	0.636	-	51	40	11	0.612	7	4	0	99	63
LA Angels	11	6	5	0.545	1	52	51	1	0.509	6	5	0	82	80
Texas		10	5	5	0.500	1.5	44	46	-2	0.479	5	5	0	78	84
Seattle		11	5	6	0.455	2	48	47	1	0.510	6	5	-1	83	79
NL EAST		G	W	L	PCT	GB	RS	RA	Diff	PPCT	PW	PL	+/-	PWON	PLOSS
Florida		10	7	3	0.700	-	55	60	-5	0.459	5	5	2	74	88
NY Mets		9	5	4	0.556	1.5	48	33	15	0.668	6	3	-1	108	54
Philadelphia	11	5	6	0.455	2.5	47	55	-8	0.427	5	6	0	69	93
Atlanta		10	4	6	0.400	3	53	45	8	0.576	6	4	-2	93	69
Washington	11	3	8	0.273	4.5	44	56	-12	0.389	4	7	-1	63	99
NL CENTRAL	G	W	L	PCT	GB	RS	RA	Diff	PPCT	PW	PL	+/-	PWON	PLOSS
St. Louis	11	8	3	0.727	-	48	32	16	0.681	7	4	1	110	52
Milwaukee	10	6	4	0.600	1.5	50	41	9	0.592	6	4	0	96	66
Chicago Cubs	10	6	4	0.600	1.5	52	48	4	0.537	5	5	1	87	75
Cincinnati	11	6	5	0.545	2	48	38	10	0.608	7	4	-1	98	64
Pittsburgh	10	4	6	0.400	3.5	50	61	-11	0.408	4	6	0	66	96
Houston		11	3	8	0.273	5	43	54	-11	0.395	4	7	-1	64	98
NL WEST		G	W	L	PCT	GB	RS	RA	Diff	PPCT	PW	PL	+/-	PWON	PLOSS
Arizona		10	8	2	0.800	-	62	29	33	0.805	8	2	0	130	32
San Diego	11	6	5	0.545	2.5	39	36	3	0.537	6	5	0	87	75
LA Dodgers	10	4	6	0.400	4	36	41	-5	0.439	4	6	0	71	91
Colorado	10	4	6	0.400	4	30	50	-20	0.278	3	7	1	45	117
San Francisco	11	4	7	0.364	4.5	27	53	-26	0.221	2	9	2	36	126
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Old 04-14-2008, 02:26 PM   #4
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Re: Reds 2008 Pythagorean record

Sunday's 9-1 loss hurt our differential.

Runs scored: 52
Runs allowed: 51
Differential: +1

Reds Pythagorean record: 7-6

Reds actual record: 6-7

-1
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Old 04-16-2008, 02:02 PM   #5
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Re: Reds 2008 Pythagorean record

Runs scored: 57
Runs allowed: 60
Differential: -3

Reds Pythagorean record: 7-7

Reds actual record: 6-8

-1
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Old 04-17-2008, 05:39 PM   #6
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Re: Reds 2008 Pythagorean record

Runs scored: 69
Runs allowed: 74
Differential: -5

Reds Pythagorean record: 7-9

Reds actual record: 7-9

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Old 04-20-2008, 07:22 PM   #7
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Re: Reds 2008 Pythagorean record

Runs scored: 78
Runs allowed: 87
Differential: -9

Reds Pythagorean record: 9-10

Reds actual record: 8-11

-1
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Old 04-20-2008, 07:49 PM   #8
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Re: Reds 2008 Pythagorean record

Code:
AL EAST		G	W	L	PCT	GB	RS	RA	Diff	P PCT	PW	PL	+/-	PWON	PLOSS
Boston		20	13	7	0.650	-	104	97	7	0.533	11	9	2	86	76
Baltimore	19	11	8	0.579	1.5	84	84	0	0.500	10	9	1	81	81
Toronto		19	10	9	0.526	2.5	94	76	18	0.598	11	8	-1	97	65
NY Yankees	20	10	10	0.500	3.0	85	93	-8	0.458	9	11	1	74	88
Tampa Bay	19	8	11	0.421	4.5	92	86	6	0.531	10	9	-2	86	76
AL CENTRAL	G	W	L	PCT	GB	RS	RA	Diff	P PCT	PW	PL	+/-	PWON	PLOSS
Chicago Sox	18	11	7	0.611	-	98	66	32	0.677	12	6	-1	110	52
Minnesota	19	9	10	0.474	2.5	71	78	-7	0.456	9	10	0	74	88
Kansas City	19	9	10	0.474	2.5	63	77	-14	0.407	8	11	1	66	96
Cleveland	19	7	12	0.368	4.5	79	90	-11	0.439	8	11	-1	71	91
Detroit		19	6	13	0.316	5.5	77	117	-40	0.314	6	13	0	51	111
AL WEST		G	W	L	PCT	GB	RS	RA	Diff	P PCT	PW	PL	+/-	PWON	PLOSS
LA Angels	20	12	8	0.600	-	97	87	10	0.551	11	9	1	89	73
Oakland		20	12	8	0.600	-	91	75	16	0.589	12	8	0	95	67
Seattle		20	10	10	0.500	2.0	94	85	9	0.547	11	9	-1	89	73
Texas		19	7	12	0.368	4.5	79	97	-18	0.405	8	11	-1	66	96
NL EAST		G	W	L	PCT	GB	RS	RA	Diff	P PCT	PW	PL	+/-	PWON	PLOSS
NY Mets		16	10	6	0.625	-	82	57	25	0.664	11	5	-1	108	54
Florida		18	11	7	0.611	-	82	95	-13	0.432	8	10	3	70	92
Atlanta		18	9	9	0.500	2.0	96	65	31	0.675	12	6	-3	109	53
Philadelphia	18	8	10	0.444	3.0	80	79	1	0.506	9	9	-1	82	80
Washington	19	5	14	0.263	6.5	67	100	-33	0.321	6	13	-1	52	110
NL CENTRAL	G	W	L	PCT	GB	RS	RA	Diff	P PCT	PW	PL	+/-	PWON	PLOSS
Chicago Cubs	18	12	6	0.667	-	111	86	25	0.617	11	7	1	100	62
St. Louis	19	12	7	0.632	0.5	87	68	19	0.613	12	7	0	99	63
Milwaukee	18	11	7	0.611	1.0	87	74	13	0.575	10	8	1	93	69
Cincinnati	19	8	11	0.421	4.5	78	87	-9	0.449	9	10	-1	73	89
Pittsburgh	18	7	11	0.389	5.0	81	117	-36	0.335	6	12	1	54	108
Houston		19	7	12	0.368	5.5	73	88	-15	0.414	8	11	-1	67	95
NL WEST		G	W	L	PCT	GB	RS	RA	Diff	P PCT	PW	PL	+/-	PWON	PLOSS
Arizona		18	13	5	0.722	-	116	65	51	0.747	13	5	0	121	41
Colorado	18	9	9	0.500	4.0	76	87	-11	0.437	8	10	1	71	91
San Diego	19	9	10	0.474	4.5	62	82	-20	0.372	7	12	2	60	102
San Francisco	19	8	11	0.421	5.5	61	94	-33	0.308	6	13	2	50	112
LA Dodgers	18	7	11	0.389	6.0	73	68	5	0.533	10	8	-3	86	76
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Last edited by paintmered; 04-20-2008 at 07:54 PM.
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Old 04-22-2008, 11:35 PM   #9
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Re: Reds 2008 Pythagorean record

Runs scored: 89
Runs allowed: 97
Differential: -8

Reds Pythagorean record: 10-11

Reds actual record: 9-12

-1
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Old 04-27-2008, 08:59 PM   #10
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Re: Reds 2008 Pythagorean record

Runs scored: 116
Runs allowed: 124
Differential: -8

Reds Pythagorean record: 12-14

Reds actual record: 11-15

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Old 04-28-2008, 11:17 PM   #11
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Re: Reds 2008 Pythagorean record

Runs scored: 120
Runs allowed: 127
Differential: -7

Reds Pythagorean record: 13-14

Reds actual record: 12-15

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