2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. - Page 12 - RedsZone.com - Cincinnati Reds Fans' Home for Baseball Discussion

Mario-Rijo · 07-31-2009, 02:35 AM

The injuries were just too plentiful to reach my magic number of 78 (IIRC, too lazy to look). I still think they wind up close enough that the lost wins due to injury could have bridged it to 78.

Ron Madden · 07-31-2009, 02:53 AM

Every Club has to deal with injuries.

I actually thought the pitching would be better than it has been.

I knew from the get go the offense and Dusty were bound to fail.

Lord Have Mercy! I'd be happy with 3 or 4 wins a week from here on out.

KronoRed · 07-31-2009, 03:18 AM

I'm still feeling good about 74 wins, though I may have been too much of a kool aid drinker.

cumberlandreds · 07-31-2009, 07:14 AM

Looks like my 78 prediction is way too optimistic. It will certainly be lower next season.

Highlifeman21 · 10-04-2009, 08:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cumberlandreds

Looks like my 78 prediction is way too optimistic. It will certainly be lower next season.

If they win today, your prediction is dead on.

If they lose, those who picked 77 take the cake.

Highlifeman21 · 10-04-2009, 08:50 AM

If the Reds lose today and finish with 77 wins, the following people correctly picked 77:

*BaseClogger 77
BuckeyeRedleg 77
Cyclone 792 77
boognish 77

If the Reds beat up on the mighty might Pirates and pull off the win that will propel us to greatness in 2010, leaving us with 78 for this season, the following people correctly picked 78:

gonelong 78
edabbs44 78
cumberlandreds 78
BRM 78
kbrake 78
Mario-Rijo 78
Red in Chicago 78
HumnHilghtFreel 78
Boss-Hog 78
GoReds33 78
Stormy 78

In honor of gonelong, let's see the Reds get that W, so his 78 comes true

wheels · 10-04-2009, 10:03 AM

It's amazing to me that they've won 77 games.

At mid season it looked as if my 70 win prediction was too optimistic.

I ain't exactly going ape excrement over it, though.

nate · 10-04-2009, 11:30 AM

Don't forget my +/-10 game spread!

RedsManRick · 10-04-2009, 11:31 AM

So close... I had us at 79.

oneupper · 10-04-2009, 11:54 AM

Like wheels', my 71 were looking optimistic when the team was 51-71. Quite a tear since then.

2009 was truly a "tale of two teams". This team is quite different without Taveras, Encarnacion, Gonzalez and some of the other departed/wounded.
(yes probably even Harang).

I still think team Aug-Sep would be even better without Duhsty./

deadhorse

OnBaseMachine · 10-04-2009, 12:52 PM

I predicted 83 wins. If the Reds hadn't been devastated by injuries then they may have reach 83.

TheNext44 · 10-04-2009, 01:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OnBaseMachine

I predicted 83 wins. If the Reds hadn't been devastated by injuries then they may have reach 83.

If you just plug in the players who were hurt career numbers in exchange for the guys who filled in for them, one can show that injuries cost the Reds 8 wins this year. Considering that all teams have injuries, I think it is safe to say that the Reds higher than normal injury rate cost them at least 4 games more than normal.

So it seems like your prediction was real close.

RedsManRick · 10-04-2009, 01:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OnBaseMachine

I predicted 83 wins. If the Reds hadn't been devastated by injuries then they may have reach 83.

Of course, if Taveras had stayed healthy we might not have reached 75.

nate · 10-04-2009, 01:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RedsManRick

Of course, if Taveras had stayed healthy we might not have reached 75.

Heh!

OnBaseMachine · 10-04-2009, 01:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RedsManRick

Of course, if Taveras had stayed healthy we might not have reached 75.

True.

07-31-2009, 02:35 AM	#166
Mario-Rijo HOF CLASS OF '12 Join Date: Apr 2005 Location: Springfield, Ohio Posts: 8,987	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. The injuries were just too plentiful to reach my magic number of 78 (IIRC, too lazy to look). I still think they wind up close enough that the lost wins due to injury could have bridged it to 78. __________________ 2008 Reds Draft Prospect RZ Scouting Reports 2009 Reds Draft Prospect RZ Scouting Reports 2010 Reds Draft Prospect RZ Scouting Reports "You can't let praise or criticism get to you. It's a weakness to get caught up in either one." --Woody Hayes

07-31-2009, 02:53 AM	#167
Ron Madden Member Join Date: Nov 2003 Posts: 5,815	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. Every Club has to deal with injuries. I actually thought the pitching would be better than it has been. I knew from the get go the offense and Dusty were bound to fail. Lord Have Mercy! I'd be happy with 3 or 4 wins a week from here on out.

07-31-2009, 03:18 AM	#168
KronoRed The Lineups stink. Join Date: Jun 2003 Location: West N. Carolina Posts: 55,342	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. I'm still feeling good about 74 wins, though I may have been too much of a kool aid drinker. __________________ Go Gators!

07-31-2009, 07:14 AM	#169
cumberlandreds Member Join Date: May 2003 Location: Sterling VA Posts: 7,826	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. Looks like my 78 prediction is way too optimistic. It will certainly be lower next season. __________________ Reds Fan Since 1971

10-04-2009, 08:50 AM	#171
Highlifeman21 Member Join Date: Jul 2005 Location: Bristol, just around the corner from ESPN Posts: 8,694	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. If the Reds lose today and finish with 77 wins, the following people correctly picked 77: *BaseClogger 77 BuckeyeRedleg 77 Cyclone 792 77 boognish 77 If the Reds beat up on the mighty might Pirates and pull off the win that will propel us to greatness in 2010, leaving us with 78 for this season, the following people correctly picked 78: gonelong 78 edabbs44 78 cumberlandreds 78 BRM 78 kbrake 78 Mario-Rijo 78 Red in Chicago 78 HumnHilghtFreel 78 Boss-Hog 78 GoReds33 78 Stormy 78 In honor of gonelong, let's see the Reds get that W, so his 78 comes true

10-04-2009, 10:03 AM	#172
wheels Dented and Spent Join Date: Dec 2002 Location: Columbus, Ohio Posts: 6,533	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. It's amazing to me that they've won 77 games. At mid season it looked as if my 70 win prediction was too optimistic. I ain't exactly going ape excrement over it, though. __________________ "Opening Day.... Pfffft! We get all excited, thinking they're gonna have some kinda great year....Same thing over and over. Disappointment. What time do you want me to come over?" - My Dad. Opening Day 2012.

10-04-2009, 11:30 AM	#173
nate High five! Join Date: Sep 2005 Location: Anaheim, CA Posts: 6,761	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. Don't forget my +/-10 game spread! __________________ "Bring on Rod Stupid!"

10-04-2009, 11:31 AM	#174
RedsManRick Stat Wanker Hodiernus Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Chicago, IL Posts: 14,905	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. So close... I had us at 79. __________________ Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.

10-04-2009, 11:54 AM	#175
oneupper Danger is my business! Join Date: Jun 2004 Location: Back in Florida Posts: 7,842	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. Like wheels', my 71 were looking optimistic when the team was 51-71. Quite a tear since then. 2009 was truly a "tale of two teams". This team is quite different without Taveras, Encarnacion, Gonzalez and some of the other departed/wounded. (yes probably even Harang). I still think team Aug-Sep would be even better without Duhsty./deadhorse __________________ "A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky, dangerous animals and you know it." http://dalmady.blogspot.com

10-04-2009, 12:52 PM	#176
OnBaseMachine Member Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 34,655	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. I predicted 83 wins. If the Reds hadn't been devastated by injuries then they may have reach 83.

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