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Old 03-24-2010, 04:45 AM   #1
Mario-Rijo
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25 Man Predictions

Not much more to say, who makes the OD 25 man roster? In addition who do you think should that won't make it?

Prediction
Harang
Cueto
Arroyo
Bailey
Maloney

Cordero
Masset
Rhodes
Burton
Herrera
Lincoln
Owings

C - Hernandez
1B - Votto
2B - Phillips
SS - Cabrera
3B - Rolen
LF - Gomes
CF - Stubbs
RF - Bruce

C - Hanigan
OF - Dickerson
OF - Nix
IF - Sutton
SS - Janish

Not much of a surprise really. I think Carlos Fisher would have made it interesting in the pen had he stayed healthy, Lincoln may have been cut or Micah might have started to make room. I think Miles gets cut or dealt Burke to AAA and Balentein to AAA or dealt.
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Old 03-24-2010, 05:35 AM   #2
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Re: 25 Man Predictions

I'd personally prefer Balentien over Nix, but I can see the argument for keeping Nix. Especially since Dickerson is a lefty. Balentien's spring has looked pretty good. Nix is definitely a better defender, but I like Bal's upside better, being he's 4 years younger than Nix is.
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Old 03-24-2010, 08:20 AM   #3
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Re: 25 Man Predictions

Rotation

1 S1 Harang
2 S2 Cuteo
3 S3 Arroyo
4 S4 Bailey
5 S5 Maloney

Pen

6 CL Cordero
7 RSU Masset
8 LSU Rhodes
9 LOOGY Herrera
10 MR Burton
11 MR Lincoln
12 LR Owings

Starting Catchers

13 C Hernandez
14 C Hanigan

Starting Infield

15 1B Votto
16 2B Phillips
17 SS Cabrera
18 3B Rolen

Starting Outfield

19 LF Gomes
20 CF Stubbs
21 RF Bruce
22 OF Dickerson

Bench

23 3B/LF Francisco
24 IF Cairo
25 IF Janish

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Old 03-24-2010, 09:17 AM   #4
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Re: 25 Man Predictions

My guesses:

Harang
Cueto
Arroyo
Bailey
Wood

Cordero
Masset
Rhodes
Burton
Herrera
Maloney
Owings

C - Hernandez
1B - Votto
2B - Phillips
SS - Cabrera
3B - Rolen
LF - Gomes/Dickerson
CF - Stubbs
RF - Bruce

C - Hanigan
OF - Balentin
IF - Miles
SS - Janish

I think they keep Miles because he's a Jocketty guy and making 2.7 million. I think they do bite the financial bullet and drop Lincoln. I think Balentin's upside gets one more chance, and, simply a hunch, I think Wood wins the 5th starter battle with Maloney into long relief.

Probably wrong on all counts, but, hey, a guess is a guess.
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Old 03-24-2010, 09:57 AM   #5
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Re: 25 Man Predictions

Harang
Cueto
Arroyo
Bailey
Leake

Cordero
Masset
Rhodes
Burton
Herrera
Maloney
Owings

C Hernandez
1b Votto
2b Phillips
SS Cabrera
3b Rolen
LF Gomes
CF Stubbs
RF Bruce

B Dickerson
B Hanigan
B Janish
B Balentine
B Sutton

When I heard Larkin on MLB Network talk glowingly of Leake I thought he may have more of a shot than I thought.

I think Sutton and his upside get the nod over Miles.

Balentine gets the nod because he has more upside than Nix.
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Old 03-24-2010, 11:54 AM   #6
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Re: 25 Man Predictions

Rotation

1 S1 Harang
2 S2 Cuteo
3 S3 Arroyo
4 S4 Bailey
5 S5 Maloney

Pen

6 CL Cordero
7 RSU Masset
8 LSU Rhodes
9 LOOGY Herrera
10 MR Burton
11 MR Lincoln
12 LR Owings

Starting Catcher

13 C Hernandez


Starting Infield

15 1B Votto
16 2B Phillips
17 SS Cabrera
18 3B Rolen

Outfield

19 LF Gomes
20 CF Stubbs
21 RF Bruce

Bench

14 C Hanigan
22 OF Dickerson
23 Util Sutton
24 OF Balentin
25 IF Janish

I don't see how they justify (save for that $2.5M sunk cost) keeping Miles>Sutton. Hoping I'm right here. It's close between Nix/Balentin. Francisco's defense is atrocious at every position and needs to shore that up before being on the 25-man pre-Sept. No need to rush him since he's not going to see regular AB's up here. Let him work on things (plate disciple being one, defense the other) down in AAA.
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Old 03-24-2010, 12:12 PM   #7
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Re: 25 Man Predictions

Here's what my 25 man roster would look like:

SP:

Aaron Harang
Johnny Cueto
Bronson Arroyo
Homer Bailey
Matt Maloney

Bullpen:

Micah Owings
Daniel Ray Herrera
Arthur Rhodes
Jared Burton
Logan Ondrusek
Nick Masset
Francisco Cordero

Starters:

C Ramon Hernandez
1B Joey Votto
2B Brandon Phillips
SS Orlando Cabrera
3B Scott Rolen
LF Chris Dickerson (or Gomes/Balentien)
CF Drew Stubbs
RF Jay Bruce

Bench:

C Ryan Hanigan
OF Jonny Gomes
OF Wladimir Balentien
IF Drew Sutton
IF Paul Janish

Carlos Fisher would've been in my bullpen but he'll probably begin the season in Louisville now due to his lack of work this spring caused by a sore arm.

That's my list, not what I think the Reds will do. The Reds will probably take Aaron Miles over Sutton and Mike Lincoln over Ondrusek, and possibly Justin Lehr over Maloney. Chapman would have been my fifth starter but the muscle spasms will probably set him back a few days and take him out of the running for now. Mike Leake and Travis Wood both still have a chance to win the final rotation spot if they finish strong.

Last edited by OnBaseMachine; 03-24-2010 at 12:15 PM.
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Old 03-24-2010, 12:30 PM   #8
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Re: 25 Man Predictions

In a perfect world, I agree w/ you, OBM, re: Ondrusek, but Lincoln will break camp w/ the team and be given every chance. And I genuinely do not think Wood or Leake has a snowballs chance of being #5 to start the season.
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Old 03-24-2010, 12:38 PM   #9
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Re: 25 Man Predictions

Harang
Cueto
Arroyo
Bailey
Leake

Cordero
Masset
Rhodes
Burton
Herrera
Maloney
Owings

C - Hernandez
1B - Votto
2B - Phillips
SS - Cabrera
3B - Rolen
LF - Gomes
CF - Stubbs
RF - Bruce

C - Hanigan
OF - Dickerson
OF - Nix
IF - Miles
SS - Janish
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Old 03-24-2010, 01:08 PM   #10
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Re: 25 Man Predictions

C
Hernandez
Hanigan

INF
Votto
Phillips
Cabrera
Rolen
Sutton
Janish

OF
Stubbs
Dickerson
Gomes
Bruce
Wlad

SP
Harang
Arroyo
Cueto
Bailey
Wood

RP
Coco
Masset
Burton
DRH
Rhodes
Owings
Lincoln
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Old 03-24-2010, 01:19 PM   #11
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Re: 25 Man Predictions

Not what I prefer, but I think will happen

SP1 Harang
SP2 Cueto
SP3 Arroyo
SP4 Bailey
SP5 Lehr

CL Cordero
SU Masset
SU Rhodes
MR Burton
MR Herrera
LR Lincoln
LR Owings

C Hernandez
1B Votto
2B Phillips
SS Cabrera
3B Rolen
LF Gomes
CF Stubbs
RF Bruce

C Hanigan
OF Dickerson
OF Nix
IF Miles
SS Janish
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Old 03-24-2010, 01:30 PM   #12
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Re: 25 Man Predictions

Each of you have already laid out the list nicely, which I mostly agree with.
So I will spin it a bit differently

The season is a long season. I know I have listed more than 25 here, but, I think many of these stand a good chance of seeing a good amount of playing time with the major league Cincinnati Reds in 2010. I probably omitted someone or more by accident but, I wanted to also look at how the youth movement is progressing too with this young Reds team under Mr. Jocketty.
Code:
Player 			Age
1  Arthur Rhodes 	40
2  Orlando Cabrera 	35
3  Miguel Cairo 	35
4  Francisco Cordero 	34
5  Mike Lincoln 	34
6  Scott Rolen 	        34
7  Corky Miller 	34
8  Aaron Miles 	        33
9  Ramon Hernandez 	33
10 Bronson Arroyo 	33
11 Justin Lehr 		32
12 Kip Wells 		32
13 Aaron Harang 	31
14 Chris Burke 		30
15 Jonny Gomes 		29
16 Laynce Nix 		29
17 Ryan Hanigan 	29
18 Brandon Phillips 	28
19 Jared Burton 	28
20 Chris Dickerson 	27
21 Paul Janish 		27
22 Nick Masset 		27
23 Micah Owings 	27
24 Carlos Fisher 	27
25 Drew Sutton 		26
26 Joey Votto 		26
27 Wladimir Balentien 	25
28 Danny Herrera 	25
29 Drew Stubbs 		25
30 Johnny Cueto 	24
31 Homer Bailey 	23
32 Jay Bruce 		22

Last edited by Spring~Fields; 03-24-2010 at 01:32 PM.
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Old 03-24-2010, 01:49 PM   #13
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Re: 25 Man Predictions

It is a good sign that there are so few questions in the 25 with another week and a half of spring training. In the areas in which there are questions, I think the Reds will give the nod to the more experienced major leaguers to start the season. Thus, I think they will take Miles over Sutton and Lincoln over Ondrusek. There are no infield spots at Louisville for Sutton, but he can take turns DH'ing. I have no idea what they will do with Burke and Cairo. It seems to me that they can only keep one in AAA.

The fifth outfield spot may be the exception to the experience rule as I believe the Reds will keep Balentien over Nix. I suspect that the Reds see Balentien as the RH power bat of the future. I don't believe his spring discouraged that view. He does need to get some playing time, however, instead of remaining in pinch hit, fifth OF limbo.
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Old 03-24-2010, 08:58 PM   #14
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Re: 25 Man Predictions

Harang
Cueto
Arroyo
Bailey
Lehr

Owings
Maloney
Burton
Herrera
Masset
Rhodes
Cordero

Hernandez
Hanigan

Votto
Phillips
Cabrera
Rolen
Janish
Sutton

Bruce
Stubbs
Gomes
Dickerson
Balentien
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Old 03-25-2010, 12:02 AM   #15
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Re: 25 Man Predictions

SP1 Harang
SP2 Cueto
SP3 Arroyo
SP4 Bailey
SP5 Leake

CL Cordero
SU Masset
SU Rhodes
MR Maloney
MR Herrera
LR Lincoln
LR Owings

C Hernandez
1B Votto
2B Phillips
SS Cabrera
3B Rolen
LF Balentien
CF Stubbs
RF Bruce

C Hanigan
OF Dickerson
OF Gomes
IF Sutton
SS Janish

Burton is too much like Masset, only not as good.
Still sticking with Wlad beating Gomes out of LF job, and Leake winning the 5th starter job.
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