The latest on Jose Arredondo

[Blitz Dorsey]

All reports I've read are that he is fully healed and is already throwing mid-90s, topping out at 96 MPH. He had a lights-out rookie year with the Angels in 2008 as almost everyone on here knows, then got hurt midway through the '09 season and was out for the last 1.5 years. The Reds signed him to a two-year deal last offseason knowing he wouldn't be ready until 2011. Basically they paid him for rehabbing for a year with the hopes they would cash in this season.

I can't overstate how huge it would be for the Reds' bullpen to have Arredondo pitch even close to as well as he did three seasons ago. And in my estimation, if he's healthy, there is no reason to think he won't pitch well. If he was that good as a rookie, he should be even better three years later and with a healthy arm. I know it's not that simple, but I'm very excited about the potential of this young man. The Reds already have the makings of a solid bullpen with the five locks (IMO) to make the team in Cordero, Chapman, Masset, Bray and Ondrusek. But Arredondo is the type of player that could push the bullpen over the top, turning it from a good one to a great one.

[Phhhl]

It's probably not right to be so excited about a reliever. But, if Arredondo is as good as his last healthy season with Angels suggest he could be, it opens up so many possibilities. Don't forget that Nick Masset is not a bad late inning reliever either. Paired with Chapman, Masset and Cordero, a healthy and productive Arredondo makes it one NASTY bullpen. Needless to say, the evolution of Arredondo also gives the club tremendous flexibility with what to do with the Cuban Missile.

The thing I am most excited about is the win total Arredondo compiled in 2008. For relievers, win totals are usually just a crap shoot. But, his peripherals showed that he was absolutely dominant that season in every respect. Without breaking it down, it seems to me that the ten wins was a byproduct of a guy coming into tight ballgames and pitching well rather than blowing leads and collecting upon dumb luck. Because of guys like this, I think we could be talking about a team that... if you don't get a lead on them before the sixth inning you are in deep trouble. The 1990 Reds won world series on something like that.

This doesn't even touch on how good Ondrusek and Bray can be in their roles at times. It doesn't even include guys like Matt Maloney and Sam Lecure, pitchers who would have earned a major league paycheck at random points over the last 20 years simply due to the derth of pitching talent across the organization. It is almost overwhelming how good this pitching staff as a whole can be. I don't fret using Chapman out of the bullpen at all at this point, because there is no way you can lose so long as he is logging his innings on the major league level.

This team is so loaded. It is somewhat annoying that they didn't go out and get a beast to man left field this winter. It would appear to have been so easy, with so much depth at almost every other important role to work from. The Milwaukee Brewers may have been discouraged from even looking at Marcum and Greinke if the Reds had fortified left with a true masher like Adam Dunn, for instance. Talent is so good that it might not matter, but failure will be painful. Make no mistake, the Reds are banking on winning the division again in 2011 and raising the value of the franchise. Bob Castellini wants to perform a facelift on this proud organization, and I am all in as a fan with that agenda. Anythhing less than a dvision title is an abject failure for this team.

Travis Wood and Arredondo are two key pitchers in 2011. Not only for Reds fans, but for anyone who cares to follow how the 2011 season. The sudden imprtance of the Cincinnati Reds make them big stories in the cactus league.

[Scrap Irony]

Originally Posted by Santo Alcala

Travis Wood and Arredondo are two key pitchers in 2011. Not only for Reds fans, but for anyone who cares to follow how the 2011 season. The sudden imprtance of the Cincinnati Reds make them big stories in the cactus league.

Agreed on both. If Wood wasn't a mirage and Arredondo is healthy, this team is as least as good as last season's, probably much better.

The Red pen could legitimately have six monster arms and Cordero as closer. And that actually makes some kind of sense, assuming he's not asked to enter a game with runners on base. Keeping another team from scoring before you record three outs in one inning isn't all that difficult to do, statistically.

When was the last time a team's worst pitcher was its closer? Has that ever worked?

[MartyFan]

Originally Posted by Blitz Dorsey

All reports I've read are that he is fully healed and is already throwing mid-90s, topping out at 96 MPH. He had a lights-out rookie year with the Angels in 2008 as almost everyone on here knows, then got hurt midway through the '09 season and was out for the last 1.5 years. The Reds signed him to a two-year deal last offseason knowing he wouldn't be ready until 2011. Basically they paid him for rehabbing for a year with the hopes they would cash in this season.

I can't overstate how huge it would be for the Reds' bullpen to have Arredondo pitch even close to as well as he did three seasons ago. And in my estimation, if he's healthy, there is no reason to think he won't pitch well. If he was that good as a rookie, he should be even better three years later and with a healthy arm. I know it's not that simple, but I'm very excited about the potential of this young man. The Reds already have the makings of a solid bullpen with the five locks (IMO) to make the team in Cordero, Chapman, Masset, Bray and Ondrusek. But Arredondo is the type of player that could push the bullpen over the top, turning it from a good one to a great one.

I'm with you. I think this signing was masterful on the part of the Reds. Reminds me (on a larger upside scale) of when Special K signed Balfour.

If Arredondo shines this year would you want the team to lock him up for 3 more years?

[corkedbat]

Originally Posted by MartyFan

I'm with you. I think this signing was masterful on the part of the Reds. Reminds me (on a larger upside scale) of when Special K signed Balfour.

If Arredondo shines this year would you want the team to lock him up for 3 more years?

Definitely. At worst, he could step in to Masset's role when Nick replaces Coco. I'd definitely like to have him for more than one season. He could turn out to be a huge steal when all is said and done. Not much ventured either if for some reason he doesn't pan out (I believe he will though).

Cordero, Chapman, Masset, Willis, Arredondo, Bray, Ondrusek, Herrera, Burton, Valiquette, Fisher, Smith - that's a solid amount of depth and L-R balance. Combine that with 8 solid starters (Arroyo, Cueto, Volquez, Wood, Bailey, Leake, Maloney, Lecure) and this staff has to be as deep in quality as I've seen a Reds staff.

[Quatitos]

Originally Posted by Scrap Irony

Agreed on both. If Wood wasn't a mirage and Arredondo is healthy, this team is as least as good as last season's, probably much better.

The Red pen could legitimately have six monster arms and Cordero as closer. And that actually makes some kind of sense, assuming he's not asked to enter a game with runners on base. Keeping another team from scoring before you record three outs in one inning isn't all that difficult to do, statistically.

When was the last time a team's worst pitcher was its closer? Has that ever worked?

It should also be taken into consideration that Cordero will most likely perform better in 2011 than he did in 2010. His 2010 SV% was his worst since 2006, and his ERA in 2010 was his worst since 2000 and his second worst ever. His WHIP and SO/BB were his worst since 2001. Will we see 2004 Cordero? I seriously doubt it, but if we get the Cordero of the last couple years minus 2010, we will definitely be in good shape.

Even if we get 2010 Cordero, if we have 6 other bullpen arms outperform him we will be very well off.

Also, I know that if the Reds choose, they can control Fred Lewis through 2013 through arbitration before he hits free agency. So would the Reds have control of him for up to 4 years since he has only accumulated 2 years of service time so far?

[The Operator]

Originally Posted by Quatitos

Also, I know that if the Reds choose, they can control Fred Lewis through 2013 through arbitration before he hits free agency. So would the Reds have control of him for up to 4 years since he has only accumulated 2 years of service time so far?

I was thinking the same thing.

Did he not accumulate a year of service time for 2010? Either way though, I think he should still be under Reds control until his 6th year is up.

[camisadelgolf]

If Arredondo makes the team out of spring training and stays up with the big club all year, he will almost definitely qualify for arbitration as a 'super two'.

[medford]

Originally Posted by camisadelgolf

If Arredondo makes the team out of spring training and stays up with the big club all year, he will almost definitely qualify for arbitration as a 'super two'.

Does he have options left? Sounds like a case for "lets keep him in AAA to start the year, in a more controlled environement to help him ease back into full tilt baseball, then bring him back after a month" situation.

At any rate, Cordero, Arrendondo & Masset from the right side, Chapman, Bray & Willis from the left side, plus 1 arm that can be used as a long man. that would leave Logan, Smith, Burton, etc.. down in AAA. That's pretty darn solid depth right there.

One thing this may do, assuming all ifs become true, is allow the front office to move Coco and covering a good portion of his contract for a left fielder by the end of ST. Seems like some guys can't always make the transition from the 8th to the 9th inning. For all his ups & downs, coco always took the ball in the 9th and held up reasonably well compared to some in the past. W/ a cast of characters that deep, for a position (closer) that tends to get overhyped, there's got to be more than 1 w/ the mental makeup to make the move to closer.

[camisadelgolf]

Arredondo is out of options.

[Ghosts of 1990]

I've said all along he's a huge shot in the arm to the Reds and will make a guy like Arthur Rhodes leaving hurt a lot less. I know Rhodes was tough against LHP but Rhodes evolved into more of a critical outs/8th inning guy last season and I think Arredondo will be that guy by mid season this year.

[OnBaseMachine]

I agree - I think Arredondo was an excellent pickup. I remember making a few posts about him about two or three years ago where I was gushing over his stuff and how I wish the Reds would target him in a trade. When healthy, his stuff is filthy - mid 90's fastball, a splitter that drops off the table, and a nice slider too. Even though he's right-handed, he's been tougher on lefties early in his career. LH batters have a .529 OPS in 218 PA against him compared to a .744 OPS in 228 PA vs RH batters. I really think he's going to be a key component in the Reds bullpen not only this season but in the future too.

[OnBaseMachine]

Update from Mark Sheldon:

Reliever Jose Arredondo, who remained in Goodyear, Ariz., and on the DL after camp broke in order to rehab all the way back from 2010 Tommy John surgery, will start a rehab assignment in the Minors next week. Arredondo threw on Friday at the team complex without issue.

http://cincinnati.reds.mlb.com/news/...k_cin&c_id=cin

[Joseph]

Send him to louisville and lets end the Danny Ray Herrera tenure.

[Reds/Flyers Fan]

Can he throw strikes? Not many in this bullpen can