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Old 12-26-2011, 09:54 PM   #1
Will M
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who is in the Reds pen in 2012?

Right now we have:
Marshall (L)
Bray (L)
Lecure
Massett
Ondrusek
Arredondo

1) The team has said that Chapman is going to be a starter.
Thats not what I would do but its what the Reds say they will do.
2) Madson is the best free agent reliever but he seems out of the Reds price range.
3) Several Reds relievers had poor 2nd halves in 2011. Its debatable whether this was due to fatigue or general ineptitude. Right now half of the Reds relievers had whips > 1.3 last year. That concerns me. The only guys who look trustworthy for late inning work in close games are Marshall, Bray & Lecure.

It seems to that the Reds could use TWO good arms in the pen not just a 'closer'. I'd be fine with Marshall being the 9th inning guy. I would like Walt to focus on getting good solid arms for the pen & not just get a 'closer'.

Who is out there besides Madson & Coco (who I think could pull a Ryan Franklin if we brought him back as the 9th inning guy)?

Is Lidge healthy?
Darren Oliver defies Father Time.
Zumaya?
Who else is out there that is a solid arm for the pen that the Reds could afford with their current budget?
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Old 12-26-2011, 10:02 PM   #2
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Re: who is in the Reds pen in 2012?

Add Madson to this group and you have a real bullpen. Three years, $27 million. Then go cheap on LF.

Big Coco fan but concerned about recent K rate. Would consider a one year deal but would much rather get Madson.

Maybe add Chapman to your group pitching longer stretches.

Even if no closer acquired would like to see one more big bullpen arm added. Even a young flamethrower.
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Old 12-26-2011, 10:02 PM   #3
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Re: who is in the Reds pen in 2012?

To be honest I tried to forget Masset and Ondrusek existed during this offseason. I'd rather see what Judy or Brackman could do.
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Old 12-26-2011, 10:32 PM   #4
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Re: who is in the Reds pen in 2012?

Horst is in the picture as well. Fisher and Smith are both on the 40 man, but almost assuredly AAA depth.
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Old 12-26-2011, 10:56 PM   #5
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Re: who is in the Reds pen in 2012?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kc61 View Post
Add Madson to this group and you have a real bullpen. Three years, $27 million. Then go cheap on LF.

Big Coco fan but concerned about recent K rate. Would consider a one year deal but would much rather get Madson.

Maybe add Chapman to your group pitching longer stretches.

Even if no closer acquired would like to see one more big bullpen arm added. Even a young flamethrower.
I'd like to think that they add Madson, but I fear it'll be Coco.

The closer, Marshall, Bray, Lecure and (probably Arredondo) are set. That leaves Ondrusek, Masset, Brackman, Judy, (possibly) Horst and someone yet to be acquaired (minor deal, waiver wire or 2nd tier FA) for one or two spots The 25th spot on the roster comes down to either a sixth bat on the bench or seventh arm in the bullpen. I see Fisher and Smith as depth at L'Ville at this point.

The biggest boost the bullpen (and possibly the entire sraff) could receive, might be a turnaround season (and consistency) from Masset. He could be the key to a very strong picthing staff.

Last edited by corkedbat; 12-26-2011 at 11:04 PM.
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Old 12-27-2011, 01:49 AM   #6
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Re: who is in the Reds pen in 2012?

Sign Darren Oliver and Rich Harden to 1 year deals. Deal Masset, Jordan Smith and a couple of kids to the Rockies for Seth Smith.

Marshall (CL)
Arredondo
Lecure
Oliver
Bray
Harden (6th Starter)
Ondrusek/Fisher/Horst/Brackman/Judy/Christiani
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Old 12-27-2011, 09:02 AM   #7
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Re: who is in the Reds pen in 2012?

They will sign someone else to bolster the bullpen.

Marshall
Bray
LeCure
Masset
Arredondo
Ondrusek
And someone they sign, either Cordero, Madsen, or filler. Possibly Judy or Brackman, if he shows he's returned to form.
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Old 12-27-2011, 11:29 AM   #8
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Re: who is in the Reds pen in 2012?

I think Judy has a chance to be in the Red pen and give a real boost to the Red pen. He could take the place of Ondrusek, Masset, or any number of guys Jocketty might deal in a trade for a LF. Or a better bullpen guy.

For example, I could see a team like Houston taking on Masset and Ondrusek for, say, Carlos Lee, in the hopes that they could then sell that reliever on the open market in September.

Lee didn't hit well in 2010, but did last season (though he lost power). He doesn't K all that much and has shown a willingness to take a walk. Perhaps playing with a contender recharges him a bit and hitting between Bruce and Votto means a lot of good pitches to hit. I could see a line of 300/350/500 from him in LF and as Votto's caddy at 1B.

If Houston would pay most of Lee's salary ($12 million of the $18 million he's owed?), that should leave Jocketty and company enough to pay for Madson and perhaps deal for another reliever. Or sign one on the open market.
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Old 12-27-2011, 11:42 AM   #9
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Re: who is in the Reds pen in 2012?

My opinion is that they will extend Marshall and then make him the closer. Then they will add another piece or two to the bullpen as insurance, and possibly trade 1 or 2 for other needs.
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Old 12-29-2011, 03:10 PM   #10
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Re: who is in the Reds pen in 2012?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scrap Irony View Post
I think Judy has a chance to be in the Red pen and give a real boost to the Red pen. He could take the place of Ondrusek, Masset, or any number of guys Jocketty might deal in a trade for a LF. Or a better bullpen guy.

For example, I could see a team like Houston taking on Masset and Ondrusek for, say, Carlos Lee, in the hopes that they could then sell that reliever on the open market in September.

Lee didn't hit well in 2010, but did last season (though he lost power). He doesn't K all that much and has shown a willingness to take a walk. Perhaps playing with a contender recharges him a bit and hitting between Bruce and Votto means a lot of good pitches to hit. I could see a line of 300/350/500 from him in LF and as Votto's caddy at 1B.

If Houston would pay most of Lee's salary ($12 million of the $18 million he's owed?), that should leave Jocketty and company enough to pay for Madson and perhaps deal for another reliever. Or sign one on the open market.
I really don't hate this idea near as much as I thought I would, but it would take several Million Astro dollers to make me merely dislike it.
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Old 12-29-2011, 05:50 PM   #11
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Re: who is in the Reds pen in 2012?

Carlos Fisher is out of options. If he doesn't make the team out of spring training, there's a very good chance he'll be playing for a different organization. He'll be 29 and has yet to show a willingness to throw strikes to big leaguers, so I'm really doubtful he'll stay in Cincinnati.

Barring injuries, trades, retirement, something catastrophic, etc., we're going to see Sean Marshall, Nick Masset, Bill Bray, and Jose Arredondo in the pen. None of them have options, and all of them have some degree of Major League success. Jordan Smith has an outside shot of surprising people, but a lot of people seem to forget that he was looking very impressive (added a new pitch to his repertoire?) before struggling with injuries.

Sam LeCure and Logan Ondrusek definitely have strong inside tracks and will need to be greatly outperformed in order to lose their positions. The guys who might be able to do that are Andrew Brackman, Josh Judy, Nick Christiani, and Jeremy Horst. However, if Chapman somehow starts the season as a reliever, there would be no room for Horst. And you never know--a journeyman like Chad Reineke, Sean Gallagher, Kanekoa Texeira, etc. might throw 20 innings of shutout ball, which could force the Reds to put them on the roster.

All in all, here's what I'm expecting:
closer: acquisition (Cordero? I hope not, but it's definitely possible.)
set-up man: Masset
left-handed relievers: Marshall & Bray
middle relievers: Ondrusek & Arredondo
long reliever: LeCure
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