Reds attendance predictions - RedsZone.com - Cincinnati Reds Fans' Home for Baseball Discussion

guernsey · 03-01-2003, 11:06 AM

OK, season ticket sales have been brisk and individual game tickets are going like hotcakes this morning.

macro · 03-01-2003, 11:46 AM

I really don't see how anyone can predict them to have less than 3 million in attendance. To have total attendance of 3 million, they would have to average 37,037 for the 81 dates. That would leave an average of 5,000 empty seats per game! Yes, there may be some games of 32,000 (although it's hard for me to imagine there being 10,000 empty seats for ANY game at GAB this year), but there will also be several sellouts of 42,000, which would keep the average at 37,000.

I may be looking through rose-colored glasses, I don't know. I guess we'll know soon enough.

cincinnati chili · 03-01-2003, 01:38 PM

Am I correct that their all-time high was 2.6 or so, back when the city had a larger population and the Big Red Machine was in full swing?

I think 2.6-2.9 is accurate, with attendance falling under 2.2 next year if the Reds don't contend

y2kz3 · 03-01-2003, 01:48 PM

After attending season after season, it's as easy to imagine 15,000 empty seats but just looking around during most games, even when we were on top of the division last year. For some reason, people don't come to see the Reds to the tune of 30,000 plus per game. They see to come out to see the other team, which drives our local attendance for limited games. Sad, but I hope the new stadium turns all that around.

I'd love more people to get out and see a game, and do hope they get 2.3 to 2.6 million.

Having two spring training exhibition games may not count toward regular season sales, but was a great move by the Reds to generate more ticket revenue.

Raisor · 03-01-2003, 01:52 PM

It's pretty simple, the new stadium will help (I forget what the capacity is), but if the team doesn't win, people won't come.

PSR

Chip R · 03-01-2003, 02:05 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by cincinnati chili
Am I correct that their all-time high was 2.6 or so, back when the city had a larger population and the Big Red Machine was in full swing?

I think 2.6-2.9 is accurate, with attendance falling under 2.2 next year if the Reds don't contend

Yeah. The Reds drew around 2.6M in 1976 and in 2000. Now in 76 they counted asses in the seats only and not tickets sold like they have for several years now. So actual attendence in 76 could have been around 3M.

I predicted a few years ago - even before Jr. - that the Reds would draw 3M in the new stadium. I'm not so sure now with the economy being on the skids and a possible war in the future. But I think it will be over 2.6 at the very least.

guernsey · 03-02-2003, 08:30 AM

Even with the lure of the GAB, the Reds will be doing good to break 25,000 on weekdays in April (and perhaps May) when schools are still in session.

REDREAD · 03-04-2003, 01:56 PM

Well, in 2000, when the Reds were coming off a near playoff appearance and the acquision of Jr, they drew about 2.6 million..

I would think that's the ceiling for this year. So I will pick 2.3-2.6
million.

I really don't think a new stadium (with higher prices) is going to draw the Cincy market as well as adding Jr and coming off a very exciting 1999 season.. Especially when the offseason really didn't give the fans anything to get juiced about (in terms of improving the W-L record).

But I do hope I am wrong, and they draw 3 million.

View Poll Results: What do you think the Reds 2003 regular season attendance will be?
Less than 2 million	2	3.03%
2 to 2.3 million	4	6.06%
2.3 to 2.6 million	22	33.33%
2.6 to 2.9 million	18	27.27%
More than 2.9 million	20	30.30%
Voters: 66. You may not vote on this poll

03-01-2003, 11:06 AM	#1
guernsey Member Join Date: May 2000 Location: Columbus, OH Posts: 11,243	Reds attendance predictions OK, season ticket sales have been brisk and individual game tickets are going like hotcakes this morning. __________________ "People that frequent Internet forums resemble the cast of One Flew Over the Cuckoos Nest!" - C. J. Cregg, The West Wing Last edited by guernsey; 03-01-2003 at 11:09 AM.

03-01-2003, 11:46 AM	#2
macro Just The Big Picture Join Date: Jun 2000 Location: The Bluegrass State Posts: 6,150	I really don't see how anyone can predict them to have less than 3 million in attendance. To have total attendance of 3 million, they would have to average 37,037 for the 81 dates. That would leave an average of 5,000 empty seats per game! Yes, there may be some games of 32,000 (although it's hard for me to imagine there being 10,000 empty seats for ANY game at GAB this year), but there will also be several sellouts of 42,000, which would keep the average at 37,000. I may be looking through rose-colored glasses, I don't know. I guess we'll know soon enough. __________________ *Help stamp out, eliminate, and do away with redundancy.*

03-01-2003, 01:38 PM	#3
cincinnati chili post hype sleeper Join Date: Apr 2001 Location: Denver Posts: 10,351	Am I correct that their all-time high was 2.6 or so, back when the city had a larger population and the Big Red Machine was in full swing? I think 2.6-2.9 is accurate, with attendance falling under 2.2 next year if the Reds don't contend __________________ On Dasher On Dancer On Prancer Ondrusek

03-02-2003, 08:30 AM	#7
guernsey Member Join Date: May 2000 Location: Columbus, OH Posts: 11,243	Even with the lure of the GAB, the Reds will be doing good to break 25,000 on weekdays in April (and perhaps May) when schools are still in session. __________________ "People that frequent Internet forums resemble the cast of One Flew Over the Cuckoos Nest!" - C. J. Cregg, The West Wing

03-01-2003, 01:48 PM	#4
y2kz3 Member Join Date: Nov 2002 Posts: 56	After attending season after season, it's as easy to imagine 15,000 empty seats but just looking around during most games, even when we were on top of the division last year. For some reason, people don't come to see the Reds to the tune of 30,000 plus per game. They see to come out to see the other team, which drives our local attendance for limited games. Sad, but I hope the new stadium turns all that around. I'd love more people to get out and see a game, and do hope they get 2.3 to 2.6 million. Having two spring training exhibition games may not count toward regular season sales, but was a great move by the Reds to generate more ticket revenue.

03-01-2003, 01:52 PM	#5
Raisor Member Join Date: Jun 2001 Posts: 12,686	It's pretty simple, the new stadium will help (I forget what the capacity is), but if the team doesn't win, people won't come. PSR

03-04-2003, 01:56 PM	#8
REDREAD Where's my chair? Join Date: Apr 2000 Posts: 19,802	Well, in 2000, when the Reds were coming off a near playoff appearance and the acquision of Jr, they drew about 2.6 million.. I would think that's the ceiling for this year. So I will pick 2.3-2.6 million. I really don't think a new stadium (with higher prices) is going to draw the Cincy market as well as adding Jr and coming off a very exciting 1999 season.. Especially when the offseason really didn't give the fans anything to get juiced about (in terms of improving the W-L record). But I do hope I am wrong, and they draw 3 million. __________________ Thank you Walt and Bob for going for it in 2012 AND 2013! Nov. 13, 2007: One of the greatest days in Reds history: John Allen gets the boot!

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