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#31 | |
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Member
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 2,013
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Re: Adding productive leadoff man is Reds' top priority
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While BP isn't the best 4-hole option in baseball, he is solid and consistent, and has done a respectable job in the 4-hole previously. Also, if Frazier continues to perform like he did this year, he could easily take over the 4-hole and push BP up to number 2. Assuming we can find a cheap LF option to provide a steady but not great bat in the lineup .800 ops type. Acquiring Span would improve the lineup quite a bit. I just do not want the black hole that has been CF and lead-off to continue, and I feel BP's bat is more valuable elsewhere in the lineup. Now if we can pull of a trade for a young cheap clean-up type...I would be all on board, I just think a Span type move would add a lot as well.
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"Today was the byproduct of us thinking we can come back from anything." - Joey Votto after blowing a 10-1 lead and holding on for the 12-11 win on 8/25/2010. |
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#32 | |
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Stat Wanker Hodiernus
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 14,915
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Re: Adding productive leadoff man is Reds' top priority
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I think it would take Cigrani/Corcino + another top 10 guy like Soto or LaMarre -- unless they wanted only pitching in which case I'm not sure who else it would be. The Reds have 4 really solid pitching prospects in Stephenson, Cigrani, Corcino and Travieso, but it doesn't seem like there's very much behind them. Lotzkar or Cisco maybe? I'd be curious to see what Doug thinks about that price though; not really sure how the Reds prospects are regarded.
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Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance. Last edited by RedsManRick; 10-27-2012 at 06:38 PM. |
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#33 |
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All work and no play.....
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Lebanon
Posts: 6,786
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Re: Adding productive leadoff man is Reds' top priority
I'm a Dexter Fowler fan. I know, I know.......the Coors effect.
But off the top of my head, I think he's a switch hitter and he's only 26 with his best years ahead of him. Increasing OBP too.
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"I can't take this homerism anymore." - 10xWSChamps, August 11, 2010. A Cardinals fan having a problem with all the homerism on Redszone. Classic. "Man do I miss the days where were didn't need a calculator and an encyclopedia of baseball metrics to enjoy a baseball game ... - MikeS21" - 8/2/12 game thread |
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#34 |
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All work and no play.....
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Lebanon
Posts: 6,786
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Re: Adding productive leadoff man is Reds' top priority
OK. I quit being lazy and pulled up his career numbers.
http://www.baseball-reference.com/pl...owlede01.shtml Switch hitter. 26 years old. (good memory by me) OBP of .389 last year (career high) Batting average of .300 last year (career high) Lead the league in triples back in 2010 and has had double figures in triples each of the last 4 years. Again, I know Coors inflates numbers, but he's only 26 and under control through 2016. His best years are ahead of him.
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"I can't take this homerism anymore." - 10xWSChamps, August 11, 2010. A Cardinals fan having a problem with all the homerism on Redszone. Classic. "Man do I miss the days where were didn't need a calculator and an encyclopedia of baseball metrics to enjoy a baseball game ... - MikeS21" - 8/2/12 game thread |
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#35 |
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Member
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: Cincinnati
Posts: 3,890
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Re: Adding productive leadoff man is Reds' top priority
Put me down in favor of Pagan on a two year deal. He had a nice season, but I don't see the Giants rolling the brinks truck up for him with a substantial prospect like Brown on the cusp. Additionally, I don't see other teams knocking down the door for him, either. Pagan is a good defender, especially in a cozy of like GABP. He is a smart player, who does not get caught stealing often, and has enough power to exploit GABP for 10-15 home runs over the course of a season. Investing in him gives the Reds leverage with Ludwick. If Ludwick doesn't sign for a reasonable deal, all they have to do is drop Phillips down in the order to compensate. Assuming Votto is going to return to his pre-injury form, a modest investment in a player like Pagan could really provide value at a number of spots in the lineup. While he might not offer the type of discipline an elite leadoff hitter might provide, I consider him at least equal to guys like Victorino and Crisp, and a substantial improvement over the Juan Pierre's of the world.
If the Reds could sign a guy fitting Pagan's profile, they could live with either Ludwick or a platoon of Heisey/Paul in left field and be a much better offense in 2013. I would go with Victorino is a secondary target, and after that spend anything left on strengthening the bullpen. There are no ifs, ands or buts... when you are paying a guy the money Joey is going to be making in Cincinnati there is NO QUESTION about him returning to who he was before the knee injury or else you are screwed, rendering all other considerations irrelavent. To even bring it up as a possibility is the depths of pessimism. Last edited by Phhhl; 10-28-2012 at 02:29 AM. |
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#36 | |
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Member
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 2,013
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Re: Adding productive leadoff man is Reds' top priority
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And with that type of hitter, I don't think the Coors effect is a thing really.
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"Today was the byproduct of us thinking we can come back from anything." - Joey Votto after blowing a 10-1 lead and holding on for the 12-11 win on 8/25/2010. |
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#37 |
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Vampire Weekend @Bernie's
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Cincinnati, OH
Posts: 11,311
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Re: Adding productive leadoff man is Reds' top priority
The Twins were 66-96 and last place in a weak AL Central. On the surface, it seems like they're far from the playoffs, but I'm not entirely convinced they can't turn it around fast. Although their lineup's not great, it's not awful either. And their bullpen is somewhat respectable. But when Baker went down, so did their season.
If they can get a decent rotation together, we might be talking about a winning team. What I'm getting at is that there's a decent chance they're not looking to rebuild just yet. Between Joe Benson and Aaron Hicks, they have some outfield depth they're excited about, which could make Span expendable. They announced that re-signing Baker to an incentive-laden deal is their top priority. I'm sure some high-ceiling starters looking to make a comeback would love to go to the Twin Cities because A.) Target Field is supposedly pitcher-friendly, and B.) they know there'll be plenty of opportunity. That means they could go into 2013 with this rotation: 1. Baker 2. Diamond 3. free agent on a reasonable contract (e.g. Erik Bedard, Bartolo Colon, Brandon McCarthy, Carlos Zambrano, et al) 4. Blackburn 5. De Vries/Hermsen/Hernandez If they were to pull off a Span-for-Bailey (+ a prospect) deal, it would greatly improve their rotation and make room for Aaron Hicks. It makes a lot of sense for them. Does it make sense for the Reds? I don't know. But if the Reds think so, they need to make it happen.
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#38 | |
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The Big Dog
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 12,681
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Re: Adding productive leadoff man is Reds' top priority
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"All I can tell them is pick a good one and sock it." --BABE RUTH Having better players makes "the right time" or "the big hit" happen a lot more often. PLUS PLUS Last edited by mth123; 10-28-2012 at 07:17 AM. |
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#39 |
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What Me Worry?
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Bellefontaine, Ohio
Posts: 26,416
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Re: Adding productive leadoff man is Reds' top priority
Span is a pretty solid OFer who is now reaching his prime. If I was the Twins, you'd have to sweeten the pot more, other then a Leake/Ondrusek, to get me to bite.
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"panic" only comes from having real expectations |
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#40 |
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The Big Dog
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 12,681
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Re: Adding productive leadoff man is Reds' top priority
Then they can keep him. He's an improvement, but had 2 bad years prior to this year and doesn't really addess the Reds need against RHP. There are other options who are better fits if Homer is the price.
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"All I can tell them is pick a good one and sock it." --BABE RUTH Having better players makes "the right time" or "the big hit" happen a lot more often. PLUS PLUS |
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#41 |
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Five Tool Fool
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 16,568
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Re: Adding productive leadoff man is Reds' top priority
Leake has basically very little trade value.
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"This isn’t stats vs scouts - this is stats and scouts working together, building an organization that blends the best of both worlds. This is the blueprint for how a baseball organization should be run. And, whether the baseball men of the 20th century like it or not, this is where baseball is going."---Dave Cameron, U.S.S. Mariner |
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#42 |
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Unsolicited Opinions
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Right Down Broadway
Posts: 17,646
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Re: Adding productive leadoff man is Reds' top priority
I would not have imagined that anyone would make Travis Wood the cornerstone of a deal for an above average setup man, but that happened. I could see Leake being a part of a deal that meets a need if packaged with a prospect, or maybe one of our expendable relievers with a decent contract like Arredondo (crosses fingers).
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Can't win with 'em Can't win without 'em |
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#43 |
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Five Tool Fool
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 16,568
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Re: Adding productive leadoff man is Reds' top priority
How does everyone feel about Gerardo Parra? He could probably suit the lead off role at least against righties forcing Phillips to the two hole (or lower) against Phillips' kryptonite.
The Dbacks seem intent upon trading an outfielder.
__________________
"This isn’t stats vs scouts - this is stats and scouts working together, building an organization that blends the best of both worlds. This is the blueprint for how a baseball organization should be run. And, whether the baseball men of the 20th century like it or not, this is where baseball is going."---Dave Cameron, U.S.S. Mariner |
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#44 |
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Unsolicited Opinions
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Right Down Broadway
Posts: 17,646
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Re: Adding productive leadoff man is Reds' top priority
I like Parra, send 'em Leake and Arredondo.
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Can't win with 'em Can't win without 'em |
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#45 | |
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The Big Dog
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 12,681
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Re: Adding productive leadoff man is Reds' top priority
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Not sure how intent they still are though. They dealt Young and acquired a SS in Cliff Pennington. They were rumored to be interested in Didi. Not sure if the deal involving Young and Pennington kills the desire for Didi or to deal an OF.
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"All I can tell them is pick a good one and sock it." --BABE RUTH Having better players makes "the right time" or "the big hit" happen a lot more often. PLUS PLUS Last edited by mth123; 10-28-2012 at 07:39 PM. |
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