5/18/13 - Reds @ Philly

[Tom Servo]

Choo 8
Cozart 6
Votto 3
Phillips 4
Bruce 9
Frazier 5
Lutz 7
Hanigan 2
Arroyo RHP

[dsmith421]

Dusty would have hit Joe Dugan between Ruth and Gehrig.

[CySeymour]

Dusty would have hit Joe Dugan between Ruth and Gehrig.

Nah, he would have at least put Lazzarri 4th. :)

[Kc61]

Lutz is playing instead of XPaul. That means Dusty thinks Kendrick isn't a hard fastball pitcher.

Dusty plays XPaul against hard throwing righty fastball pitchers.

He plays Lutz against other righty pitchers. I guess pitchers who don't throw a lot of hard fastballs.

He plays Derrick Robinson against lefties.

Heisey is on the DL or who knows when he would be playing.

Ludwick's slide into third sure caused some complexities in left field.

[Magdal]

Opposing managers have to love Dusty.

[BluegrassRedleg]

Anyone been to Citizens Park? That's one I haven't crossed off the list yet. Looks like a nice place, but I don't hear as much said about it as some of the other new(er) parks.

[NebraskaRed]

Opposing managers have to love Dusty.

Is it because of 1606 wins as manager?

[BluegrassRedleg]

"Dynamic."

[NebraskaRed]

Choo narrowly misses getting hit by pitch and takes a walk instead

[OGB]

What a splendid eye at the plate. After years of Drew Stubbs, Choo is an absolute breath of fresh air.

[BluegrassRedleg]

Surprised that play was so close. Choo got a great jump. Helluva throw.

[OnBaseMachine]

Shocker. Cozart makes an out in the #2 hole.

[NebraskaRed]

Cozart accomplishes nothing with that at-bat

[OGB]

Anyone been to Citizens Park? That's one I haven't crossed off the list yet. Looks like a nice place, but I don't hear as much said about it as some of the other new(er) parks.

Probably because if you're there, you're surrounded by Philadelphia sports fans.

[OGB]

I send Votto here

[WildcatFan]

Ludwick's slide into third sure caused some complexities in left field.

I initially read that as "expletives," which got a nod.

[OnBaseMachine]

I must be bad luck. I'm working in the mines now so I've missed the last week and a half and the Reds start winning. I've watched the last two games and the Reds are back to their old tricks of wasting great scoring chances.

[Magdal]

Is it because of 1606 wins as manager?

Um.....yeah, that's it.

[WildcatFan]

That inning probably should've gone better.

[BluegrassRedleg]

Dusty 0, Philly coming to bat.

[WildcatFan]

Dusty 0, Philly coming to bat.

?

[kbrake]

?

Until he moves Cozart, Dusty gets blamed for all bad things that happen on offense.

[BluegrassRedleg]

I'm not as big a Dusty detractor as many, but on the topic of Cozart in the 2 hole, I'm not willing to give any ground. If he's willing to stubbornly leave an automatic (and often unproductive) out between two of the best OBP guys in the league, he deserves to be called out on it.

[Reds/Flyers Fan]

Until he moves Cozart, Dusty gets blamed for all bad things that happen on offense.

There's a better chance of moving the sun than moving Cozart out of the 2 spot.

[WildcatFan]

Until he moves Cozart, Dusty gets blamed for all bad things that happen on offense.

I thought it meant he was playing, which made me excited cuz we'd have Hank Aaron.

[RedsfaninMT]

I'm not as big a Dusty detractor as many, but on the topic of Cozart in the 2 hole, I'm not willing to give any ground.

Yes, Cozart should be dropped in the order. But as good as BP has been, he's gotta get the runner in from 3rd with one out. Granted, had Cozart moved him over he would have scored on Votto's hit, but the Reds need to up their hitting with runners on 3rd and less than 2 outs.

[Tom Servo]

I thought it meant he was playing, which made me excited cuz we'd have Hank Aaron.
Hey, WildcatFan, did you know that Dusty once played with Hank Aaron?

[Tom Servo]

Frazier snaps his 0 for streak :)

[BluegrassRedleg]

Yes, Cozart should be dropped in the order. But as good as BP has been, he's gotta get the runner in from 3rd with one out. Granted, had Cozart moved him over he would have scored on Votto's hit, but the Reds need to up their hitting with runners on 3rd and less than 2 outs.

True, but BP's gotten that done more often than not. That's just baseball. The other is making a choice to handicap yourself.

[NebraskaRed]

Lutz needs to be in the lineup more often

[NebraskaRed]

Hannigan homers! 3-0

[BluegrassRedleg]

BOOM. 3-0 Redlegs on Hanigan bomb.

[_Sir_Charles_]

Literally turned on WLW right as Marty calls the bomb. Love it! :O)

Hanny! :jump:

[Tom Servo]

The Manigan!
:jump:

[WildcatFan]

Hey, WildcatFan, did you know that Dusty once played with Hank Aaron?

I see you've been doing some serious Baseball Almanac research. Good job!

[BluegrassRedleg]

No-doubter, SirCharles. Tattoo'd.

[WildcatFan]

Hanimal!

[ProfessorTofty]

Nice job, Hannigan! Let's wipe away the sting of last night.

[WildcatFan]

Uh, my TV is behind.

[Tom Servo]

Cozart approaching the vortex of the Mendoza Line.

[NebraskaRed]

That commercial for the Budweiser bowtie shaped can makes me angry.

[NebraskaRed]

Out at 3rd! That was impressive

[BluegrassRedleg]

Nice relay and throw by BP to nail Brown going for a triple.

Did Reds get a break on the call?

[Stray]

Looked safe to me

[BluegrassRedleg]

Wow. He kind of hovered over the bag for a split second with the glove on him.

[WildcatFan]

Looks like he did come off the bag for a split second, but not sure how the ump woulda seen it. Regardless, the call was probably right.

[Stray]

Nevermind that last replay looked like they got him.

[kbrake]

I thought it looked like the Reds got a break. Close play.

[BluegrassRedleg]

That *looked* like the right call with that zoom replay. I have no idea how the ump made it, but it looked good.

Of course, if that happens to the Reds, I might grumble a bit. :p

[kaldaniels]

The diva ump got lucky there. :D

[NebraskaRed]

Votto heads to 3rd like a boss

[WildcatFan]

Ugh. Can't buy a sac fly.

[Tom Servo]

Not the best at-bat in the world, Todd.

[Magdal]

That guy has a great future in juggling.

[New York Red]

This team leaves a ton of runners on base.

[WildcatFan]

This team leaves a ton of runners on base.

All the best offenses do.

[kaldaniels]

This team leaves a ton of runners on base.

That's a good sign.

[Raisor]

Better to get runners on even if the don't score. It flips the lineup over giving your best guys more plate appearances

[NebraskaRed]

Cozart trying to not waste anyone's time.

[50YrRedsFan]

Cozart trying to not waste anyone's time.

Let me guess...he popped up, right?

[Stray]

We've hit some rockets right at people. Choo a couple, that one by Phillips to center....keep squaring the ball up like that and we'll run the score up eventually.

[NebraskaRed]

Let me guess...he popped up, right?

First pitch

[Red Raindog]

Is it because of 1606 wins as manager?

I think it only fair to point out his 1449 losses when quoting his wins total

[Number_Fourteen]

Another killing to a little rally.

[NebraskaRed]

I think it only fair to point out his 1449 losses when quoting his wins total

It's a .526 win-loss percentage. Not impressed?

[NebraskaRed]

Arroyo: 48 pitches, 3 hits, 0 runs through 4.

[Kc61]

Cozart hits a lot of pop ups. Actually mostly he hits ground balls.

So I looked at the highest infield fly percentage in MLB. Infield fly percentage is expressed as a percentage of total fly balls hit by the batter.

Cozart is number 25 among qualified hitters. 25th highest infield fly percentage in MLB, ninth highest in the NL.

Top two guys? BJ Upton with a 31.3% infield fly percentage this year. Josh Willingham with a 30.6% infield fly percentage. Willingham with over 47% fly ball percentage, really high so far. Cozart 14.8% infield fly percentage, highest on Reds.

Cozart has only a 4.1% walk rate and a 12.3% line drive rate. The line drive rate is actually up a bit, it was below 10% earlier on.

I think he'll hit better as the season goes on.

[Red Raindog]

It's a .526 win-loss percentage. Not impressed?

not arguing the % -- just think that the losses should be noted -- he's @ 18th in all time losses and @18th in all time wins -- not exactly as outstanding as simply saying hey - he's 18th in wins or hey -- he's got 1600+ wins

My guess is he'll get in the Hall with those wins but I'm not sure I'd vote for it

=== added --- he did pile up a bunch of those wins with the steroid boys in SF

[NebraskaRed]

Votto hits a nice double and looks upset that it wasn't over the wall.

[BluegrassRedleg]

Guy is a pretty good hitter. :)

[50YrRedsFan]

Another chance with a runner at 3rd and less than 2 outs.

[RedsfaninMT]

Votto hits a nice double and looks upset that it wasn't over the wall.

Would you want to be on 3rd today?

[Red Raindog]

Would you want to be on 3rd today?

well Bruce failed again to get the run in from 3rd -- can Votto steal home?

[OnBaseMachine]

Three times in five innings the Reds have had a runner on 3rd with only one out and have failed to score each time. This could easily be a 5 or 6-0 game. Why do I have a feeling that will haunt them later in the game?

[Stray]

These stranded runners are gonna come back to haunt us.

[50YrRedsFan]

3rd time in 5 innings we've left a runner at 3rd with less than 2 outs. Could come back to bite us.

[Kc61]

Just don't understand why Xavier Paul is on the bench. Because the guy throws a change up? I'm not saying he's great or anything, but Paul has a .386 OBP this year. I'd rather see him up with two outs RISP than Lutz.

[New York Red]

These stranded runners are gonna come back to haunt us.
That's a good sign ... or so I'm told.

I personally don't see anything positive about leading all of baseball in runners left on base.

[RedsfaninMT]

Stranded runners are driving me crazy, BUT the Phils pen has not been great and Kendrick should have 1 more inning before he's yanked.

[Kc61]

Lutz and Phillips have each left four runners on base. Bruce, 3. Cozart and Frazier, 2. Choo, 1.Through five innings. Unreal.

[NebraskaRed]

They're letting Kendrick bat?

[NebraskaRed]

And a 3-pitch strikeout.

[OnBaseMachine]

3-0 Reds through five innings.

[Magdal]

I think it only fair to point out his 1449 losses when quoting his wins totalI wasn't going to bring that up.;)

[Magdal]

Just don't understand why Xavier Paul is on the bench. Because the guy throws a change up? I'm not saying he's great or anything, but Paul has a .386 OBP this year. I'd rather see him up with two outs RISP than Lutz.Don't 2nd guess LaDusty.

[Kc61]

Phillies top of the order coming up for the third time against Arroyo next inning.

[Magdal]

Phillies top of the order coming up for the third time against Arroyo next inning.He's still got gas in the tank.

[Kc61]

He's still got gas in the tank.

Good, I'm not able to watch today, just listening.

Frustrating ballgame, although Reds still up so good.

[Red Raindog]

Reds are hitting .260 with risp -- 13th in all of baseball


sadly --

they are hitting .214 with risp and 2outs --- 23rd in baseball

[OGB]

Remember when the Reds staff was full of guys who couldnt get a bunt down?

[NebraskaRed]

Reading these comments you'd think the Reds were down 10-0 in this game.

[NebraskaRed]

Cozart doubles. 4-0

[OnBaseMachine]

Cozart doubles to RF to score Hanigan! 4-0 Reds!

[Stray]

That's a nice swing for Cozart. Seems like he never looks to go the other way.

[OGB]

I've said it before, Brandon is having a good year, but if he was having a great year, he'd be over 50 rbis right now.

[50YrRedsFan]

Reading these comments you'd think the Reds were down 10-0 in this game.

By leaving so many runners that could have scored on base, we're leaving the door open for the Phils to come back.

[kaldaniels]

That's a good sign ... or so I'm told.

I personally don't see anything positive about leading all of baseball in runners left on base.

If one is going to whine about a team leaving runners on, wouldn't it be fair to look at their batting average/obp/slugging when there are runners on or in scoring position? Check into that and let me know.

[OnBaseMachine]

Rollins/Utley/Young due up with Howard to follow. Big inning for Arroyo here. Good start as he gets Rollins to ground out to Phillips.

[OnBaseMachine]

Utley flies out to Lutz on the first pitch. Two outs.

[kaldaniels]

I've said it before, Brandon is having a good year, but if he was having a great year, he'd be over 50 rbis right now.

I know what you are saying but I disagree. He is hitting remarkably better with men on base. That is not a skill, but when he has opportunity, he is getting the job done so far.

[OnBaseMachine]

Young lines out to Choo. A six pitch inning for Arroyo. 67 pitches through six innings. 4-0 Reds.

[NebraskaRed]

By leaving so many runners that could have scored on base, we're leaving the door open for the Phils to come back.

Nobody is arguing that it's better to leave runners on base than to score runs. and runners get left on base. It happens. In every single game of baseball ever played.

...now I'll just wait for someone to provide an example of a game where no runners were LOB. ;)

[Brisco]

Man, Choo just cannot hit and BP simply cannot drive in runs. I have no idea why Choo is allowed to lead off and BP bats fourth. Look at the friggin box score... every other hitter has a hit off Kendrick except those two lineup black holes. Why doesn't Dusty bench them or at least move them down to the bottom of the order. What a total simpleton.
There is no way the Reds will make it to the postseason, let alone win a series with those two in those slots!




This post has been brought to you by the Triple S Downers: An organization of Reds fans dedicated to using small sample sizes to find flaws and predict negative outcomes for the Reds.

[Kc61]

What are .338, .468, .506?

[OnBaseMachine]

Bruce doubles to right center to begin the 7th inning.

[OnBaseMachine]

What are .338, .468, .506?

Votto's BA/OBP/SLG

[kaldaniels]

What are .338, .468, .506?

I have a hunch. :lol:

[Kc61]

Votto's BA/OBP/SLG

Yes. He's in a streak of seemingly never making an out.

[Brisco]

Man, Choo just cannot hit and BP simply cannot drive in runs. I have no idea why Choo is allowed to lead off and BP bats fourth. Look at the friggin box score... every other hitter has a hit off Kendrick except those two lineup black holes. Why doesn't Dusty bench them or at least move them down to the bottom of the order. What a total simpleton.
There is no way the Reds will make it to the postseason, let alone win a series with those two in those slots!




This post has been brought to you by the Triple S Downers: An organization of Reds fans dedicated to using small sample sizes to find flaws and predict negative outcomes for the Reds.


To continue.... If the Phillies know what they are doing here, they will IBB Arroyo to get to Choo.

[OnBaseMachine]

Crazy to think this is only a 4-0 game. Reds waste a lead off double. Hopefully they don't need those other runs.

[Stray]

Switching over to the horse race, hoping to miss an uneventful bottom of the inning.

[OnBaseMachine]

Howard flies out to Lutz at the wall on the first pitch.

[OnBaseMachine]

Delmon Young lines out to Bruce on a 2-1 pitch. Two outs.

[OnBaseMachine]

Brown singles to CF on a 3-2 pitch.

[RedlegJake]

just arrived...started on page6 to catch up and was bummed the Reds were losing and not scoring....then read Cozarts hit and REDS led 4-0. Swore by the comments they were losing and shut out!

[OnBaseMachine]

Mayberry K's swinging. 84 pitches for Arroyo. 4-0 Reds after seven innings.

[ProfessorTofty]

I just got home-- no TV coverage for this game?

[OnBaseMachine]

Choo singles to CF, Cozart lines out to CF. Votto lines a single to RF, Choo holds at 2nd.

[R_Webb18]

I just got home-- no TV coverage for this game?

its on fox

[kbrake]

I just got home-- no TV coverage for this game?

Fox national

[OnBaseMachine]

Phillips infield single loads the bases for Bruce with only one out.

[ProfessorTofty]

Ah, okay. I looked on there and thought I didn't see it-- musta missed it, thanks. Also, bases loaded, nice!

[OnBaseMachine]

3-2 count on Bruce, and he pulls one foul. Sac fly to left center. Choo scores to make it 5-0 Reds. Votto tags and goes to 3rd.

[ProfessorTofty]

Sacrifice fly, we'll take that.

[Stray]

Woohoo a sacfly

[ProfessorTofty]

Wild pitch brings in another run!

[OnBaseMachine]

Wild pitch scores Votto to make it 6-0 Reds!

[ProfessorTofty]

And brings the runner at first to scoring position, and with that hit, it's now 7-0.

[OnBaseMachine]

Frazier lines a single to CF to score Phillips! 7-0 Reds!

[ProfessorTofty]

A double now makes 8-0!

[OnBaseMachine]

Lutz with a RBI double to left center! 8-0 Reds!

[WVRedsFan]

Lutz is a keeper.

[Kc61]

Good game. Really glad I have Tampa Bay-Baltimore on TV today. Thanks, Fox.

[50YrRedsFan]

I'm loving this. We need to put teams away when we can.

[ProfessorTofty]

Hanigan with a fly ball caught to end the inning, but not before the Reds blow this one wide open.

[OnBaseMachine]

Hanigan flies out to RF. 8-0 Reds after 7 1/2.

[CrackerJack]

14 hits...is that a season high?

[Red Raindog]

I can't figure out how Lutz struggled at AA -- he simply looks like a hitter

[Kc61]

14 hits...is that a season high?

Reds scored fifteen runs once or twice this season. I doubt fourteen hits is the high, but it's possible I guess.

Votto right now is on fire. He's hitting .342 and rising.

When Cozart, Frazier and the catcher contribute on offense, this is a tough team.

[OnBaseMachine]

Kratz pops out to Votto in foul territory to begin the bottom of the 8th inning.

[lollipopcurve]

I can't figure out how Lutz struggled at AA -- he simply looks like a hitter

Sometimes guys with ability need to be challenged to play their best. They're not robots, and development is not necessarily a linear progression with stops at each level of the minor leagues.

[Red Raindog]

OK -- I trust you guys to bring this home -- going to mow

[OnBaseMachine]

Galvis grounds out to Phillips. Two outs. Arroyo at 91 pitches.

[Kc61]

Might want to give Simon the ninth inning to give him some work. If they need him again tomorrow, he can handle it.

[50YrRedsFan]

Sometimes guys with ability need to be challenged to play their best. They're not robots, and development is not necessarily a linear progression with stops at each level of the minor leagues.

Major league pitching can be a difference. More strikes thrown, so maybe less bad balls swung at.

[OnBaseMachine]

Arroyo walks Rollins, his first walk of the game.

[Kc61]

Simon is warming.

Dusty, stop reading my stuff.

[OnBaseMachine]

Now Arroyo walks Utley.

[ProfessorTofty]

Arroyo is out following the walk.

[OnBaseMachine]

Alfredo Simon coming in. 7.2 IP for Arroyo.

[BluegrassRedleg]

Another great outing. It's getting routine. Bravo Bronson.

[OnBaseMachine]

Nice job by Simon to get Michael Young to ground out to Hannahan on the first pitch. Great start by Arroyo: 7.2 IP, 5 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 6 K, 102 pitches/69 strikes.

8-0 Reds after eight innings.

[OnBaseMachine]

Hannahan robbed of a single on a nice play by Utley. Choo singles to LF, he's been on base three more times today. Amazing.

[ProfessorTofty]

Votto HR, and it's 10-0!

[OnBaseMachine]

Votto homers to dead CF to make it 10-0 Reds! Votto has reached base in seven straight plate appearances.

[New York Red]

This Votto guy has a chance to be a pretty good hitter. :beerme:

[BluegrassRedleg]

What a game for a Votto!

[Vottomatic]

Votto hitting a garbage time HR. ;)

[marcshoe]

Great. They're probably going to make the Reds pay for that ball that Votto just lost.

[OnBaseMachine]

Votto is now hitting .346/.473/.531 - 1.004 OPS

[Crumbley]

This is a really, really good baseball team.

[TSJ55]

This Votto guy has a chance to be a pretty good hitter. :beerme:

I loved the look on his face in the dugout taking off his gloves. Very ho-hum and seemed to still be processing the at bat. Dude is a pure hitter.

[New York Red]

Joey is now leading the NL in both walks and hits.

[Vottomatic]

Votto - 17 hits in his last 40 at-bats. 2 HR's.

[ProfessorTofty]

Double for Howard; I was worried for a second that one was going to be out and we were going to lose the shutout.

[OnBaseMachine]

Howard doubles. Young flies out to center, runner holds. Brown grounds out to Phillips, runner advances to third.

[OnBaseMachine]

Mayberry Jr. K's swinging! And this one belongs to the Reds! 10-0 win.

[TSJ55]

Very cool Redlegs. Very cool.

[ProfessorTofty]

And this one belongs to the Reds... not that there was really any doubt for, oh, at least the past 15-20 minutes or so.

[NebraskaRed]

Reds win! Somehow all those runners LOB led to a 10-0 rout.

[Big Klu]

Congratulations to Joey Votto, who has passed Jay Bruce for 17th place on the Reds' all-time home run list!


Updated Reds HR list (players in italics are active):

Reds 100-Home Run Club
1. Johnny Bench - 389
2. Frank Robinson - 324
3. Tony Perez - 287
4. Adam Dunn - 270
5. Ted Kluszewski - 251
6. George Foster - 244
7. Ken Griffey, Jr. - 210
8. Eric Davis - 203
9. Barry Larkin - 198
10. Vada Pinson - 186
11. Wally Post - 172
12. Gus Bell - 160
13. Joe Morgan - 152
13. Pete Rose - 152
15. Brandon Phillips - 149
16. Lee May - 147
17. Joey Votto - 139
18. Jay Bruce - 138
19. Dan Driessen - 133
20. Reggie Sanders - 125
21. Ernie Lombardi - 120
22. Sean Casey - 118
23. Frank McCormick - 110
24. Dave Parker - 107
25. Chris Sabo - 104
26. Dave Concepcion - 101

[Tom Servo]

We're good again! :beerme:

[Wonderful Monds]

Too many runs again, cross this one off the "good offensive games" list.

[kaldaniels]

Maybe Joey decided to have a monster game today since Tom Verducci was in the booth?

[Gizmo]

Just got home from the game! Seemed like the Reds were at bat the whole time, and really could have been 16-0 or more. I missed both homers, was taking my daughter down out of the rain for Hanny's shot, and we were hitting the final potty break before heading back home when Votto hit his.

I thought Cincy was pretty boring around the park back before the Banks came to be, but man there is nothing around the Philly arena district. I think I saw one restaurant and a sea of pavement. The park itself is not too bad, and everyone was surprisingly nice to us. I guess a 4 month old helps keep the stupidity down, and a 10-0 beating in the favor of the good guys will shut up even the most obnoxious homer. All in all it's been a good, but really long, day.

[Red Raindog]

Reds are hitting .260 with risp -- 13th in all of baseball


sadly --

they are hitting .214 with risp and 2outs --- 23rd in baseball

===

I need to correct the numbers I posted ---

I failed to notice that the site I was using had the 2011 numbers as the default.

here are the 2013 numbers:

risp = .278 (10th)

risp 2 outs = .193 (27th)

[Raisor]

===

I need to correct the numbers I posted ---

I failed to notice that the site I was using had the 2011 numbers as the default.

here are the 2013 numbers:

risp = .278 (10th)

risp 2 outs = .193 (27th)

I assume those are the team's ops in those situation. That's really bad. Wonder how they are scoring so many runs.

[BluegrassRedleg]

Votto is in a nice groove right now.

[BluegrassRedleg]

Laser by Frazier. He coming out of his funk? Starting to look that way.

2-0 Redlegs

[BluegrassRedleg]

Oops... Wrong day. /blush

[Red Raindog]

I assume those are the team's ops in those situation. That's really bad. Wonder how they are scoring so many runs.

as you well know (not to get too Rumsfeldian - and I know you know ;-) )

having many base runners will help that.

but there is truth that the Reds have hit poorly with 2 outs & risp this year to date