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flyer85
06-27-2007, 04:02 PM
Hamilton cf
Phillips 2b
Griffey rf
Conine 1b
Dunn lf
Encarnacion 3b
Gonzalez ss
Ross c
Harang p

BRM
06-27-2007, 04:06 PM
Narron sure loves to use Conine as the cleanup hitter.

KronoRed
06-27-2007, 04:09 PM
Narron sure loves to use Conine as the cleanup hitter.

Insanity.

BRM
06-27-2007, 04:10 PM
Phillies lineup has been posted, courtesy of C. Trent.

Phils
Rollins ss
Bourn lf
Utley 2b
Howard 1b
Rowand cf
Vctorino lf
Nunez 3b
Ruiz c
Moyer p

flyer85
06-27-2007, 04:11 PM
That Burrell is a very expensive bench player.

BRM
06-27-2007, 04:24 PM
Career vs Moyer:

Conine - .360/.433/.760/1.193 in 29 plate appearances
Junior - .364/.417/.636/1.053 in 24 plate appearances
Gonzalez is 4-4 with 2 doubles and a homerun.

Heath
06-27-2007, 04:49 PM
Career vs Moyer:

Conine - .360/.433/.760/1.193 in 29 plate appearances
Junior - .364/.417/.636/1.053 in 24 plate appearances
Gonzalez is 4-4 with 2 doubles and a homerun.

The need to know info is what Castro hits.


:D

BRM
06-27-2007, 04:51 PM
The need to know info is what Castro hits.


:D

2-7 with a homerun. Good enough for a .286/.286/.714 line. I'm surprised Jerry didn't start him.

Red Leader
06-27-2007, 04:52 PM
2-7 with a homerun. Good enough for a .286/.286/.714 line. I'm surprised Jerry didn't start him.

Nah, much better to save a bat like that for a late inning PH assignment.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 04:54 PM
Nah, much better to save a bat like that for a late inning PH assignment.

For Hamilton

dabvu2498
06-27-2007, 04:58 PM
Narron sure loves to use Conine as the cleanup hitter.

Not alot of good options vs. LHPs, especially based on this year's stats. Not sure that's Narron's fault. :D

WVRedsFan
06-27-2007, 05:14 PM
Kind of inconsistent.

I love Hamilton leading off, but it would seem that Narron's so matchup crazy that leading off a lefthander would be taboo. Strange.

Why is Phillips always batting at the top of the order? Oh, I forgot. Speed. Never mind that his OBP is, at .324 only 6th best. Jerry's lineup in OBP is:

.359
.324 (Phillips)
.385
.340
.361
.346
.297
.255

Conine at cleanup is really strange when your two power hitters are batting 3rd and 5th. Whoa! I forgot our two power hitters are leftys. Never mind their former success against the pitcher. We must split up those leftys, right?

It's really not that bad of a lineup (lilke I said, i especially like Hamilton leading off), but I would prefer:

Hamilton (.359)
Encarnacion (.346)
Griffey (.385)
Dunn (.361)
Conine (.340)
Phillips (.324)
Gonzo (.297)
Ross (.255).

Kc61
06-27-2007, 05:25 PM
Kind of inconsistent.

I love Hamilton leading off, but it would seem that Narron's so matchup crazy that leading off a lefthander would be taboo. Strange.


Hamilton (.359)
Encarnacion (.346)
Griffey (.385)
Dunn (.361)
Conine (.340)
Phillips (.324)
Gonzo (.297)
Ross (.255).


I wouldn't bunch the lefties.

Not a bad idea to switch EE and Phillips for OBP reasons. Of course, in every other facet of the game Phillips is head and shoulders above EE this year. EE needs to get better or he is a minus as a third baseman. He's still young though.

dabvu2498
06-27-2007, 05:27 PM
Jerry's lineup in OBP is:

.359
.324 (Phillips)
.385
.340
.361
.346
.297
.255


Here are their respective year to date OBP's (and OPS) vs. LH pitching

Hamilton .339 (.673)
Phillips .360 (.970)
Griffey .360 (.897)
Conine .340 (.816)
Dunn .339 (.756)
EE .333 (.644)
Gonzo .280 (.613)
Ross .261 (.690)

CTA513
06-27-2007, 06:09 PM
I wouldn't bunch the lefties.

Not a bad idea to switch EE and Phillips for OBP reasons. Of course, in every other facet of the game Phillips is head and shoulders above EE this year. EE needs to get better or he is a minus as a third baseman. He's still young though.

Encarnacion is also better with RISP.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 07:01 PM
Moyer's first start against the Reds since 1991? Is that correct?

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 07:07 PM
A soft-tossing, junk ball lefty...that rarely means good things for the Reds, a power hitting, free swinging club.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 07:09 PM
The Phillies have 3 "lead-off" hitters in their lineup....the Reds have 0.

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 07:15 PM
Moyer's first start against the Reds since 1991? Is that correct?

He's been in the AL that long.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 07:16 PM
He's been in the AL that long.

He's just an old fart :D

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 07:24 PM
That Phillies poem Marty just recited was about the cheesiest thing I've heard in a while. Yikes

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 07:29 PM
Lively group tonight....


Not that I can blame people for having better things to do... :)

flyer85
06-27-2007, 07:31 PM
Phillips had plenty of time ... but

Red in Chicago
06-27-2007, 07:31 PM
nice stop by phillips, but poor throw to second...

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 07:31 PM
It is pretty dead in here. Marty and Mark Sheldon are debating whether Coffey sprinting to the mound has something to do with the first batter hitting .355 off of him this year. I think they're bored too.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 07:32 PM
Coffey banter on the air....

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 07:33 PM
It is pretty dead in here. Marty and Mark Sheldon are debating whether Coffey sprinting to the mound has something to do with the first batter hitting .355 off of him this year. I think they're bored too.

It's a fair question....something's not right...

Coffey said he didn't realize the numbers were that bad against the first batter, but does not plan on changing his enterance, no has he been asked.

Sheldon says Narron's thought about asking him, but hasn't.

Red in Chicago
06-27-2007, 07:35 PM
this at bat will determine the outcome of the game:D

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 07:35 PM
Marty says he would trade Arroyo if a team came knocking....and the return was there...


Would the Reds? I don't know

Red in Chicago
06-27-2007, 07:41 PM
Griffey = sweetest swing in baseball

Harang = ugliest swing in baseball

Tom Servo
06-27-2007, 07:43 PM
Moyer with the no-hitter through 3.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 07:51 PM
That Chase Utley guy can play some ball

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 07:53 PM
Harang strikes out Howard. 3 Ks for Harang. 0-0 through 3.

Red in Chicago
06-27-2007, 07:57 PM
Reds really working the count so far this inning.

CTA513
06-27-2007, 07:57 PM
Reds really working the count so far this inning.

Have to make sure Moyer can go all 9 innings.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 07:58 PM
A very easy 1-2-3 inning for Moyer. I think he threw about 8 pitches that inning. Reds still being no hit through 4. 0-0.

edabbs44
06-27-2007, 08:03 PM
A very easy 1-2-3 inning for Moyer. I think he threw about 8 pitches that inning. Reds still being no hit through 4. 0-0.

I knew they were going to be bad...but I didn't know it was going to be this bad. It's almost as if they try and outdo themselves each night.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 08:05 PM
Still scoreless through 4.

Harang 62 pitches
Moyer 46 pitches.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 08:07 PM
Dunn grounds out to the shortstop playing the shift.
Edwin flies out on the first pitch.
Gonzalez strikes out swinging. 5 Ks for Moyer who got through that inning on 10 pitches.

Reds are still being no hit through 5.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 08:10 PM
This is really sad.

Ltlabner
06-27-2007, 08:12 PM
Phillies not exactly tearing it up either. 3 hits and a walk.

penantboundreds
06-27-2007, 08:17 PM
yet harang has throw almost 80 pitches...

Kc61
06-27-2007, 08:20 PM
Phillies not exactly tearing it up either. 3 hits and a walk.


But the Reds lose every day. The Phillies don't.

You look at the Reds roster and it is not this bad. I've never seen a managerial staff get less out of a group of ballplayers. I like Narron -- engaging on the radio shows, knows baseball. But c'mon, this has to end.

REDREAD
06-27-2007, 08:21 PM
This might be the shortest game thread ever. :(

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 08:22 PM
Utley with a 10 pitch AB draws a walk to make it 1st and 2nd with 2 outs.

REDREAD
06-27-2007, 08:22 PM
Oh no.. 3-0 Phils.. HR by Howard.

Red in Chicago
06-27-2007, 08:23 PM
Well, that was smart pitching:rolleyes:

penantboundreds
06-27-2007, 08:23 PM
damn

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 08:23 PM
3 run HR for Howard. 3-0 Phillies.

Marc D
06-27-2007, 08:23 PM
That wasn't too predictable

thanks for coming, have a safe drive home

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 08:23 PM
That should take care of things...

CTA513
06-27-2007, 08:23 PM
You might not want to throw fastballs right down the middle.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 08:24 PM
Inning over. 3-0 Phillies after 5.

Harang 84 pitches
Moyer 56 pitches.

redsrule2500
06-27-2007, 08:24 PM
Grande can't be a Reds fan....he sounded way too happy with that homer.

Unless he's just numb to the pain already.

CTA513
06-27-2007, 08:24 PM
Well, that was smart pitching:rolleyes:

Right down the middle is Reds pitching.

Red in Chicago
06-27-2007, 08:24 PM
You might not want to throw fastballs right down the middle.

or walk the guy in front just before you do

REDREAD
06-27-2007, 08:25 PM
Yeah, our win expectancy is probably only 15%, by my wild-guess method..

flyer85
06-27-2007, 08:25 PM
hopefully the Reds will get a hit

Marc D
06-27-2007, 08:25 PM
You might not want to throw fastballs right down the middle.


to Ryan Howard

redsrule2500
06-27-2007, 08:25 PM
How are we this bad? Insane.

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 08:26 PM
This might be the shortest game thread ever. :(

Wait until September.

MrCinatit
06-27-2007, 08:26 PM
Grande can't be a Reds fan....he sounded way too happy with that homer.

Unless he's just numb to the pain already.

He's always been pretty good at cheering for the other team - especially if they are the Cardinals.

Do you realize we are getting no-hit by a guy who made his major league about one month after the birth of yesterday's starting pitcher?

redsrule2500
06-27-2007, 08:26 PM
We better get a hit. That would be the cap on this disgusting season.

CTA513
06-27-2007, 08:26 PM
to Ryan Howard

to anyone thats not a weak hitting pitcher.

redsrule2500
06-27-2007, 08:26 PM
David Ross - maybe he will be batting .200 by the All Star Break!

^These are the reasons we suck.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 08:27 PM
Ross with a half swing strikeout. 6 Ks for Moyer.

Marc D
06-27-2007, 08:27 PM
How are we this bad? Insane.


Ask Wayne

Cyclone792
06-27-2007, 08:27 PM
FSN is teasing the heck out of me by showing video from Geno's Steaks. I swear I'm not lying when I say that a Geno's cheesesteak (pro wit-out) is one of the greatest things I've ever eaten.

flyer85
06-27-2007, 08:28 PM
I would have PH for Harang

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 08:28 PM
Harang swings at a low outside pitch. 7 Ks for Moyer.

CTA513
06-27-2007, 08:29 PM
I would have PH for Harang

Harang has to throw his 110+ pitches before he can leave.

redsrule2500
06-27-2007, 08:29 PM
FINALLY~!!!!

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 08:29 PM
Finally. Hamilton singles to center.

vaticanplum
06-27-2007, 08:29 PM
One of these days we're all going to hear a pop on the radio as Marty explodes in frustration. He's quickly closing in on Santos, just with a bit more acerbic wit and a whole lot less joy.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 08:29 PM
It takes a rookie, who shouldn't be doing anything to the level he's doing it to get the first hit.

MrCinatit
06-27-2007, 08:29 PM
End of the no-no.
Should I feel guilty because I am kind of disappointed?

vaticanplum
06-27-2007, 08:30 PM
Santo, not Santos. Oy.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 08:30 PM
One of these days we're all going to hear a pop on the radio as Marty explodes in frustration. He's quickly closing in on Santos, just with a bit more acerbic wit and a whole lot less joy.


Brain goo probably would short out some of the electrical equipment in the booth.

edabbs44
06-27-2007, 08:30 PM
We better get a hit. That would be the cap on this disgusting season.

It's not even July. Wait until the fire sale when we are complaining that Castro shouldn't be hitting 8th.

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 08:30 PM
Well, that's the end of tonight's suspense I suppose.

Red in Chicago
06-27-2007, 08:30 PM
I love how I was looking for tickets to some games next month when Howard hit the home run. Tell me that wasn't a sign:p:

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 08:31 PM
Phillips singles to center. 1st and 2nd.

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 08:32 PM
It's not even July. Wait until the fire sale when we are complaining that Castro shouldn't be hitting 8th.

I've got this dreaded feeling that we might revisit the summer of 2003 this August and September. Career minor leaguers will be lining up for their shot at the roster. Who will be this year's Jim Chamblee?

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 08:33 PM
Griffey could be the one to change our minds about this one being over....at least for now.

REDREAD
06-27-2007, 08:34 PM
I've got this dreaded feeling that we might revisit the summer of 2003 this August and September. Career minor leaguers will be lining up for their shot at the roster. Who will be this year's Jim Chamblee?

Or what about the next Norton and Thug Life? :laugh:

redsrule2500
06-27-2007, 08:34 PM
Ughhhhhh Griffey is soooo good but the Reds are sooooo bad.

Is this the rule for the team? It seems like if Griffey has a good year the reds are terrible. If he has a bad year, they are mediocre. lol

redsrule2500
06-27-2007, 08:35 PM
dangit :( :( :( :( :( :( :( :( :(

redsrule2500
06-27-2007, 08:35 PM
Why do I still torture myself with this team... :(

REDREAD
06-27-2007, 08:36 PM
That's a bummer, Jr K's..

I think I'm going to bail.. Got stuff to do.. Get a win for me while I'm gone.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 08:36 PM
Junior strikes out swinging. 8 Ks for Moyer. 3-0 Phillies mid 6th.

Red in Chicago
06-27-2007, 08:36 PM
You put Moyer in a Reds uniform and he would have given up 5 or 6 runs by now.

flyer85
06-27-2007, 08:38 PM
Everyone in the lineup had struck out with the exception of EE

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 08:41 PM
End of 6. 3-0 Phillies.

93 pitches for Harang.
77 pitches for Moyer.

vaticanplum
06-27-2007, 08:43 PM
Why do I still torture myself with this team... :(

I think we all have Stockholm Syndrome.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 08:44 PM
Conine leads off with a single to center.

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 08:45 PM
Conine exacting revenge on the Phillies for dealing him! Well, it sounded good anyway.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 08:46 PM
Dunn walks. 1st and 2nd.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 08:49 PM
Encarnacion walks. Bases loaded with no outs.

Red in Chicago
06-27-2007, 08:49 PM
Bases loaded, nobody out. The Reds have got to score here.

Red in Chicago
06-27-2007, 08:50 PM
Can the Phillies bring in Todd Coffey to pitch :D

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 08:50 PM
Moyer's been chased from the game. Don't know yet who is coming in.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 08:51 PM
Geoff Geary in to pitch.

CTA513
06-27-2007, 08:51 PM
Bases loaded, nobody out. The Reds have got to score here.

Phillies are looking for a triple play.

Cyclone792
06-27-2007, 08:52 PM
Average run expectancy for bases loaded and nobody out is 2.417 runs. We'll see what this lineup can do.

The Reds need AT LEAST three runs this inning.

redsrule2500
06-27-2007, 08:54 PM
2.4 average, very interesting

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 08:55 PM
Jeff Brantley describing Alex Gonzalez's stance:

"His chin is pointed down the left field line, his shoulder is pointed down the right field line, and I don't know where his bat is pointed but it's not at the ball."

Red in Chicago
06-27-2007, 08:55 PM
Gonzo!!!!!!

guttle11
06-27-2007, 08:55 PM
That close!!!

2 runs score.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 08:55 PM
Gonzalez with a 2 run double off the top of the wall in right. 3-2 Phillies. 2nd and 3rd.

redsrule2500
06-27-2007, 08:55 PM
Yay GONZO!!!!! Great at bat

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 08:56 PM
I guess that stance works!

CTA513
06-27-2007, 08:56 PM
Just missed a grandslam.
They should be able to tie it up with 0 outs and runners at 2nd and 3rd.

Red in Chicago
06-27-2007, 08:56 PM
Now that we've got the 2, how do we get the .4:D

Cyclone792
06-27-2007, 08:56 PM
Run expectancy for 2nd and 3rd with nobody out is now 2.052 runs.

The Reds need to get both those baserunners in to score. No excuses, and no exceptions.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 08:57 PM
Hey, runs!

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 08:57 PM
Valentin pinch hitting.

Falls City Beer
06-27-2007, 08:57 PM
AGon's all grip it and rip it. Sometimes it works.

redsrule2500
06-27-2007, 08:58 PM
Harang staying...blahhhhhh

WVRedsFan
06-27-2007, 08:58 PM
Anyone but me disagree with PH-ing Javier here?

No answers because I guess it was a stupid question..
Tied

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 08:59 PM
Valentin singles to left. Tie game 3-3! 1st and 3rd.

Red in Chicago
06-27-2007, 09:00 PM
No victory for Moyer tonight.

Cyclone792
06-27-2007, 09:00 PM
Run expectancy with runners on 1st and 3rd and nobody out is 1.904 runs.

Yea, I'll get greedy and say that the Reds need to score at least two more runs right here. ;)

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 09:01 PM
Tie game

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 09:01 PM
Anyone but me disagree with PH-ing Javier here?

Right now yes. ;)

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:01 PM
I don't get Harang batting here. He has already thrown 93 pitches and you have to score here.

Falls City Beer
06-27-2007, 09:02 PM
I don't get Harang batting here. He has already thrown 93 pitches and you have to score here.

I agree completely. Score first, worry about pitching later.

CTA513
06-27-2007, 09:02 PM
Anyone but me disagree with PH-ing Javier here?

No answers because I guess it was a stupid question..
Tied

He was probably the best option off the bench to get a fly ball that would tie the game.

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 09:02 PM
I don't get Harang batting here. He has already thrown 93 pitches and you have to score here.

Problem is turning the bullpen lose for 3 innings in a tie game. Besides, Harang is just laying down a bunt, so that's fine. No need to burn a PH for that.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:02 PM
Harang sacrifices the runner to 2nd. 2nd and 3rd with 1 out.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 09:02 PM
Josh up....how big would this be?

NJReds
06-27-2007, 09:02 PM
I don't get Harang batting here. He has already thrown 93 pitches and you have to score here.

If you have one ounce of faith in your pen, then the pitcher doesn't bat here.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 09:03 PM
IBB for Josh

redsrule2500
06-27-2007, 09:03 PM
bases loaded with only 1 out - whats the run expectancy??????

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:03 PM
Intentional walk to Hamilton loads the bases.

Red in Chicago
06-27-2007, 09:03 PM
I hope Brandon shows a little patience with the bases loaded.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 09:03 PM
If you have one ounce of faith in your pen, then the pitcher doesn't bat here.

If there were 2 outs, Harang probably doesn't bat either...at least in my world.

Jerry's probably not in my world ;)

WVRedsFan
06-27-2007, 09:03 PM
I don't get Harang batting here. He has already thrown 93 pitches and you have to score here.

Narron ball. Thou shalt not trust thy bullpen and thou shalt abuse thy starter.

Narron ball. Catch it.

oneupper
06-27-2007, 09:04 PM
I don't get Harang batting here. He has already thrown 93 pitches and you have to score here.

It's silly. Narron will do ANYTHING to get Harang out there again. That's why he used Valentin for Ross, hoping the game would be at least be tied and he would "have to" PH for Harang.

Letting AH hit is a bad percentage move. Having him bunt is even worse.

Cyclone792
06-27-2007, 09:04 PM
bases loaded with only 1 out - whats the run expectancy??????

1.650 runs for bases loaded and one out.

It's interesting how that transpired ... 1st and 3rd and nobody out was 1.904 runs, then 2nd and 3rd with one out was 1.467 runs after Harang's bunt, and then the run expectancy jumps to 1.650 runs after Hamilton's intentional walk.

WVRedsFan
06-27-2007, 09:05 PM
I hope Brandon shows a little patience with the bases loaded.

Never. Hacks at the first one and takes the second on--slow curve or changeup right down the middle. He'll never learn

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:06 PM
1 run single for Phillips! 4-3 Reds. Bases still loaded.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 09:06 PM
Phillies bullpen is Reds-like...

redsrule2500
06-27-2007, 09:06 PM
haha one inning ago they were cheering him, now booing him lol

Red in Chicago
06-27-2007, 09:06 PM
Brandon comes through with a clutch single. Funny how this game has turned around this inning.

WVRedsFan
06-27-2007, 09:06 PM
On second thought, Brandon's at-bat was brilliant. :D

redsrule2500
06-27-2007, 09:07 PM
1 run single you mean??

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 09:07 PM
All that crap I spouted about this one being over after the 3 run homer....


...forget it :D

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 09:07 PM
Harang in line for win number nine.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:08 PM
1 run single you mean??Yeah I assumed 2 were going to score but Valentin held at 3rd.

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 09:08 PM
Someone named Mike Zagurski in to pitch. Anyone got a scouting report. He's a lefty.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 09:08 PM
Griffey up....


Hmmmmmmmmm...

WVRedsFan
06-27-2007, 09:08 PM
Wonder why the 3rd base coach has become timid all of a sudden?

Red in Chicago
06-27-2007, 09:08 PM
All that crap I spouted about this one being over after the 3 run homer....


...forget it :D


Wait until the bottom of the 8th;)

redsrule2500
06-27-2007, 09:09 PM
yay its zagurski. whatever that means

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:09 PM
Someone named Mike Zagurski in to pitch. Anyone got a scouting report. He's a lefty.Don't know anything about him but he has 5.06 ERA and a 6.68 ERA in June.

CTA513
06-27-2007, 09:09 PM
Harang in line for win number nine.

I just hope hes not tired from throwing the 90+ pitches on a hot day.

Cyclone792
06-27-2007, 09:09 PM
The Reds started the inning off by loading the bases, and so far they've scored four runs. The percentage of innings that start off with the bases loaded and wind up with five or more runs scoring is 13 percent.

Always Red
06-27-2007, 09:10 PM
It's silly. Narron will do ANYTHING to get Harang out there again. That's why he used Valentin for Ross, hoping the game would be at least be tied and he would "have to" PH for Harang.

Letting AH hit is a bad percentage move. Having him bunt is even worse.

I respectfully disagree. Harang's only up there to bunt, no use using a PH for that.

He's got one more inning left in him, and like it or not, he's better than anyone else down there in the bullpen.

At some point I think you have to try to win a game, and not be a slave to pitch counts, especially when he's at 93. If he's at 110, I agree with you.

Having said that, I fully expect Narron's strategy to backfire on him; it's been that kind of year for JN. Even the moves he makes that I agree with never seem to work out for him. :(

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 09:10 PM
I just hope hes not tired from throwing the 90+ pitches on a hot day.

Here's a horse, I'm sure he'll make it through the 7th OK.

Red in Chicago
06-27-2007, 09:10 PM
yay its zagurski. whatever that means

it must mean chubby

redsrule2500
06-27-2007, 09:11 PM
yay 6-3! w00t jr!

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:11 PM
Junior singles to left. 6-3 Reds! 1st and 3rd.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 09:11 PM
Griffey!!

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 09:11 PM
I fully expect Narron's strategy to backfire on him; it's been that kind of year for JN. Even the moves he makes that I agree with never seem to work out for him. :(

Sure seems that way. I don't think he's Manager of the Year material by any means, but the poor guy has had some rotten luck this year as well.

CrackerJack
06-27-2007, 09:12 PM
Having BP in front of Jr. is a good way to go

redsrule2500
06-27-2007, 09:12 PM
DANG! Conine is old! (relatively that is)

What a great player!! (41)

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 09:12 PM
The Reds started the inning off by loading the bases, and so far they've scored four runs. The percentage of innings that start off with the bases loaded and wind up with five or more runs scoring is 13 percent.

So what are the odds of 6? Or more?

CTA513
06-27-2007, 09:12 PM
Does anyone think Zagurski is really 225 pounds?

redsrule2500
06-27-2007, 09:13 PM
crappppp!

Cyclone792
06-27-2007, 09:13 PM
So what are the odds of 6? Or more?

I'm not sure as I'll have to find a new chart. :laugh: That's always a good problem to have when it's the Reds up to bat and they go off the charts with run frequency.

http://www.tangotiger.net/RE9902score.html

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:13 PM
Conine strikes out swinging. 2 outs.

redsrule2500
06-27-2007, 09:14 PM
Cyclone, where do you pulls this stuff from?!?!

redsrule2500
06-27-2007, 09:14 PM
0-2 to Dunn - You know what that means

Cyclone792
06-27-2007, 09:15 PM
Cyclone, where do you pulls this stuff from?!?!

All the stuff I've been using in the game thread tonight has been on Tango Tiger's site.

http://www.tangotiger.net

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:15 PM
Dunn lines out to short. 6-3 Reds mid 7th.

Red in Chicago
06-27-2007, 09:16 PM
Will three runs be enough to win this one?

CTA513
06-27-2007, 09:16 PM
Dunn lines out to short. 6-3 Reds mid 7th.

Hit the ball hard, but Rollins was in the right area.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:19 PM
Rollins singles to left center.

Cyclone792
06-27-2007, 09:20 PM
Harang's velocity on those fastballs to Rollins were in the 84-86 mph range. IIRC, it's extremely hot in Philly tonight and Harang could just be gassed by now. This makes me wonder why he's still in the game ...

oneupper
06-27-2007, 09:21 PM
I respectfully disagree. Harang's only up there to bunt, no use using a PH for that.

He's got one more inning left in him, and like it or not, he's better than anyone else down there in the bullpen.

At some point I think you have to try to win a game, and not be a slave to pitch counts, especially when he's at 93. If he's at 110, I agree with you.

Having said that, I fully expect Narron's strategy to backfire on him; it's been that kind of year for JN. Even the moves he makes that I agree with never seem to work out for him. :(


I did a little arithmetic on the "bunt the runner over to second" move (runners on corners no outs). I'll find the thread later. It turns out that doing that...rather than hitting away with the pitcher, lowers your win expectancy by somewhere in the order of 1.5% (I suspect it is even more tonights situation).

As for hitting for Harang or not...that's another situation (I'll do the math when I have the time), but in any case by letting Harang hit you lower your run (or win) expectancy by an amount that must be offset by his pitching in the next inning (as opposed to a reliever). Since the situation is so high leveraged (game tied...no outs...man on corners), the difference between between Harang and the reliever has to be HUGE. 1 or 2 pts of ERA is not going to do it.

Narron has done this before. It's poor strategy.

Apparently this time he WONT pay for it. It's his lucky day.

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 09:21 PM
Sure does sound like Harang's zip is gone.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:22 PM
Dobbs doubles in a run. 6-4. Why is Harang still in there?

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:22 PM
Coutlangus in to pitch.

Cyclone792
06-27-2007, 09:23 PM
I did a little arithmetic on the "bunt the runner over to second" move (runners on corners no outs). I'll find the thread later. It turns out that doing that...rather than hitting away with the pitcher, lowers your win expectancy by somewhere in the order of 1.5% (I suspect it is even more tonights situation).

As for hitting for Harang or not...that's another situation (I'll do the math when I have the time), but in any case by letting Harang hit you lower your run (or win) expectancy by an amount that must be offset by his pitching in the next inning (as opposed to a reliever). Since the situation is so high leveraged (game tied...no outs...man on corners), the difference between between Harang and the reliever has to be HUGE. 1 or 2 pts of ERA is not going to do it.

Narron has done this before. It's poor strategy.

Apparently this time he WONT pay for it. It's his lucky day.

Sad thing is Narron's already paying for it. Harang coughed up a run and put a runner on 2nd base with nobody out before Narron bothered to lift him finally.

Always Red
06-27-2007, 09:23 PM
Apparently this time he WONT pay for it. It's his lucky day.

Not so fast, oneupper, it's not JN's lucky year...

Falls City Beer
06-27-2007, 09:24 PM
Now that really was horrible managing. I don't get as worked up as a lot of you folks about Jerry, but not taking Aaron out had disaster written all over it.

oneupper
06-27-2007, 09:24 PM
Coutlangus in to pitch.

I stand corrected. Narron pays for his moves tonight. He gets no return for the free out he gave up with Harang.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:24 PM
This is where I totally disagree with Narron's approach again. If you pinch hit for Harang Coutlangus comes into the inning at the beginning. Instead a run is already in and Coutlangus comes into a pressure situation with a runner in scoring position.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 09:26 PM
Now that really was horrible managing. I don't get as worked up as a lot of you folks about Jerry, but not taking Aaron out had disaster written all over it.

I don't mind him letting him pitch....he wasn't even at 100 pitches....he's shown he can handle a workload of that more often than not.

If Harang goes out there and isn't gassed, you'd think he can get through it and be between 105-110 pitches....then be done for the night.

That was one of those either way moves to me...and unfortunately, it went the wrong way. He was gassed........maybe Jerry should have known that, maybe not...he looked fine the inning before.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:26 PM
Ball goes off Valentin's glove. Runner at 3rd with no outs.

CTA513
06-27-2007, 09:26 PM
Now its time for Coutlangus to walk Utley and then have Howard hit another 3 run homerun.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:27 PM
4 pitch walk to Utley. Howard up with runners at 1st and 3rd.

redsrule2500
06-27-2007, 09:27 PM
only the reds. i had a good mood for about 10 mins tonight at least.

Gallen5862
06-27-2007, 09:27 PM
How did Harang look tonight?

Cyclone792
06-27-2007, 09:27 PM
I almost wish I was in Philly tonight to hear what Phillies fans were calling Coutlangus when he was warming up in the bullpen. There's a long railing just above the bullpen where lines of fans just stand to watch the game, and half those fans will just absolutely berate the opposing team's relievers as they warm up.

It's not like fans are somewhat far away either; they are right there and close enough that they might as well be in the bullpen themselves.

vaticanplum
06-27-2007, 09:29 PM
Oh my god I just came back and the Reds are winning a baseball game!!!

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:29 PM
Howard strikes out swinging. 1 out.

guttle11
06-27-2007, 09:29 PM
Jerry Narron just can't let a three run lead be good enough. I don't care if your bullpen is bad, you simply have to take your starter out in that situation.

Others have said it, and I believe it's 100% true. He's managing to keep his job, and that's the worst thing for this team right now.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 09:30 PM
Nice job...

Double switch time, which probably means Castro

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:30 PM
McBeth in to pitch.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:31 PM
Hatteberg in to play 1st as part of the double switch. So Hatteberg bats 9th and McBeth is batting 4th.

Gallen5862
06-27-2007, 09:31 PM
Lets go Mcbeth.

REDREAD
06-27-2007, 09:31 PM
Wow, we came back.. Let's hope McBeth can do the job.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 09:32 PM
Hatteberg in to play 1st as part of the double switch. So Hatteberg bats 9th and McBeth is batting 4th.

I thought for sure he'd find a way to get Castro in there....

of course, there's still time :D

REDREAD
06-27-2007, 09:32 PM
Hatteberg in to play 1st as part of the double switch. So Hatteberg bats 9th and McBeth is batting 4th.


Jerry is saving Castro for the crucial PH opportunity later :laugh:

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 09:33 PM
:lol:

only the Reds - it hits the ump and bounces away, allowing a run to score

REDREAD
06-27-2007, 09:33 PM
Wow, now that's a wild pitch..

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:34 PM
That pitch looked like it hit Valentin in the helmet. 6-5 the other runner goes all the way to 3rd.

I guess it hit the ump. Was easily catchable must have been a pitch Valentin was not looking for.

REDREAD
06-27-2007, 09:34 PM
Ok.. passed ball.. I was going on the radio description.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 09:34 PM
This team will find a way to blow this game

Big Klu
06-27-2007, 09:34 PM
I'm guessing that's Valentin's second passed ball, but that one had to have been a mixup.

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 09:34 PM
I didn't know that could even happen. I thought a ball off an ump was dead. Learn something new every day I guess.

flyer85
06-27-2007, 09:35 PM
this team is simply amazing

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:35 PM
2nd passed ball of the inning.

Big Klu
06-27-2007, 09:36 PM
I didn't know that could even happen. I thought a ball off an ump was dead. Learn something new every day I guess.

Nope. Umpires are part of the field of play.

Cyclone792
06-27-2007, 09:36 PM
A massive combination of bad managing and bad bullpens is doing its best to turn a pitcher's duel into a slugfest.

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 09:36 PM
Billings put up a 2 run 1st for those interested, 2-0 mid 2nd.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 09:36 PM
:laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :angry: :rant:

Marc D
06-27-2007, 09:37 PM
Wasted little time giving that all back

remdog
06-27-2007, 09:37 PM
There's a good chance that Valintin will never catch another inning for the Reds this year. :angry:

Rem

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:37 PM
Rowand singles past a drawn in infield. Tie game 6-6. I don't know whether to laugh or cry at this team.

flyer85
06-27-2007, 09:37 PM
there was the double play grounder

Big Klu
06-27-2007, 09:37 PM
Billings put up a 2 run 1st for those interested, 2-0 mid 2nd.

Is this the season opener for the 'Stangs?

vaticanplum
06-27-2007, 09:38 PM
This bullpen should be paying the front office. If I performed this badly at work, I think I would walk up to my boss and turn in my paycheck.

Always Red
06-27-2007, 09:38 PM
There's a good chance that Valintin will never catch another inning for the Reds this year. :angry:

Rem

That would be a very good thing.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 09:38 PM
Valentin has the worst arm.

I could run backwards, on my hands, fall over 4 times, and steal a base on him

Red in Chicago
06-27-2007, 09:38 PM
Will three runs be enough to win this one?

no...and jv is aweful behind the dish

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 09:38 PM
This bullpen should be paying the front office. If I performed this badly at work, I think I would walk up to my boss and turn in my paycheck.

No you wouldn't, but they may make you. :)

guttle11
06-27-2007, 09:38 PM
This is Narron's doing.

I'd bet the farm they'd be batting in the 8th with a minimum 2 run lead if McBeth or Cooter would have started this inning.

CTA513
06-27-2007, 09:38 PM
there was the double play grounder

Its now a single because they have a pinch hitter playing catcher.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:39 PM
Rowand easily steals 2nd as Valentin bounces the throw to 2nd.

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 09:39 PM
Is this the season opener for the 'Stangs?

Knew their season had started, didn't realize it was game 9 already. They're 5-3, one game up in the North division.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:39 PM
Victorino pops out to 2nd. 2 outs.

vaticanplum
06-27-2007, 09:40 PM
Who are the Stangs? Can we follow them instead?

flyer85
06-27-2007, 09:40 PM
I expect a bloop hit from Nunez ... or Ruiz

Always Red
06-27-2007, 09:40 PM
This is Narron's doing.

I'd bet the farm they'd be batting in the 8th with a minimum 2 run lead if McBeth or Cooter would have started this inning.

Maybe. But he pulled Belisle out in Oakland with a lead, and McBeth and Coutlangus put the A's back in the lead in the 7th.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 09:41 PM
This is Narron's doing.

I'd bet the farm they'd be batting in the 8th with a minimum 2 run lead if McBeth or Cooter would have started this inning.

I said earlier, that I really didn't mind Harang batting there with his pitch count....and I still don't.

However, I may be onto something. The imploding inning seems to always start when a reliever has to come in with guys on base....not always, but often.

Maybe a different approach would make things more effective. Have the relievers come in without guys on base (when possible...I understand it's not always going to work out that way) and see if they're more effective.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:41 PM
Intentional walk to Nunez.

Big Klu
06-27-2007, 09:41 PM
Knew their season had started, didn't realize it was game 9 already. They're 5-3, one game up in the North division.

How many years has Billings been associated with Cincinnati? The Mustangs have been the Reds' rookie team for as long as I can remember.

Always Red
06-27-2007, 09:42 PM
How many years has Billings been associated with Cincinnati? The Mustangs have been the Reds' rookie team for as long as I can remember.

Is that team stocked with guys who have just been drafted? Do most of them sign that quickly?

vaticanplum
06-27-2007, 09:42 PM
Ah...Stangs = Mustangs. Wow. I am dense as a brick.

edabbs44
06-27-2007, 09:44 PM
This is Narron's doing.

I'd bet the farm they'd be batting in the 8th with a minimum 2 run lead if McBeth or Cooter would have started this inning.

Ever hear "Damned if you do, damned if you don't"?

If he pinch hit for Harang and the Reds bullpen pulled a "Reds bullpen", everyone would be up in arms about how Harang is your horse and he's got to go at least 7 for this game since the bullpen is so bad.

Narron is screwed either way...maybe if Krivsky acquired ONE good reliever, this wouldn't happen. But it always does. I can't blame Narron. Hindsight is always 20/20.

Danny Serafini
06-27-2007, 09:44 PM
How many years has Billings been associated with Cincinnati? The Mustangs have been the Reds' rookie team for as long as I can remember.

Since sometime in the '60s I believe. They've been around forever. A friend of mine actually went to Billings a couple of years ago for a bowling tournament, and he didn't think to have him grab me a Mustangs hat until after he got back. Still kicking myself for that. Of course minor league gear is risky, I bought an Indianapolis Indians hat about a month before the Reds announced they were switching to Louisville. Anyone want a very slightly used Indianapolis Indians hat?

guttle11
06-27-2007, 09:44 PM
I said earlier, that I really didn't mind Harang batting there with his pitch count....and I still don't.

However, I may have figured this out. The imploding inning seem to always start when a reliever has to come in with guys on base....

Maybe a different approach would make things more effective.

Exactly.

You can't turn a game over to a bad bullpen with runners on base. Just can't do it.

And Harang had thrown 90+ pitches. It is legal to let them throw less than 100 pitches, especially those guys who you are counting on to lead your staff for the foreseeable future.

Like I said, he's not managing the team, he's managing to save his job. Not only is he a bad manager, but he's already putting his team behind the 8-ball.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:44 PM
Ruiz grounds out to the pitcher. 6-6 after 7.

Falls City Beer
06-27-2007, 09:45 PM
Ever hear "Damned if you do, damned if you don't"?

If he pinch hit for Harang and the Reds bullpen pulled a "reds bullpen", everyone would be up in arms about how Harang is your horse and he's got to go at least 7 for this game since the bullpen is so bad.

Narron is screwed either way...maybe if Krivsky acquired ONE good reliever, this wouldn't happen. But it always does. I can't blame Narron. Hindsight is always 20/20.

Again, I disagree. I recommended pulling Harang before any of this. Check it.

CTA513
06-27-2007, 09:45 PM
How many runs score if Valentin wasn't catching that inning?

Always Red
06-27-2007, 09:46 PM
How many runs score if Valentin wasn't catching that inning?

An excellent question.

Narron's not a great manager by any stretch, but letting Valentin catch is a FO decision. And a bad one, at that.

Reds Fanatic
06-27-2007, 09:47 PM
Brian Sanches in to pitch.

Matt700wlw
06-27-2007, 09:47 PM
An excellent question.

Narron's not a great manager by any stretch, but letting Valentin catch is a FO decision. And a bad one, at that.

Actually that's Narron's decision for PHing him for David Ross...so he can take over behind the plate.

It's been reported by the Reds that bringing Moeller up would allow them to use Valentin as a pinch hitter, and an emergency 3rd catcher/1B....

Well, that of course is not happening.