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For what it's worth, here's what Daugherty wrote on his blog:
Quote:
The Reds and Dodgers are talking with Oakland about Joe Blanton. Blanton has won 42 games in the past 3 years, was 14-10 last year and is already signed this year, to a relatively cheap $3.8 million deal.
Blanton would be a young version of Jimmy Haynes. Seriously, Last year's version of Blanton was very similar to the 2002 version of Jimmy Haynes. Low K's, gives up just over a hit per inning. Haynes was longball lucky. In the GABP, Blanton won't be so lucky. Pretty much everything doug said, I agree with, but I'll add another component. Now it may just be me, but the game seems to be in a flux again. It seems the SB is slowly coming back in vogue. The numbers may not show from a team standpoint, but at the individual level, the speed game seems important once again. If Blanton is forced to throw the FB more because of a Jose Reyes on 1B, well, that's going to be a bad combination.
Look closely at the home and road splits. Those road numbers are roughly what I would expect in GAB. No thanks. I would rather keep Votto or EdE or whomever the A's would have an interest in.
While I'm generally unmoved by home/road splits, I am moved by low K numbers.
I don't want to give up another offensive cog for a guy like Blanton.
They missed their chance with Bedard. Time to regroup and consider what's available at the trading deadline.
Doug, I know you are very high on these Reds prospects and I respect that because you devote so much time and energy to following them.Quote:
Originally Posted by dougdirt
I would be interested to know which starting pitchers in baseball you would expect in a trade for each. If you don't mind, could you give one example of a pitcher who, in each case, would represent fair value in exchange for Bruce, Bailey, Cueto and Votto?
Everyone says we need starting pitching.. when a guy like Joe Blanton comes up who besides Johan Santana and Erik Bedard was and is the next best available option out there and he is under $4 million... everyone bails on the guy. We are still clamoring for more starters yet our noses get turned up at the sound of Blanton. He's not that bad is he? From what I've read in the past Beane is in love with Cueto. I'm not thrilled with Blanton's numbers but he would automatically become our #3 starter which this team needs. He to me compares to Livan Hernandez.. he's going to pitch around 210+ innings, win 12+ games, and K about 120+ batters.
For what it is worth.. Blanton was born and raised in Kentucky (Bowling Green and attended UK).. I doubt Blanton has a say in his destination.. but I would think Cincinnati would be preferred.
No way do you give up Cueto for Blanton.
I don't think Blanton's home/road splits are a tremendous red flag (as explained here)Quote:
Originally Posted by edabbs44
Generally the league effect trumps environment but Blanton would be going from one extreme to what is considered another in moving from Oakland to GABP so a good deal of his league bounce might get eaten up by park. I haven't thought a lot about Blanton (or the real impact GABP might have upon him) so my opinion could change but I'd guess it's probably reasonable to think Blanton could effect run prevention for the Reds about like Arroyo.Quote:
Originally Posted by jojo
This is another rumor with no legs though-seriously-Blanton isn't a lefty and Marty won't allow it.
I honestly feel that the Affeldt acquisition probably ended the rotation upgrade in the Red's mind (as disappointed as it makes me). Its not that if another pitching upgrade falls into WK's lap that he's not going to check it out, but I doubt that he's actively pursuing Blanton... this rumor is probably just meant to get red-heads like us all stirred up... but I'll bite because I've been desperate for some exciting Reds talk since the Bedard talks officially died.
I've said in another thread (see "The Other Phillips-the future of 1b") that I feel as if WK might shop Votto hard before the season starts... so, that being said - I wouldnt be surprised if Votto might be involved in a Blanton deal.... I don't see WK giving up much more that bodies to the A's for Blanton ... Votto+ 3 'spects for Blanton might get it done.
I think WK will also acquire Brian Anderson and let Bruce start in AAA - I'm a Hopper fan ... I truly am, but I could see the Reds taking a shot to see if Anderson can be the next Brandon Phillips - if not, no big deal, the Reds can simply bring Bruce up.
I also would put my money on both Griff and Dunn getting some training at 1b this Spring Training and them possibly getting some time there during the season in order to make room for Bruce. A speedy defensive CFer would make all our pitching better :-)
IMO Affeldt was signed with the intent of HANDING him the 4th-5th spot in the rotation. In fact, he's going to have to stink pretty bad for the Reds to break camp without him in the rotation. In my mind the Reds have a set rotation right now.
Harang
Arroyo
Belisle
Affeldt/Volquez
Volquez/Affeldt
Now if one of the kids kick the door down, and Affeldt stinks, as he likely will in the rotation, that puts Volquez at #4, and one of the kiddos at #5.
So who, exactly does anyone prefer Blanton over? I mean, I'd MAYBE take him over Affeldt, but I wouldn't take him over any of Volquez, Bailey, Cueto, Maloney. In fact, I wouldn't take him over Belisle. Blanton is about as right for the Reds as Shaq is for the Suns.
All things being equal ... I'd take Blanton over Belisle, Volquez, Bailey, Cueto, and def. Maloney. The answer might be different in '09, but now ... I'd rather have Blanton in the rotation than any of these guys.Quote:
Originally Posted by TRF
I have this gut feeling about Belisle and I have little faith in him ever shaking out to be more than a #4/5 type guy.
All things being equal - this is my rotation:
Harang
Arroyo
Blanton
Volquez
Affeldt/Bailey/Belisle
Ultimately, I'd rather have Affeldt taking Stanton's spot in the pen ... I think the Belisle issue will take care of itself - if everyone's peforming well .. we trade him for something we need or if the BP is struggling we move him to the pen. We'll have Cueto & Maloney waiting in the wings in case of injury - if we're in a playoff race I think Cueto goes into the pen....
Getting Blanton would be nice ... really nice ... and takes away at least one ? in a rotation full of ???
Rumor gaining steam
http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2008/0...on-may-be.html
Time to get excited people... lets see if this shakes out to have any truth../ be a good trade...
Belisle has an OPS against (Slugging and OBA combined) of .813 lifetime. Blanton's is .723.Quote:
Originally Posted by TRF
Blanton has a modest contract, pitched 230 innings of below 4.00 ball last year in the American League. I'll take that pitcher for the Reds and would manage to find a slot for him.
The concept that our 5 plus ERA staff has no room for Blanton is a point of view I find, well, inaccurate.
How about you get excited for me but wake me up when there are some facts..... :thumbup:Quote:
Originally Posted by hippie07
Isn't that rumor just a restatement of what's already been speculated?