That's actually been like that for quite a while. Last year of arbitration you can compare against anyone. The other years you can only compare to those in your eligibility year.
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In addition it’s Boras. If he can find a loophole in how drafted players are paid/get their draft status voided like back in 97/98 or have teams bid against themselves. He will try and do it.
If you projected 81 wins for every team in 2025 the average difference would have been nine wins and a much larger standard deviation. Average isn't the only way to measure a data sample.
Also, I'll note from your article from all the way back in 2018:
Quote:
Team projections serve a valuable purpose. I don’t want to stray too far from that message — they’re good, and they’re important, and they help to explain why the moves that happen happen. Projections inform the probabilities, and the teams with the strongest projections are indeed the teams most likely to keep playing in October.
Heyman: Marcell Ozuna to sign a 1-year, $12M deal with the Pirates.
I like what the Pirates have done.
Their offense is going to be okay, and their rotation, led by the best pitcher in the game (I said it) will be very good. Reynolds, Lowe, Ozuna, and O'Hearn provide a solid base, while Cruz and Konner Griffin provide upside. If things click, they could be a 90-win team.
They don't have quite the bottom that the Reds do, nor the upside play (EDLC provides most of that himself-- arguably, so does Hunter Greene). Yet. But they're close.
Nick Martinez to the Rays
From MLBTR
Can someone explain this trade to me from the Brewers’ prospective?Quote:
The Red Sox are acquiring infielder Caleb Durbin from the Brewers, reports Jeff Passan of ESPN. Milwaukee receives a three-player package including lefties Kyle Harrison and Shane Drohan as well as infielder David Hamilton, Passan adds. Boston is also picking up infielder Andruw Monasterio, catcher/infielder Anthony Seigler and a Competitive Balance Round B pick,
I have to think that the Brewers might be in on Paredes. Harrison seems like a good acquisition for them.
Harrison and Drohan are quality pitchers for a team that doesn't have many in the minor league system. They also have Jett Williams in AAA, who is a Top 100 prospect who's nearly ready and has a history of being a legitimate difference-maker. He's capable of playing SS, which allows Brice Turang to continue to play 2B, where he's adequate enough defensively. (Turang is stretched at SS.) Joey Ortiz is still there as well-- he's a Gold Glove candidate, but can't hit. There are a bunch of SS/2B types behind Williams too, and the Brewers have a history of being pretty aggressive with their prospects. If they think they're ready, they move them up. For the season (or perhaps half-season), they can get Hamilton and Ortiz to be all-world 3B with the glove while waiting on the prospects to develop. Basically, they're paying Ortiz and Hamilton league minimum to be their version of Ke'Bryan Hayes.
CLEARWATER, Fla. — The Philadelphia Phillies are trying to find a new home for outfielder Nick Castellanos ahead of their first full-squad workout of spring training.
President of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski said the team has been talking to other clubs about Castellanos.
“That’s our focus prior to the start of spring training,” Dombrowski said Monday. “So that’s something that we’ll continue to work on this week.”
https://www.newsday.com/sports/baseb...wheeler-y30221