79 wins.
I actually think 86, but every year I get optimistic and predict a big year. I've got to change that luck!
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79 wins.
I actually think 86, but every year I get optimistic and predict a big year. I've got to change that luck!
Last years final standings:
Central W L PCT GB
St. Louis 83 78 .516 -
Houston 82 80 .506 1.5
Cincinnati 80 82 .494 3.5
Milwaukee 75 87 .463 8.5
Pittsburgh 67 95 .414 16.5
Chicago 66 96 .407 17.5
Trend in the division: More offense, Less pitching
Key addition's per team: (Most Impact adds in Red)
St. Louis - Adam Kennedy/Kip Wells
Houston - Carlos Lee/Mark Loretta/Jason Jennings/Woody Williams
Cincinnati - Alex Gonzales/Jeff Conine/Josh Hamilton/Kirk Sarloos/Mike Stanton
Milwaukee - Tony Graffinino/Craig Counsell/Johnny Estrada/Jeff Suppan/Claudio Vargas/Greg Aquino/Elmer Dessens
Pittsburgh - Adam Laroche/Tony Armas Jr.
Chicago - Alfonso Soriano/Cliff Floyd/Mark Derosa/Daryle Ward/Ted Lilly/Jason Marquis/Neal Cotts
Key Defections:
St. Louis - Jeff Suppan, Jeff Weaver, Ron Belliard
Houston - Roger Clemens, Andy Pettite, Aubrey Huff
Cincinnati - Rich Aurilia
Milwaukee - Jeff Cirillo, Brady Clark, Doug Davis
Pittsburgh - Joe Randa, Mike Gonzales
Chicago - Juan Pierre
Key Injury returnee's: (These are just possible returnees)
St. Louis - Mark Mulder
Houston - Morgan Ensberg
Cincinnati - Ken Griffey Jr
Milwaukee - Ben Sheets, Corey Koskie
Pittsburgh - NA
Chicago - Derek Lee, Mark Prior, Kerry Wood
What's it all mean:
St. Louis: Worse (Rotation and/or Pen)
Houston: Worse (Rotation and defense doesn't make up for offense adds)
Cincinnati: Same to better (Better def., better bench may make up for poss small decline in pitching overall)
Milwaukee: Much Better (Better Staff and Pen, Same Off, similiar to better D)
Pittsburgh: Slightly better (1 yr of maturity for pitch, better off, sim def)
Chicago: Much better but 20-25 games better no (better off, worse def. same to worse pitching)
2007 Standings: (Injuries not withstanding)
Milwaukee - 88 wins
Cincinnati - 86 wins
St. Louis - 81 Wins
Chicago - 80 wins
Pittsburgh - 76 Wins
Houston - 72 wins
I think it's going to be tightly bunched again this season. Reds get 85 wins, and it might be enough to win. The only team that won't be in it is Pittsburgh. Everyone else stays in it until Sept.
81 wins 81 losses
91
Dunn, MVP
Harang Cy Candidate
Ross big year
Griff traded
74-88
89-73 for me
88-74
Well having watched "The "Price is Right" for years, I am going to top ya by one.
I will go for 99 wins.....Your old coach is sorry about doin that to ya Ryan!! ;)
Yea 99 wins sounds crazy, but no one will remember my prediction 5 months from now and if the Reds do by some miracle have 99 wins, I will look like a freaking genius!!!
72-90 this season
One of the better predictors of how the season will go is the final 10-ish games of spring training (I used the final 12), when rotations are being set and everyday lineups are being used more often and for longer periods. Reds went 5-7 in that period. Extrapolated over a full season that means 68 or so wins. I think the Reds are a tad better than that so I'm saying 72 wins this year.
86 wins
84 wins
Egads!
79 wins
ignore my signature
77 wins.
And that's being optimistic.
83-79
Good for Narron's first winning season as a manager and a 3 year contract extension. :evil: