What would you say.....ya do here?
Given the increasing likelihood of his having a major league career and his position, T. Stephenson should, IMO, be entering the discussion as the org's top position prospect, at the very least, and perhaps top prospect overall. He'd still be 3rd on my list but I can see reasonable arguments for his being 1 or 2.
Griffey012 (10-17-2019),REDREAD (10-28-2019)
What would you say.....ya do here?
Griffey012 (10-17-2019),TRF (10-22-2019)
First of all, I'm sure those teams would want much more but that aside, your proposal would look very good for 2020, but what do you do for a catcher in 2021 and beyond?
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By your kind of thinking it could be said "Tyler Stephenson could turn into the next Brandon Larson so who cares?" Well, I'm glad there are fans who care
REDREAD (10-28-2019)
I think the moment you mention was peak Trammell. For whatever reason, his performance has plummeted thereafter. Even in 2018, he only hit .235 post Futures game.
His peak is very much looking like Dexter Fowler. Solid, but nothing special. And I think that is why the Reds decided to move when they did.
Stephenson is still trending upward and still has a chance to be special. Which is why I think the Reds will value Stephenson hire now than they did Trammell at the time of the trade.
"Today was the byproduct of us thinking we can come back from anything." - Joey Votto after blowing a 10-1 lead and holding on for the 12-11 win on 8/25/2010.
1. I like Stephenson a great deal and have all along. I hope we don't trade him for some short term perceived improvement. I'm not sure I'd even trade him for Mookie Betts, because I think the team has no chance to contend in 2020.
2. Way too early to give up on Trammell. The theory of the trade frankly makes little sense to me. We're likely going to pay Bauer about 18 million this year. Surely we could have acquired his equivalent for that w/o moving Trammell and using Puig to acquire something else. And this year was shot when they got Bauer so it's not as if he was going to move us into contention this year. Just don't get it frankly.
Because Moss probably ends up a fringe bullpen arm, and despite a nice showing in the AA championship series, Trammell was pretty awful.
Bauer was bad as a Red this year, no question, but he has a history that says that's an aberration. He's typically a #2-#1 SP. And now the Reds have three of those.
Dubito Ergo Cogito Ergo Sum.
He had a bad 3 months, no doubt.
Year Age Tm W L ERA G GS GF CG SHO IP H R ER HR BB IBB SO ERA+ FIP WHIP H9 HR9 BB9 SO9 SO/W 2012 21 ARI 1 2 6.06 4 4 0 0 0 16.1 14 13 11 2 13 0 17 69 5.18 1.653 7.7 1.1 7.2 9.4 1.31 2013 22 CLE 1 2 5.29 4 4 0 0 0 17.0 15 11 10 3 16 0 11 73 7.05 1.824 7.9 1.6 8.5 5.8 0.69 2014 23 CLE 5 8 4.18 26 26 0 0 0 153.0 151 76 71 16 60 4 143 94 4.01 1.379 8.9 0.9 3.5 8.4 2.38 2015 24 CLE 11 12 4.55 31 30 1 1 0 176.0 152 90 89 23 79 1 170 95 4.33 1.313 7.8 1.2 4.0 8.7 2.15 2016 25 CLE 12 8 4.26 35 28 3 1 0 190.0 179 96 90 20 70 1 168 106 3.99 1.311 8.5 0.9 3.3 8.0 2.40 2017 26 CLE 17 9 4.19 32 31 1 0 0 176.1 181 84 82 25 60 0 196 109 3.88 1.367 9.2 1.3 3.1 10.0 3.27 2018 27 CLE 12 6 2.21 28 27 1 0 0 175.1 134 51 43 9 57 2 221 196 2.44 1.089 6.9 0.5 2.9 11.3 3.88 2019 28 TOT 11 13 4.48 34 34 0 1 1 213.0 184 118 106 34 82 0 253 104 4.34 1.249 7.8 1.4 3.5 10.7 3.09 2019 28 CLE 9 8 3.79 24 24 0 1 1 156.2 127 76 66 22 63 0 185 124 4.15 1.213 7.3 1.3 3.6 10.6 2.94 2019 28 CIN 2 5 6.39 10 10 0 0 0 56.1 57 42 40 12 19 0 68 71 4.85 1.349 9.1 1.9 3.0 10.9 3.58
I won't say the above is worth $18M or that it isn't I'm sure he'll go to arbitration, but I do not think he'll win. The Reds may choose a number he can live with or vice versa.
I honestly don't know he'll even be a Red next year, but I won't be too upset if he is.
Dubito Ergo Cogito Ergo Sum.
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