Turn Off Ads?
Page 2 of 3 FirstFirst 123 LastLast
Results 16 to 30 of 39

Thread: Hurricane Dorian

  1. #16
    Member texasdave's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2005
    Posts
    17,418

    Re: Hurricane Dorian

    Click image for larger version. 

Name:	$.jpg 
Views:	121 
Size:	26.2 KB 
ID:	15245

  2. Turn Off Ads?
  3. #17
    Member adkindo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2019
    Location
    Florida
    Posts
    793

    Re: Hurricane Dorian

    Quote Originally Posted by JaxRed View Post
    Well some very encouraging movement over last 24 hours. Latest tracks now show it going off shore of Florida and not making landfall till Savannah. I don't wish ill of the folks in Savannah and SC but if the choice is a 4 in Florida or a 2 in GA/SC , I'll choose the 2 in GA/SC.
    I am sorry, it is often a zero sum game. I do not wish it hit anyone.....but my primary hope is it does not hit me. I was so happy when I woke up this morning and saw the track was shifting! It's track is reminding me of a 1999 storm, Floyd. It was a massive storm at one time projected to crash right into Central Florida, then did this same turn. I was actually in college in WV, but I recall my family in Central Florida being extremely concerned for several days. On that day it was originally supposed to hit Central Florida, I called my parents and it was off the coast over 100 miles....it was sunny and hot.

  4. #18
    Member marcshoe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2002
    Location
    In my easy chair.
    Posts
    9,524

    Re: Hurricane Dorian

    My father, in Titusville, made hotel reservations in Hardeeville SC, across from Savannah, in case he had to evacuate. So much for that idea.
    [Reading] is the sole means by which we slip, involuntarily, often helplessly, into another's skin, another's voice, another's soul" -- Joyce Carol Oates

  5. #19
    Find out who we are time RFS62's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2000
    Location
    Naples, Florida
    Posts
    16,709

    Re: Hurricane Dorian

    The northern Bahamas are about to be erased.
    Experience is not what happens to you, it's what you do with what happens to you. ~ Aldous Huxley

  6. #20
    TyrannoSuarez Wrecks WrongVerb's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2000
    Location
    Monterey, CA
    Posts
    15,126

    Re: Hurricane Dorian

    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refres...l/011456.shtml

    000
    WTNT35 KNHC 011456
    TCPAT5

    BULLETIN
    Hurricane Dorian Advisory Number 33
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
    1100 AM EDT Sun Sep 01 2019

    ...DORIAN BECOMES THE STRONGEST HURRICANE IN MODERN RECORDS FOR
    THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
    ...CATASTROPHIC CONDITIONS OCCURING IN THE ABACOS ISLANDS...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...26.5N 76.8W
    ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM ENE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
    ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...180 MPH...285 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...913 MB...26.96 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    A Hurricane Watch has been issued for the east coast of Florida from
    north of Deerfield Beach to the Volusia/Brevard County Line.

    A Storm Surge Watch has also been issued from north of Deerfield
    Beach to the Volusia/Brevard County Line.

    A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Lake Okeechobee.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
    * North of Deerfield Beach to the Volusia/Brevard County Line

    A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
    * Northwestern Bahamas excluding Andros Island

    A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
    * Andros Island
    * North of Deerfield Beach to the Volusia/Brevard County Line

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * North of Deerfield Beach to Sebastian Inlet

    A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
    * North of Golden Beach to Deerfield Beach
    * Lake Okeechobee

    A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
    threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
    coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
    For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
    Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
    hurricanes.gov.

    A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
    somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and
    property should be rushed to completion.

    A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
    within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
    before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
    winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
    dangerous.

    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected within the warning area within 36 hours.

    A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
    possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

    Interests elsewhere along the east coast of Florida should continue
    to monitor the progress of Dorian, as additional watches or
    warnings may be required later today.

    For storm information specific to your area in the United
    States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
    monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
    forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
    outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
    your national meteorological service.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the extremely distinct eye of Hurricane
    Dorian was located near latitude 26.5 North, longitude 76.8 West.
    Dorian is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h). A slower
    westward motion should continue for the next day or two, followed by
    a gradual turn toward the northwest. On this track, the core of
    extremely dangerous Hurricane Dorian will continue to move over
    Great Abaco and move near or over Grand Bahama Island later tonight
    and Monday. The hurricane should move closer to the Florida east
    coast late Monday through Tuesday night.

    Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 180 mph (285 km/h)
    with higher gusts. Dorian is a extremely dangerous category 5
    hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some
    fluctuations in intensity are likely, but Dorian is expected to
    remain a powerful hurricane during the next few days.

    Dorian has grown larger in size. Hurricane-force winds extend
    outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-
    force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). Ham radio
    reports indicate that Hope Town in the Abacos just reported wind
    gust to 100 mph.

    The minimum central pressure measured by both NOAA and Air Force
    reconnaissance plane was 913 mb (26.96 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND: Catastrophic hurricane conditions are occurring in the Abacos
    Islands and will spread across Grand Bahama Island later today and
    tonight.

    Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area in
    Florida by late Monday or early Tuesday.

    Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical storm
    warning area on Monday and Tuesday.

    Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm
    watch area by Monday night.

    STORM SURGE: A life-threatening storm surge will raise water levels
    by as much as 18 to 23 feet above normal tide levels in areas of
    onshore winds on the Abaco Islands and Grand Bahama Island. Near
    the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive
    waves.

    The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause
    normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
    moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
    following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
    areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

    Volusia/Brevard County Line to Jupiter Inlet FL...4 to 7 ft
    North of Deerfield Beach to Jupiter Inlet FL...2 to 4 ft

    The surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
    Surge-related flooding depends on the how close the center of
    Dorian comes to the Florida east coast, and can vary greatly over
    short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
    products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
    office.

    RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall
    totals through late this week:

    Northwestern Bahamas...12 to 24 inches, isolated 30 inches.
    Coastal Carolinas...5 to 10 inches, isolated 15 inches.
    Central Bahamas and the Atlantic Coast from the Florida peninsula
    through Georgia...2 to 4 inches, isolated 6 inches.

    This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods.

    SURF: Large swells are already affecting east-facing shores of the
    Bahamas, the Florida east coast, and will spread northward along the
    southeastern United States coast during the next few days. These
    swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
    conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT.
    Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Avila
    Gratitude + Forgiveness = Happiness

  7. #21
    TyrannoSuarez Wrecks WrongVerb's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2000
    Location
    Monterey, CA
    Posts
    15,126

    Re: Hurricane Dorian

    This is the message board I visit during storms like this: https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/...orian/?page=78
    Gratitude + Forgiveness = Happiness

  8. Likes:

    KronoRed (09-01-2019),North (09-01-2019)

  9. #22
    TyrannoSuarez Wrecks WrongVerb's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2000
    Location
    Monterey, CA
    Posts
    15,126

    Re: Hurricane Dorian

    Click image for larger version. 

Name:	PhotoPictureResizer_190901_115815193_crop_400x594.jpg 
Views:	43 
Size:	82.6 KB 
ID:	15250

    Latest guidance came in with a solution that brings the storm further west, with landfall somewhere around Titusville. Might be cat 5 when it arrives.
    Gratitude + Forgiveness = Happiness

  10. #23
    Member North's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2019
    Location
    Reading is fundamental.
    Posts
    273

    Re: Hurricane Dorian

    Quote Originally Posted by WrongVerb View Post
    This is the message board I visit during storms like this: https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/...orian/?page=78
    Nice site.
    Until one has loved an animal, a part of one's soul remains unawakened. - Anatole France

  11. #24
    Member Gainesville Red's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2004
    Location
    Gainesville, FL
    Posts
    2,256

    Re: Hurricane Dorian

    Quote Originally Posted by WrongVerb View Post
    This is the message board I visit during storms like this: https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/...orian/?page=78
    Catching up on that thread didn't ease my anxiety.

    Big storm.

  12. Likes:

    North (09-02-2019)

  13. #25
    Member North's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2019
    Location
    Reading is fundamental.
    Posts
    273

    Re: Hurricane Dorian

    Looking like Fla. is going to dodge the bullet.
    Until one has loved an animal, a part of one's soul remains unawakened. - Anatole France

  14. Likes:

    marcshoe (09-03-2019)

  15. #26
    Member marcshoe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2002
    Location
    In my easy chair.
    Posts
    9,524

    Re: Hurricane Dorian

    My father abandoned Titusville for Clearwater this morning, but my aunt is hunkered down in Oviedo, a bit inland. They seem like they'll be okay.
    [Reading] is the sole means by which we slip, involuntarily, often helplessly, into another's skin, another's voice, another's soul" -- Joyce Carol Oates

  16. #27
    Member North's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2019
    Location
    Reading is fundamental.
    Posts
    273

    Re: Hurricane Dorian

    Quote Originally Posted by marcshoe View Post
    My father abandoned Titusville for Clearwater this morning, but my aunt is hunkered down in Oviedo, a bit inland. They seem like they'll be okay.
    Hoping all turns out well.

    Here is a line from a poster on the weather site that WrongVerb cited:

    "Where's the Bermuda triangle when you need it most? Make the whole storm just disappear."

    Until one has loved an animal, a part of one's soul remains unawakened. - Anatole France

  17. Likes:

    marcshoe (09-03-2019)

  18. #28
    Member Gainesville Red's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2004
    Location
    Gainesville, FL
    Posts
    2,256

    Re: Hurricane Dorian

    I can't believe how it's just put in park for this long.

  19. #29
    Potential Lunch Winner Dom Heffner's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2001
    Location
    Tampa, FL
    Posts
    6,516

    Re: Hurricane Dorian

    Quote Originally Posted by Gainesville Red View Post
    I can't believe how it's just put in park for this long.
    The park thing is great for Florida- allowed that trough to move it.

    Slowing down was our only hope.

    Sucks for the Bahamas, I cant imagine, just cant imagine.

    When Irma hit here, the eye passed...maybe 15 miles east of us? Those winds were scary and probably half the speed and just a few hours.

  20. #30
    Member Sea Ray's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Cincinnati, Ohio
    Posts
    20,584

    Re: Hurricane Dorian

    Quote Originally Posted by WrongVerb View Post

    Always bet on the Euro model. It's better than anything the NWS has.
    For yrs I've thought the same thing. Is there a reason why?


Turn Off Ads?

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  

Board Moderators may, at their discretion and judgment, delete and/or edit any messages that violate any of the following guidelines: 1. Explicit references to alleged illegal or unlawful acts. 2. Graphic sexual descriptions. 3. Racial or ethnic slurs. 4. Use of edgy language (including masked profanity). 5. Direct personal attacks, flames, fights, trolling, baiting, name-calling, general nuisance, excessive player criticism or anything along those lines. 6. Posting spam. 7. Each person may have only one user account. It is fine to be critical here - that's what this board is for. But let's not beat a subject or a player to death, please.

Thank you, and most importantly, enjoy yourselves!


RedsZone.com is a privately owned website and is not affiliated with the Cincinnati Reds or Major League Baseball


Contact us: Boss | GIK | cumberlandreds | Gallen5862 | Kinsm | Plus Plus | Powel Crosley | RedlegJake | The Operator