2020 Votto Stat Predictions

[adkindo]

List any or all you want

Games... 148
Runs .... 76
Doubles ... 28
HR .... 22
RBI.... 72
BB..... 84
Strikeouts... 121
Average... .277
OB%.... .368
Slug % ..... .435
OPS ..... .803

WAR 1.8

Games... 149
Runs .... 77
Doubles ... 29
HR .... 23
RBI.... 73
BB..... 85
Strikeouts... 122
Average... .278
OB%.... .369
Slug % ..... .436
OPS ..... .804

WAR 1.9

[Kinsm]

.260 - .340 - .390

~130 starts at 1B

I hope I'm wrong.

[Reds360]

.265 - .362 - .403

130 to 140 games

Time catches everyone eventually.

[ochoa30]

I think having a decent team around him helps him have a somewhat bounceback year

.275 - .380 - . 445

[Tracy Jones]

Not as a mediocre defender who doesn't run the bases well. I think he's something like a +15 run above average bat, -10 run defender (avg 1B), -5 run basebunner. That's +0 runs above average or roughly 2 WAR. If he plays 150+ games, that batting line would definitely produce more than a +15. So perhaps I'd drop the OBP 20 points or so. But the ballpark is right.

It's hard to find a great comp, but perhaps Luke Voit or Shin Soo Choo.

The reason I asked is because he was a 1.6 bwar player last year with a .768 OPS. I would think that all things being equal, another 70 points would put him at 3 or so? Of course further declines in defense and base running would temper that. Thanks for the reply.

[mth123]

FWIW, his ISO the past two years have been .135 and .150. I'd be pretty surprised if he reached .150 again (provided he doesn't sell-out to hit for power).

.265/.340/.395

This is about where I'm at.

[Ironman92]

Games... 149
Runs .... 77
Doubles ... 29
HR .... 23
RBI.... 73
BB..... 85
Strikeouts... 122
Average... .278
OB%.... .369
Slug % ..... .436
OPS ..... .804

WAR 1.9

You messed up ....can’t up the OB% by 1 and Slug by 1 and be up 1 OPS

[BillDoran]

This is about where I'm at.

Love me some Joey Votto, but he's been in a sharp decline the past two years. Over the past three years his wRC+ have been 165, 130 and 101. He accrued more than 600 PA in all of those seasons.

I get it, but I think most on here are overly optimistic on 2020 Joey Votto. To me the real question is whether you can leave him near the top of the lineup as an on-base guy or if it's time to start the inevitable march down order.

[TRF]

145 games.

.295 .395 .480 .875 28 HR's. Leads the league in snarky interviews.

I wonder if he watches Letterkenny... never mind. Of course he does.

Has a monumental bounceback year before father time takes its lasting toll.

[Kingspoint]

.840 OPS

Two pie-in-the-faces. Three if we sign Puig.

[mth123]

.275/.350/.425/.775

[allpurpose]

Ya never know.. He might hit .410 and knock in 70 HR's, but I'll temper that by saying I'm not gonna gamble either testicle on such predictions.. All things being equal I'd rather die with both intact and still attached in their proper locations on my body..

[Bourgeois Zee]

.275/.350/.425/.775

A .350 OBP in the #2 hole would be slightly above average, and a .775 OPS would be about 50 points below league average (2019 numbers).

Last year, Red #2 hitters went .275/ .362/ .460/ .822.

[JCM11]

Votto had a .276 .369 .432 .801 batting line in 121 starts out of the 2 hole. The last two months of the year he put up an .810 and .819 OPS after ditching choking up. Even more encouraging is in those two months his BAbip wasn't even that impressive(.292 and .311 which were 4th and 5th for him him on the season) and his BB/SO ratio was much more Votto like. I'd say based on those things it's entirely likely Votto can OPS .800+ next year. I'll predict .285 .375 .430 .805

[TeamSelig]

I’ve been wondering if he will get a bit of load management and limit ABs vs LHP which would reduce his ABs, HRs, RBIs, etc , but raise his AVG/OBP/OPS.