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Thread: 2020 Votto Stat Predictions

  1. #16
    Member adkindo's Avatar
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    Re: 2020 Votto Stat Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by Ironman92 View Post
    List any or all you want

    Games... 148
    Runs .... 76
    Doubles ... 28
    HR .... 22
    RBI.... 72
    BB..... 84
    Strikeouts... 121
    Average... .277
    OB%.... .368
    Slug % ..... .435
    OPS ..... .803

    WAR 1.8
    Games... 149
    Runs .... 77
    Doubles ... 29
    HR .... 23
    RBI.... 73
    BB..... 85
    Strikeouts... 122
    Average... .278
    OB%.... .369
    Slug % ..... .436
    OPS ..... .804

    WAR 1.9


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    Ironman92 (01-09-2020)

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  4. #17
    Moderator Kinsm's Avatar
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    Re: 2020 Votto Stat Predictions

    .260 - .340 - .390

    ~130 starts at 1B

    I hope I'm wrong.

  5. #18
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    Re: 2020 Votto Stat Predictions

    .265 - .362 - .403

    130 to 140 games

    Time catches everyone eventually.

  6. #19
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    Re: 2020 Votto Stat Predictions

    I think having a decent team around him helps him have a somewhat bounceback year

    .275 - .380 - . 445

  7. #20
    Member Tracy Jones's Avatar
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    Re: 2020 Votto Stat Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by RedsManRick View Post
    Not as a mediocre defender who doesn't run the bases well. I think he's something like a +15 run above average bat, -10 run defender (avg 1B), -5 run basebunner. That's +0 runs above average or roughly 2 WAR. If he plays 150+ games, that batting line would definitely produce more than a +15. So perhaps I'd drop the OBP 20 points or so. But the ballpark is right.

    It's hard to find a great comp, but perhaps Luke Voit or Shin Soo Choo.
    The reason I asked is because he was a 1.6 bwar player last year with a .768 OPS. I would think that all things being equal, another 70 points would put him at 3 or so? Of course further declines in defense and base running would temper that. Thanks for the reply.

  8. #21
    Someday Never Comes mth123's Avatar
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    Re: 2020 Votto Stat Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by BillDoran View Post
    FWIW, his ISO the past two years have been .135 and .150. I'd be pretty surprised if he reached .150 again (provided he doesn't sell-out to hit for power).

    .265/.340/.395
    This is about where I'm at.
    "All I can tell them is pick a good one and sock it." --BABE RUTH

  9. #22
    Member Ironman92's Avatar
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    Re: 2020 Votto Stat Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by adkindo View Post
    Games... 149
    Runs .... 77
    Doubles ... 29
    HR .... 23
    RBI.... 73
    BB..... 85
    Strikeouts... 122
    Average... .278
    OB%.... .369
    Slug % ..... .436
    OPS ..... .804

    WAR 1.9

    You messed up ....canít up the OB% by 1 and Slug by 1 and be up 1 OPS

  10. #23
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    Re: 2020 Votto Stat Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by mth123 View Post
    This is about where I'm at.
    Love me some Joey Votto, but he's been in a sharp decline the past two years. Over the past three years his wRC+ have been 165, 130 and 101. He accrued more than 600 PA in all of those seasons.

    I get it, but I think most on here are overly optimistic on 2020 Joey Votto. To me the real question is whether you can leave him near the top of the lineup as an on-base guy or if it's time to start the inevitable march down order.

  11. #24
    Pitter Patter TRF's Avatar
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    Re: 2020 Votto Stat Predictions

    145 games.

    .295 .395 .480 .875 28 HR's. Leads the league in snarky interviews.

    I wonder if he watches Letterkenny... never mind. Of course he does.

    Has a monumental bounceback year before father time takes its lasting toll.
    Use a Cocktail Stick!

  12. #25
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    Re: 2020 Votto Stat Predictions

    .840 OPS

    Two pie-in-the-faces. Three if we sign Puig.
    "One problem with people who have no vices is that they're pretty sure to have some annoying virtues."

  13. #26
    Someday Never Comes mth123's Avatar
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    Re: 2020 Votto Stat Predictions

    .275/.350/.425/.775
    "All I can tell them is pick a good one and sock it." --BABE RUTH

  14. #27
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    Re: 2020 Votto Stat Predictions

    Ya never know.. He might hit .410 and knock in 70 HR's, but I'll temper that by saying I'm not gonna gamble either testicle on such predictions.. All things being equal I'd rather die with both intact and still attached in their proper locations on my body..

  15. #28
    Member Bourgeois Zee's Avatar
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    Re: 2020 Votto Stat Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by mth123 View Post
    .275/.350/.425/.775
    A .350 OBP in the #2 hole would be slightly above average, and a .775 OPS would be about 50 points below league average (2019 numbers).

    Last year, Red #2 hitters went .275/ .362/ .460/ .822.

  16. #29
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    Re: 2020 Votto Stat Predictions

    Votto had a .276 .369 .432 .801 batting line in 121 starts out of the 2 hole. The last two months of the year he put up an .810 and .819 OPS after ditching choking up. Even more encouraging is in those two months his BAbip wasn't even that impressive(.292 and .311 which were 4th and 5th for him him on the season) and his BB/SO ratio was much more Votto like. I'd say based on those things it's entirely likely Votto can OPS .800+ next year. I'll predict .285 .375 .430 .805

  17. #30
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    Re: 2020 Votto Stat Predictions

    I’ve been wondering if he will get a bit of load management and limit ABs vs LHP which would reduce his ABs, HRs, RBIs, etc , but raise his AVG/OBP/OPS.


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