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Thread: New 2020 Covid Plan & Its Effects on the Reds

  1. #1
    Member Bourgeois Zee's Avatar
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    New 2020 Covid Plan & Its Effects on the Reds

    Right now, the plan seems to be to play the majority of games against NL and AL Central teams.

    At first blush, that would seem to help the Reds, as Kansas City, Detroit, and Pittsburgh all project to be among the worst five or six teams in the game. Both Cleveland and Minnesota project to be better than Cincinnati, with the Twins projecting to be among the best teams in baseball.

    Minnesota and Chicago (White Sox) have pitchers' parks (relatively speaking), while Cleveland, Detroit, and Kansas City are hitters' havens. (Particularly Detroit.) This is similar to National League Central park factors, fwiw.

    Minnesota's team offense was among the best in the league last season, but the rest of the AL Central were below average (according to wRC+). In terms of pitching, the Reds' staff will have to compete with two others whose fWAR were superior-- the Indians and the Twins. The White Sox, Tigers, and Royals were less successful and project to be below average this season as well.

    I certainly would prefer this to the Houston/ LA league out west (although the west has lots more weak sisters) or the Yankee/ Philly/ Washington/ Tampa slugfest on the east coast.

    What other factors may make this idea beneficial for the Reds?

    What may be some stumbling blocks or issues not discussed?

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    Sprinkles are for winners dougdirt's Avatar
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    Re: New 2020 Covid Plan & Its Effects on the Reds

    What helps the Reds: The DH. They can improve their offense and their defense more than most by having a DH.

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    BEETTLEBUG (05-03-2020),GAC (05-04-2020),Griffey012 (05-03-2020),kaldaniels (05-03-2020),M2 (05-03-2020),membengal (05-03-2020),Old school 1983 (05-03-2020)

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    Member traderumor's Avatar
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    Re: New 2020 Covid Plan & Its Effects on the Reds

    I am just ready for baseball however they format it.
    "Rounding 3rd and heading for home, good night everybody"

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  8. #4
    Sprinkles are for winners dougdirt's Avatar
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    Re: New 2020 Covid Plan & Its Effects on the Reds

    Quote Originally Posted by traderumor View Post
    I am just ready for baseball however they format it.
    Home plate is now at second base. If a foul ball hits a net, it's actually in play.

  9. #5
    Member Bourgeois Zee's Avatar
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    Re: New 2020 Covid Plan & Its Effects on the Reds

    Quote Originally Posted by dougdirt View Post
    Home plate is now at second base. If a foul ball hits a net, it's actually in play.
    And ghost runners everywhere.

  10. #6
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    Re: New 2020 Covid Plan & Its Effects on the Reds

    Quote Originally Posted by Bourgeois Zee View Post
    Right now, the plan seems to be to play the majority of games against NL and AL Central teams.

    At first blush, that would seem to help the Reds, as Kansas City, Detroit, and Pittsburgh all project to be among the worst five or six teams in the game. Both Cleveland and Minnesota project to be better than Cincinnati, with the Twins projecting to be among the best teams in baseball.

    Minnesota and Chicago (White Sox) have pitchers' parks (relatively speaking), while Cleveland, Detroit, and Kansas City are hitters' havens. (Particularly Detroit.) This is similar to National League Central park factors, fwiw.

    Minnesota's team offense was among the best in the league last season, but the rest of the AL Central were below average (according to wRC+). In terms of pitching, the Reds' staff will have to compete with two others whose fWAR were superior-- the Indians and the Twins. The White Sox, Tigers, and Royals were less successful and project to be below average this season as well.

    I certainly would prefer this to the Houston/ LA league out west (although the west has lots more weak sisters) or the Yankee/ Philly/ Washington/ Tampa slugfest on the east coast.

    What other factors may make this idea beneficial for the Reds?

    What may be some stumbling blocks or issues not discussed?
    KC as a hitters park? That might just be a reflection of their bad pitching. Same with Detroit.
    "Today was the byproduct of us thinking we can come back from anything." - Joey Votto after blowing a 10-1 lead and holding on for the 12-11 win on 8/25/2010.

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  12. #7
    Member Bourgeois Zee's Avatar
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    Re: New 2020 Covid Plan & Its Effects on the Reds

    Quote Originally Posted by Griffey012 View Post
    KC as a hitters park? That might just be a reflection of their bad pitching. Same with Detroit.
    Park Factors factors that out for the most part, right?

  13. #8
    The Lineups stink. KronoRed's Avatar
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    Re: New 2020 Covid Plan & Its Effects on the Reds

    Quote Originally Posted by dougdirt View Post
    Home plate is now at second base. If a foul ball hits a net, it's actually in play.
    I'll refuse to watch until they introduce the base ejector.
    Go Gators!

  14. #9
    Sprinkles are for winners dougdirt's Avatar
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    Re: New 2020 Covid Plan & Its Effects on the Reds

    Quote Originally Posted by KronoRed View Post
    I'll refuse to watch until they introduce the base ejector.
    I'm holding out for center blimp.

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  16. #10
    Member Old school 1983's Avatar
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    Re: New 2020 Covid Plan & Its Effects on the Reds

    Quote Originally Posted by dougdirt View Post
    I'm holding out for center blimp.
    Now that’s a reference to a commercial I nearly forgot about.

    https://youtu.be/q4WTc6nX6-U
    Last edited by Old school 1983; 05-03-2020 at 07:56 PM.

  17. #11
    Goober GAC's Avatar
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    Re: New 2020 Covid Plan & Its Effects on the Reds

    Is there still gonna be an All-Star break?
    "In my day you had musicians who experimented with drugs. Now it's druggies experimenting with music" - Alfred G Clark (circa 1972)

  18. #12
    Reds fan trapped in CHI Jim's Avatar
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    Re: New 2020 Covid Plan & Its Effects on the Reds

    Quote Originally Posted by GAC View Post
    Is there still gonna be an All-Star break?
    Let's just call April "All-Star Break Month".

  19. #13
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    Re: New 2020 Covid Plan & Its Effects on the Reds

    Quote Originally Posted by Bourgeois Zee View Post
    Park Factors factors that out for the most part, right?
    I'm not entirely sure. It just seems hard to Kansas City as a hitters park, but that could be my own bias.

    Seems like fangraphs agrees they both slightly favor hitters over 1,3,5 year windows.

    https://www.fangraphs.com/guts.aspx?...=0&season=2018
    Last edited by Griffey012; 05-04-2020 at 10:10 AM.
    "Today was the byproduct of us thinking we can come back from anything." - Joey Votto after blowing a 10-1 lead and holding on for the 12-11 win on 8/25/2010.

  20. #14
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    Re: New 2020 Covid Plan & Its Effects on the Reds

    Quote Originally Posted by GAC View Post
    Is there still gonna be an All-Star break?
    Yes. All of 2020

  21. #15
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    Re: New 2020 Covid Plan & Its Effects on the Reds



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