Originally Posted by
adkindo
I want to be on the record very clearly.....I disagree with all of you in regards to Wiseman. He is good....may end up being very good, but those top picks actually have a big salary now and will impact the cap. I almost universally would argue that it will be a poor choice to invest in a traditional big with those early picks unless we are talking about a guy like AD when he was at UK. Just look at recent drafts.....
- 2015, 5 of the Top 10 picks were traditional bigs in Towns, Okafor, Porzingis, Cauley-Stein and Kaminsky. While we can point out that Towns and Porzingis are very talented, have either made an ounce of difference for the teams that drafted them 5 years later? Both are now on max contracts, and are not close to being the best player on a contender. I would not bet on Wiseman being as good as either....to be honest. Russell who was taken #2 has already been an All Star and carried a team into the playoffs....and Booker (#13) is an All Star and on the path to superstar.
- 2016, 4 of the Top 10 picks were traditional bigs in Bender, Chriss, Pöltl and Maker. No reason to even comment on those....but Sabonis was taken #11 and the best of the group....but is he a game changer for a team? Simmons, Ingram, Brown, Hield and Murray were all Top 10 picks...and all have shown the ability to move the needle for their teams.
- 2017, no bigs were taken in the Top 5, and the ones taken in the back half of the Top 10 Isaac, Markkanen and Collins have all been contributors....but I would argue they are less traditional bigs than Wiseman. Clearly, Bam taken @ #14 has been the best big taken....but was he worth a Top 3 salary those first 4 years? Tatum and Fox clearly were...
-2018, 5 more bigs in the Top 10 in Ayton, Bagley, Jackson, Bamba and Carter. It is early, but which one will be an All NBA level player? Jackson maybe? Ayton maybe? We know that Ayton and Bagley were poor selections just for the fact they were taken over Luka.....but they along with Jackson were taken over Trey Young who is clearly on track to be a difference maker.
In 2020, it is almost a requirement to have the ball in your hands to truly move the needle....and Wiseman has never exhibited the type of ball skills needed to be a unicorn big in the NBA. We saw Wiseman play 3 collegiate games...South Carolina State, University of Illinois at Chicago (UIC) and Oregon who held him to 14 points and a Memphis loss. That is the guy that you want to lock in for around $50 Million over the next 4 years....the same guy that Oscar Tshiebwe embarrassed during their final summer of AAU? I will take a Guard, Wing or even combo forward over a traditional big at the top of any draft.
OK, just wanted to be on the record....clearly.