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Thread: NBA 2019-20: Hoopingest place on earth

  1. #61
    Posting in Dynarama M2's Avatar
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    Re: NBA 2019-20: Hoopingest place on earth

    Quote Originally Posted by Kingspoint View Post
    Nah, the NBA would never cheat about anything. They never fix things towards a particular player's outcome. Never happens.


    POR's 8 games:

    The winning percentage among Portland’s eight opponents is 60.0%.
    The Blazers play three Top 3 seeds among the conferences (Celtics, Clippers, and Nuggets), but neither of the #1 teams (because they are both likely to rest their starters during the 8 games).
    They play no teams outside of the Top 8, thus no teams with a worse record than they.


    NOP's 8 games:

    Combined Winning Percentage: 49.5%, with four teams the same or worse than they on the schedule. Throw in their game in UTA, without which the percentage would be much worse, and minus Bogdanovic and a team with internal strife, and that's basically another bad team.
    [ed. How can you assemble a field of teams either making or close to making the playoffs but still give a team a schedule against opponents with a net losing record?]


    POR's 8 games:

    MEM
    BOS
    HOU
    DEN
    LAC
    PHI
    DAL
    BKN (BKN should rest their starters for this one with nothing to play for.)



    NOP's 8 games:

    UTA (the most troubled team in the league emotionally and no Bogdanovich)
    LAC
    MEM
    SAC
    WAS (will be eliminated by the time they meet)
    SAS (no Aldridge)
    SAC (will be eliminated by the time they meet)
    ORL (will have nothing to play for by this game and rest their starters)


    So, not only did POR have the league's toughest schedule before the break, but they get handed the toughest schedule of the teams trying to qualify for the 9th spot in the playoffs.
    Isn't this just the schedule they told us they were go with the whole time and that you dismissed out of hand? Everybody plays the teams that were left on their schedule. The Pelicans had played the strongest schedule in the league prior to the stoppage and had the softest remaining schedule (http://powerrankingsguru.com/nba/str...f-schedule.php). So they're just getting what was coming their way if the season hadn't stopped, up against the teams they were supposed to play. Same with the Blazers.
    Friends don't let friends fWAR.

    Coddle thy pitchers.

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  4. #62
    Member adkindo's Avatar
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    Re: NBA 2019-20: Hoopingest place on earth

    Quote Originally Posted by M2 View Post
    Isn't this just the schedule they told us they were go with the whole time and that you dismissed out of hand? Everybody plays the teams that were left on their schedule. The Pelicans had played the strongest schedule in the league prior to the stoppage and had the softest remaining schedule (http://powerrankingsguru.com/nba/str...f-schedule.php). So they're just getting what was coming their way if the season hadn't stopped, up against the teams they were supposed to play. Same with the Blazers.
    I do recall the Pels had one of if not the easiest schedule remaining when the season ended....which is why so many still thought they had a chance to chase down Memphis.
    “The object of life is not to be on the side of the majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane.”
    ― Marcus Aurelius

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  6. #63
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    Re: NBA 2019-20: Hoopingest place on earth

    Quote Originally Posted by adkindo View Post
    I do recall the Pels had one of if not the easiest schedule remaining when the season ended....which is why so many still thought they had a chance to chase down Memphis.
    Exactly. This is the opposite of a conspiracy theory. They did what they told us they were going to do, based on each team's remaining schedule.
    Friends don't let friends fWAR.

    Coddle thy pitchers.

  7. #64
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    Re: NBA 2019-20: Hoopingest place on earth

    Quote Originally Posted by M2 View Post
    Isn't this just the schedule they told us they were go with the whole time and that you dismissed out of hand? Everybody plays the teams that were left on their schedule. The Pelicans had played the strongest schedule in the league prior to the stoppage and had the softest remaining schedule (http://powerrankingsguru.com/nba/str...f-schedule.php). So they're just getting what was coming their way if the season hadn't stopped, up against the teams they were supposed to play. Same with the Blazers.
    No. They substituted POR's easiest two games with games against DEN and LAC.
    "One problem with people who have no vices is that they're pretty sure to have some annoying virtues."

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    Re: NBA 2019-20: Hoopingest place on earth

    Nm
    Last edited by Rdirtypirates; 06-28-2020 at 08:21 AM.

  9. #66
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    Re: NBA 2019-20: Hoopingest place on earth

    Quote Originally Posted by Kingspoint View Post
    No. They substituted POR's easiest two games with games against DEN and LAC.
    Yes. It's almost exactly what people were forecasting it would be earlier this month - https://www.cbssports.com/nba/news/e...d-for-orlando/. The only changed is they swapped out the Lakers for the Clippers and inserted Denver in an open slot (probably because it's a divisional rival). You dismissed it out of hand. You should have listened.

    This is what Portland had left on its schedule and you don't get to be surprised about what the league was up front in telling you it was going to do. It's the teams the Blazers would have had to play if the season never had stopped. Same for everyone else too. Plus, how is this a problem? I thought Portland wasn't going to lose another game.
    Last edited by M2; 06-28-2020 at 09:40 AM.
    Friends don't let friends fWAR.

    Coddle thy pitchers.

  10. #67
    Member Bourgeois Zee's Avatar
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    Re: NBA 2019-20: Hoopingest place on earth

    Quote Originally Posted by M2 View Post
    I thought Portland wasn't going to lose another game.
    They are the juggernaut through which the rest of the league must pass. All teams fear Portland's mighty 9th seeded near-playoff team!

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  12. #68
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    Re: NBA 2019-20: Hoopingest place on earth

    Nurk Fever!
    "One problem with people who have no vices is that they're pretty sure to have some annoying virtues."

  13. #69
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    Re: NBA 2019-20: Hoopingest place on earth

    Bring 'em on!

    We'll knock 'em all out one at a time.

    Last edited by Kingspoint; 06-29-2020 at 03:03 PM.
    "One problem with people who have no vices is that they're pretty sure to have some annoying virtues."

  14. #70
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    Re: NBA 2019-20: Hoopingest place on earth

    Some playoff odds from a 2,500-sim sample of the new schedule: https://www.theringer.com/nba/2020/6...-schedule-odds.

    It's good news for the Grizzlies and bad news for Wizards. Also a lot of potential for the 4-5-6 seeds to get scrambled.
    Friends don't let friends fWAR.

    Coddle thy pitchers.

  15. #71
    Member Bourgeois Zee's Avatar
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    Re: NBA 2019-20: Hoopingest place on earth

    Quote Originally Posted by M2 View Post
    Some playoff odds from a 2,500-sim sample of the new schedule: https://www.theringer.com/nba/2020/6...-schedule-odds.

    It's good news for the Grizzlies and bad news for Wizards. Also a lot of potential for the 4-5-6 seeds to get scrambled.
    This must be incorrect. The Ringer must not have known that both Nurkoc and Collins are healthy and coming back from injury.

    Both of them.

    That has to raise Portland's odds of earning a playoff spot to 137%. At least.

  16. #72
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    Re: NBA 2019-20: Hoopingest place on earth

    Ariza out. Adams in.

    From ESPN:
    The Portland Trail Blazers plan to sign guard Jaylen Adams as a substitute player to replace Trevor Ariza, sources told ESPN's Adrian Wojnarowski. Adams was the G-League's MVP runner-up this season with the Wisconsin Herd. He averaged 21.5 points, 5.1 rebounds and 5.7 assists in 33 games for Wisconsin. Ariza is opting out of participation in the NBA's Orlando, Florida, restart of the season, committing instead to a one-month visitation window with his young son, sources told Wojnarowski last week.
    Here is Adam's basketball-reference page. https://www.basketball-reference.com...adamsja01.html

  17. #73
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    Re: NBA 2019-20: Hoopingest place on earth

    The Kingspoint Simulator was run 108,000 times and the results were:


    Jul 31st POR vs MEM FINAL POR 122, MEM 105
    Aug 2nd POR vs BOS FINAL POR 124, BOS 118
    Aug 4th POR vs HOU FINAL POR 132, HOU 122
    Aug 6th POR vs DEN FINAL POR 124, DEN 117
    Aug 8th POR vs LAC FINAL POR 125, LAC 122
    Aug 9th POR vs PHI FINAL POR 130, PHI 112
    Aug 11th POR vs DAL FINAL POR 121, DAL 119
    Aug 13th POR vs BKN FINAL POR 126, BKN 96

    PLAY-IN

    GAME 1 POR 120, MEM 112
    GAME 2 POR 124, MEM 108
    "One problem with people who have no vices is that they're pretty sure to have some annoying virtues."

  18. #74
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    Re: NBA 2019-20: Hoopingest place on earth

    Quote Originally Posted by texasdave View Post
    Ariza out. Adams in.

    From ESPN:

    Here is Adam's basketball-reference page. https://www.basketball-reference.com...adamsja01.html
    They needed a PG. Thought they would sign Tim Frazier. They still can replace Ariza at no cost against the cap. Adams fills the 15th spot against the cap.
    Last edited by Kingspoint; 06-29-2020 at 11:57 PM.
    "One problem with people who have no vices is that they're pretty sure to have some annoying virtues."

  19. #75
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    Re: NBA 2019-20: Hoopingest place on earth

    Quote Originally Posted by texasdave View Post
    Ariza out. Adams in.

    From ESPN:

    Here is Adam's basketball-reference page. https://www.basketball-reference.com...adamsja01.html
    I was big on Adams in college when he was @ St. Bonaventure....
    “The object of life is not to be on the side of the majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane.”
    ― Marcus Aurelius


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