Yes. If the Reds make the playoffs.
No. He’ll take the $.
Yes. He likes the team and the stability of his contract.
Option 4, he opts out, Reds add a few mil per year and he stays.
Rojo Rijo (08-15-2020),Tom Servo (08-11-2020),Wonderful Monds (08-11-2020)
He stays...for the money, dude is a DH who doesn't want to play DH.
Go Gators!
DocRed (08-12-2020),marcshoe (08-11-2020),Wonderful Monds (08-11-2020)
The better question is...can he pitch?
A smooth sea never made a skilled sailor!
mgbrown66 (08-12-2020)
If he mashes enough, any team might give him more $$ than the Reds and plan on DHing him at least half the time. At the end of the day, money talks. If both leagues have a DH, it has more value positionally.
Would a team rather have a monster DH for big money or a monster hitting/mediocre to terrible defense RF for big money?
(Referring to Jack Hannahan signing with a Korean team)
Since there are no teams on the moon, I guess South Korea's far enough from Cincinnati to satisfy me.
-RichRed
Falls City Beer (08-12-2020),REDREAD (08-14-2020)
Castellanos consistently grades out at about a -1.5 to -2.5 dWAR guy a year. There's a reason why we were able to sign him for $16M a year....he was just as hot last year for the Cubs than he has been this year.
That's close to what I'm thinking. His contract pays him 16 Mill in 2020, 2022 and 2023. In 2024 it jumps to 20 million. But in 2021 it's only 14 million. I think the Reds offer him 2-3 million to not exercise his 2021 option. He gets a little something, Reds keep him for 2021 and he can still opt out for 2022 in a more normal market.
Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"
https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php
if he remains on the trend he has been on over the last week, the Reds will likely hope he opts out
“The object of life is not to be on the side of the majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane.”― Marcus Aurelius
Ron Madden (08-12-2020)
Doesn't he have a second season opt out as well? My money would be on him staying this off season due to the clear uncertainty that is going to exist this year, and then seeing what the market looks like in the 2021 off season.
mth123 (08-12-2020),RedlegJake (08-13-2020),REDREAD (08-14-2020),Ron Madden (08-12-2020),Wonderful Monds (08-12-2020)
That 2nd opt out may see him deciding to go one more year before hitting the market again. Money is going to be tighter for 2021. Play another year in Cincinnati then take his opt out
99% of all numbers only tell 33% of the story so when looking at the numbers remember that numbers is plural...
He’ll be a year older and potentially a year more in decline if he goes for the second opt out. If he doesn’t bolt this offseason, he’ll probably just stay with this contract. IMO.
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