What can't be known is where he would be if he hadn't gone back to the indisputably weird stuff that wasn't working for him the first four months of last year.
We know he'll never see an 0.800 OPS again. But I don't think it was out of the realm of possibility that he could still hit 0.750.
However, with Suarez taking the year off, it wouldn't have been enough. And it's probably a good thing in that there is no denying the stark reality.
Votto must be replaced. ASAP.