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Thread: Dick Williams speaks

  1. #226
    Member 757690's Avatar
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    Re: Dick Williams speaks

    Quote Originally Posted by Tom Servo View Post
    Rick's post is aging well.
    He was right that this team could reach .500. But they still have a historically lower BABIP, 20 points below the next worst team, so they reason for this surge isn’t that luck is evening out in that area. This team is still heavily HR dependent. They are winning mostly because the bullpen has been on a tear, especially Iglesias.
    “We’re going to get the pitching.” -Bob Castellini
    “You got the pitching, now what?” - Reds fans


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  3. #227
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    Re: Dick Williams speaks

    Quote Originally Posted by 757690 View Post
    While it would be fun if the Reds make the playoffs this season, it would be a mistake to then conclude that this team is actually good or that the plan to build it was smart.

    This team are contending right now only because half the league gets into the playoffs. In a normal year, this team wouldn’t be sniffing the postseason and would be a disappointment.
    In a normal season, we'd have had an additional 4 months to turn it around. The Reds aren't going to hit at that level forever.

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  5. #228
    Viva la Rolen kaldaniels's Avatar
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    Re: Dick Williams speaks

    I don't know if it was meant to be or wise to do so, but I've felt that the Reds were a team that "if you just get into the postseason...you could win it all."

    Their top 3 starters match up against anyone. The bullpen leaves a lot to be desired but lately, I'll take the results.

    I'm excited.

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  7. #229
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    Re: Dick Williams speaks

    Quote Originally Posted by 757690 View Post
    While it would be fun if the Reds make the playoffs this season, it would be a mistake to then conclude that this team is actually good or that the plan to build it was smart.

    This team are contending right now only because half the league gets into the playoffs. In a normal year, this team wouldn’t be sniffing the postseason and would be a disappointment.
    I still don't really get the complaints about "roster construction". There are certainly elements that could have been better, but I don't think that Suarez having a very weird year, Castellanos' batting average collapsing, Moustakas battling injuries, and Senzel seemingly having the worst case of COVID in baseball has anything to do with roster construction.
    “I don’t care,” Votto said of passing his friend and former teammate. “He’s in the past. Bye-bye, Jay.”

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  9. #230
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    Re: Dick Williams speaks

    I’ll shut up and just enjoy that the Reds are in contention right now
    “We’re going to get the pitching.” -Bob Castellini
    “You got the pitching, now what?” - Reds fans

  10. #231
    Probably not Patrick Bateman's Avatar
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    Re: Dick Williams speaks

    We have a better mix now that Senzel and Moose are both healthy, and have Goodwin/Aquino replacing dreck.

    We still seem overly dependent on the long ball, but the offense is shaping up.

    Visually the defense has looked like less of a problem lately with 2 fast outfielders out there and Garcia playing sometimes.

    Bullpen been elite for a month plus now. It feels at least average going forward.

    I dunno, the team at this point feels like what we expected going into the year. 85 wins with upside if chips fell. It’s not elite, room to improve. But the record isn’t a fluke and there’s no reason not to enjoy the ride at this point.


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  12. #232
    Viva la Rolen kaldaniels's Avatar
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    Re: Dick Williams speaks

    So far as roster construction goes I certainly never wanted Jankowski on the roster. So yes, the roster drove me nuts at times.

    But I wonder if the 30 man roster made them over think things.

    Jankowski is our speed guy.
    Davidson is our lefty masher.
    JVM is our jack of all trades.
    Let’s platoon Ervin and Winker.

    Rather than let’s pick the best 25 and add on from there.

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  14. #233
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    Re: Dick Williams speaks

    Name PA BAbip BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+
    EugenioSuarez 209 .210 .203 .321 .480 .801 108
    FreddyGalvis# 146 .219 .209 .301 .388 .689 80
    JoeyVotto* 201 .238 .231 .353 .450 .803 110
    MikeMoustakas* 142 .250 .218 .338 .420 .758 99
    NicholasCastellanos 223 .264 .230 .305 .500 .805 108
    JesseWinker* 169 .291 .257 .379 .536 .914 138
    League Average .292 .246 .325 .418 .743 99
    ShogoAkiyama* 169 .309 .239 .357 .289 .646 74
    Team Total 1936 .245 .213 .315 .406 .721 89


    Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
    Generated 9/22/2020.
    Last edited by CaiGuy; 09-22-2020 at 07:45 AM.

  15. #234
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    Re: Dick Williams speaks

    Pretty crazy, Suarez has a BABIP a full 100 points below his career norm, and his is still somehow slightly above average with the bat overall.

    He's not striking out any more, or hitting the ball any softer than last year.

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  17. #235
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    Re: Dick Williams speaks

    Quote Originally Posted by kaldaniels View Post
    So far as roster construction goes I certainly never wanted Jankowski on the roster. So yes, the roster drove me nuts at times.

    But I wonder if the 30 man roster made them over think things.

    Jankowski is our speed guy.
    Davidson is our lefty masher.
    JVM is our jack of all trades.
    Let’s platoon Ervin and Winker.

    Rather than let’s pick the best 25 and add on from there.
    They didn’t overthink things. On a thirty man roster it’s good to have speed guys and lefty mashers, etc. They still platoon, watch tonight’s lineup against the lefty.

    The talent is better now. Reds sorted through players during July and August and the roster now is much more consistent. And they are a bit healthier with Moustakas hitting like the Moose we expected.

    The criticism remains that they weren’t ready - again - for “April.” It was harder this year because of the unusual season. But today, just read through the active roster, they look like a good team - on paper and in the field.

  18. #236
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    Re: Dick Williams speaks

    Quote Originally Posted by CaiGuy View Post
    Pretty crazy, Suarez has a BABIP a full 100 points below his career norm, and his is still somehow slightly above average with the bat overall.

    He's not striking out any more, or hitting the ball any softer than last year.
    yes, geno is a stud. and we have him at a very team-friendly contract.

  19. #237
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    Re: Dick Williams speaks

    Quote Originally Posted by CaiGuy View Post
    Pretty crazy, Suarez has a BABIP a full 100 points below his career norm, and his is still somehow slightly above average with the bat overall.

    He's not striking out any more, or hitting the ball any softer than last year.
    How much more are they shifting on him?

    2019 45% of PA a shift was on wOBA of .423
    Non shift wOBA .345

    2020 67% of PA a shift was on wOBA of .325
    Non shift wOBA .353.
    Last edited by HammerTime; 09-22-2020 at 01:53 PM.


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