You hit on the key point, the key deciding factor. But it’s not a clear either/or. The choice isn’t between opening up and having a thriving economy vs. closing up and having a bad economy.
Italy and early China revealed that staying open, staying normal, during this pandemic, results in massive death and illness. It wipes out the economy far worse than the shut down. The question is not either/or, but what balance to strike.
Right now, this country has opened up further than most. Most stores are open, restaurants are open with outdoor dining. Bars are open up to a point. Even casinos are open. Schools are opening up. What is closed in any place where people stay inside, in close quarters, for hours at a time.
This has resulted in 1,000 deaths a day and a slight bounce back of the economy. That unskilled labor that is out of work, would be on the front lines, in high risk jobs if we opened up further, meaning they would suffer significant illness and death. We would be sacrificing them, so that we could have everything open.
There are no good answers. It’s not as if we could open up fully and get the economy back at full strength. As long as the virus is out there, and there is no vaccine, the economy nor our lives will not get back to normal.