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Thread: Covid-19, Part X

  1. #1006
    Winning is fun. RiverRat13's Avatar
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    Re: Covid-19, Part IX

    Quote Originally Posted by RedTeamGo! View Post
    Iím not saying youíre wrong. I want you to be right and figured you were basing such an absolute statement on something youíve read from experts.
    Go to the upper Midwest states on this site and you'll see they were falling before the holidays, let alone vaccinations. Ohio peaked the weekend after Thanksgiving.

    https://covid19-projections.com/


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  3. #1007
    Member 757690's Avatar
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    Re: Covid-19, Part IX

    Here is the tweet for those who donít want to click

    On @FaceTheNation, @ScottGottliebMD says vaccinations have accelerated to 2M/day, and we're on track to vaccinate so many Americans ó 150M by end of March, 60M more in April ó that "we're going to run out of demand ... We need to start thinking about [boosting] the demand side."
    Thatís why weíre playing, bro

  4. #1008
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Covid-19, Part IX

    Bloomberg shows the 7 day average of shots at 1.46 mill per day. That number jumped up a bit in last few days, so maybe they've done 2 mill a day the last few days and they think they can sustain that.

    They don't need to worry about the demand side of things for a while yet. There's still plenty of folks in 65+ group who can't get their shots scheduled.
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

    https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php

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    Redsfaithful (02-08-2021),RiverRat13 (02-08-2021)

  6. #1009
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Covid-19, Part IX

    OK, so the January 11th thing is pretty remarkable. But it proves that it's the vaccine that's driving the reduction. All of the states got the vaccines at the same time and were relatively close in how they were distributed.

    Therefore you would expect that if the vaccine was the cause of the reduction it would happen about the same time. And that's EXACTLY what happened. In state after state Jan 11th (3.5 weeks after start of vaccinations) seems to be the magic date that things corrected.

    Examples:

    Indiana; Had peak Dec 6th. Decline stopped Dec 28th, headed up for 14 consecutive days. Started heading back down Jan 11th.
    Illinois; Peak on Nov 14th, but decline stopped on Dec 28th and headed up for for 14 consecutive days. Started heading back down Jan 11th
    Ohio; Peak Dec 13th. Decline stopped on Dec 29th and headed back up for 10 consecutive days. Started heading back down Jan 8th. (Accelerated Jan 13th)

    Florida: Cases were soaring. Highest point ever was Jan 11th.
    California: Peak was Dec 22nd 44,178. Started declining but headed back up. Jan 13th it was at 44,020 when its started heading back down.
    Texas: All time high was Jan 15th.
    New York; All time high was Jan 12th (not in spring)
    Arizona; All time was Jan 12th

    Frankly after that I stopped looking. In every state no matter what the region, things were getting worse and on Jan 11th (give or take a couple days) every state reversed the trend and headed down.

    And now the new case 7 Day average which peaked on Jan 11th nationally has been chopped by more than half down to 116,656. Will be interesting to see where we are after 1 month.
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

    https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php

  7. #1010
    Moderator Kinsm's Avatar
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    Re: Covid-19, Part IX

    This thread is long enough.


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