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Thread: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

  1. #226
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    17th - 33,588
    18th - 35,306
    19th - 37,145
    20th - 39,266
    21st - 42,068
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

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  3. #227
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Quote Originally Posted by JaxRed View Post
    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    17th - 33,588
    18th - 35,306
    19th - 37,145
    20th - 39,266
    21st - 42,068

    The 4th of July was awesome. Everything since not so much.

  4. #228
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    17th - 33,588
    18th - 35,306
    19th - 37,145
    20th - 39,266
    21st - 42,068
    22nd - 46,308
    Last edited by JaxRed; 07-23-2021 at 10:18 PM.
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

    https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php

  5. #229
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    17th - 33,588
    18th - 35,306
    19th - 37,145
    20th - 39,266
    21st - 42,068
    22nd - 46,308
    23rd - 49,800
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

    https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php

  6. #230
    Member Sea Ray's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    That trend up is troubling but we're still in much better shape than where we were at this time last yr when our 7 day avg was in excess of 67K. It's all a matter of where this thing is going to peak

  7. #231
    Corky is The Way Bob Sheed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Quote Originally Posted by Sea Ray View Post
    That trend up is troubling but we're still in much better shape than where we were at this time last yr when our 7 day avg was in excess of 67K. It's all a matter of where this thing is going to peak
    Maybe because we didn't have a vaccine this time last year?

    You're comparing apples and football stadiums.
    “You are not Atlas carrying the world on your shoulder. It is good to remember that the planet is carrying you.”
    ― Vandana Shiva

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  9. #232
    Member Sea Ray's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Quote Originally Posted by Bob Sheed View Post
    Maybe because we didn't have a vaccine this time last year?

    You're comparing apples and football stadiums.
    The vaccine is most certainly the reason. My point stands. Even though we were wearing masks and social distancing, thanks to the vaccine, we're still in better shape even with this new variant

  10. Likes:

    Bob Sheed (07-26-2021)

  11. #233
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    17th - 33,588
    18th - 35,306
    19th - 37,145
    20th - 39,266
    21st - 42,068
    22nd - 46,308
    23rd - 49,800
    24th - 53,266
    25th - 53,974
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

    https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php

  12. #234
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Quote Originally Posted by JaxRed View Post
    24th - 53,266
    25th - 53,974
    Ooh, that's nice. If this is as bad as it gets, it's essentially a false alarm, which would be awesome. Certainly not counting on that, though. I'm afraid we're sort of in groundhog's day land (six more weeks of Covid).

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    Sea Ray (07-27-2021)

  14. #235
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    I had been letting the numbers backfill because our worst state (Florida) had been slow reporting numbers. And now the single day number for the 28th (not an average) is 84,534.

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    17th - 33,588
    18th - 35,306
    19th - 37,145
    20th - 39,266
    21st - 42,792
    22nd - 46,484
    23rd - 50,629
    24th - 54,100
    25th - 56,976
    26th - 59,404
    27th - 63,668
    28th - 67,293
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

    https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php

  15. #236
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    You havw data going back to last sept-dec? I'd be interested to see the slope it increased with compared to the current progression.

  16. #237
    Corky is The Way Bob Sheed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Well the totals now are as high as they were before most of us were eligible for the vaccine, so there's that...
    “You are not Atlas carrying the world on your shoulder. It is good to remember that the planet is carrying you.”
    ― Vandana Shiva

  17. #238
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Jacksonville, FL
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    29th raw number 92,485

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    17th - 33,588
    18th - 35,306
    19th - 37,145
    20th - 39,266
    21st - 42,792
    22nd - 46,484
    23rd - 50,629
    24th - 54,100
    25th - 56,976
    26th - 59,404
    27th - 63,668
    28th - 67,293
    29th - 71,781
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

    https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php

  18. #239
    Member
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Quote Originally Posted by JaxRed View Post
    I had been letting the numbers backfill because our worst state (Florida) had been slow reporting numbers. And now the single day number for the 28th (not an average) is 84,534.

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    17th - 33,588
    18th - 35,306
    19th - 37,145
    20th - 39,266
    21st - 42,792
    22nd - 46,484
    23rd - 50,629
    24th - 54,100
    25th - 56,976
    26th - 59,404
    27th - 63,668
    28th - 67,293
    Florida and other similar states will start peaking soon (within a week, maybe already?) in the South. I predict, if you see a rise, it'll be because of other states in more northern latitudes rising.

  19. #240
    Member Sea Ray's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Quote Originally Posted by Bob Sheed View Post
    Well the totals now are as high as they were before most of us were eligible for the vaccine, so there's that...
    Think of it as the unvaccinated getting vaccinated. These folks are gaining immunity naturally. They're risking their lives by doing it this way but to each his own


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