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Thread: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

  1. #61
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Still maintaining low numbers. Of course still in a biizzard for much of the county. 63,398

    Seven Day Averages

    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    12th - 254,607
    13th - 250,943
    14th - 244,551
    15th - 236,084
    16th - 228,802
    17th - 222,516
    18th - 212,689
    19th - 204,907
    20th - 197,955
    21st - 192,337
    22nd -184,698
    23rd - 180,135
    24th - 175,239
    25th - 175,473
    26th - 172,222
    27th - 167,963
    28th - 163,753
    29th - 160,376
    30th - 156,350
    31st - 151,830
    1st - 148,375
    2nd - 143,090
    3rd - 136,383
    4th - 130,521
    5th - 124,857
    6th - 119,515
    7th - 116,640
    8th - 111,241
    9th - 108,450
    10th -106,155
    11th - 103,529
    12th - 99,503
    13th - 96,501
    14th - 92,966
    15th - 87,620
    16th - 82,841
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"


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  3. #62
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Another good day. 71,640 Blizzard for much of the county. Average goes down again

    Seven Day Averages

    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    12th - 254,607
    13th - 250,943
    14th - 244,551
    15th - 236,084
    16th - 228,802
    17th - 222,516
    18th - 212,689
    19th - 204,907
    20th - 197,955
    21st - 192,337
    22nd -184,698
    23rd - 180,135
    24th - 175,239
    25th - 175,473
    26th - 172,222
    27th - 167,963
    28th - 163,753
    29th - 160,376
    30th - 156,350
    31st - 151,830
    1st - 148,375
    2nd - 143,090
    3rd - 136,383
    4th - 130,521
    5th - 124,857
    6th - 119,515
    7th - 116,640
    8th - 111,241
    9th - 108,450
    10th -106,155
    11th - 103,529
    12th - 99,503
    13th - 96,501
    14th - 92,966
    15th - 87,669
    16th - 82,936
    17th - 79,112
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  4. #63
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Another good day. 68,924. Average goes down again

    Seven Day Averages

    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    12th - 254,607
    13th - 250,943
    14th - 244,551
    15th - 236,084
    16th - 228,802
    17th - 222,516
    18th - 212,689
    19th - 204,907
    20th - 197,955
    21st - 192,337
    22nd -184,698
    23rd - 180,135
    24th - 175,239
    25th - 175,473
    26th - 172,222
    27th - 167,963
    28th - 163,753
    29th - 160,376
    30th - 156,350
    31st - 151,830
    1st - 148,375
    2nd - 143,090
    3rd - 136,383
    4th - 130,521
    5th - 124,857
    6th - 119,515
    7th - 116,640
    8th - 111,241
    9th - 108,450
    10th -106,155
    11th - 103,529
    12th - 99,503
    13th - 96,501
    14th - 92,966
    15th - 87,724
    16th - 82,977
    17th - 79,266
    18th - 73,858
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  5. #64
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    78,640. Above the 7 day moving average. Average still goes down again, but we're approching a plateau if numbers don't start lowering. We had a fairly large number from NY today (almost 9,000) not sure if they were catching up.

    Seven Day Averages

    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    12th - 254,607
    13th - 250,943
    14th - 244,551
    15th - 236,084
    16th - 228,802
    17th - 222,516
    18th - 212,689
    19th - 204,907
    20th - 197,955
    21st - 192,337
    22nd -184,698
    23rd - 180,135
    24th - 175,239
    25th - 175,473
    26th - 172,222
    27th - 167,963
    28th - 163,753
    29th - 160,376
    30th - 156,350
    31st - 151,830
    1st - 148,375
    2nd - 143,090
    3rd - 136,383
    4th - 130,521
    5th - 124,857
    6th - 119,515
    7th - 116,640
    8th - 111,241
    9th - 108,450
    10th -106,155
    11th - 103,529
    12th - 99,503
    13th - 96,501
    14th - 92,966
    15th - 87,724
    16th - 82,977
    17th - 79,317
    18th - 74,094
    19th - 70,436
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  6. #65
    Viva la Rolen kaldaniels's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Just a reminder.

    This is generally speaking but typically Tues-Fri are at or above the 7-day average, while Sat-Mon are usually below. Just due to the lag in reporting on weekends. YMMV with Tues.

    Follow the 7-day average. Compare like-days to like-days. (Ex. This Tues to last Tues)

  7. #66
    Viva la Rolen kaldaniels's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    2 weeks ago (Saturday) the case number on Worldometer was 108k. A week ago it was 87k.

    Lets see how today shakes out. In the 60's would be nice...I'd set the O/U at 70...I'd bet a bit over.

  8. #67
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Very close.... and once they adjust figures you may end up right. 69,617

    Seven Day Averages

    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    12th - 254,607
    13th - 250,943
    14th - 244,551
    15th - 236,084
    16th - 228,802
    17th - 222,516
    18th - 212,689
    19th - 204,907
    20th - 197,955
    21st - 192,337
    22nd -184,698
    23rd - 180,135
    24th - 175,239
    25th - 175,473
    26th - 172,222
    27th - 167,963
    28th - 163,753
    29th - 160,376
    30th - 156,350
    31st - 151,857
    1st - 148,380
    2nd - 143,101
    3rd - 136,489
    4th - 130,933
    5th - 125,533
    6th - 120,227
    7th - 117,373
    8th - 112,622
    9th - 110,243
    10th -108,039
    11th - 105,527
    12th - 101,421
    13th - 98,367
    14th - 94,829
    15th - 89,421
    16th - 84,687
    17th - 81,020
    18th - 75,768
    19th - 72,707
    20th - 70,121

    As an aside.... there were some serious recalculation of the numbers. Somebody dumped a lot of cases into the numbers that had to allocated.
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  9. #68
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Very low number today 57,198. Death number pretty low also. Yesterdays did end up at 71,369

    Seven Day Averages

    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    12th - 254,607
    13th - 250,943
    14th - 244,551
    15th - 236,084
    16th - 228,802
    17th - 222,516
    18th - 212,689
    19th - 204,907
    20th - 197,955
    21st - 192,337
    22nd -184,698
    23rd - 180,135
    24th - 175,239
    25th - 175,473
    26th - 172,222
    27th - 167,963
    28th - 163,753
    29th - 160,376
    30th - 156,350
    31st - 151,857
    1st - 148,380
    2nd - 143,101
    3rd - 136,489
    4th - 130,933
    5th - 125,533
    6th - 120,227
    7th - 117,373
    8th - 112,622
    9th - 110,243
    10th -108,039
    11th - 105,527
    12th - 101,421
    13th - 98,367
    14th - 94,829
    15th - 89,421
    16th - 84,687
    17th - 81,020
    18th - 75,768
    19th - 72,707
    20th - 70,371
    21st - 69,002
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  10. #69
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Another low number today 59,257. The 7 day average actually went up a touch even though today's number was lower then the average. Last week we had a REALLY low number as the blizzard coincided with a holiday.

    Seven Day Averages

    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    12th - 254,607
    13th - 250,943
    14th - 244,551
    15th - 236,084
    16th - 228,802
    17th - 222,516
    18th - 212,689
    19th - 204,907
    20th - 197,955
    21st - 192,337
    22nd -184,698
    23rd - 180,135
    24th - 175,239
    25th - 175,473
    26th - 172,222
    27th - 167,963
    28th - 163,753
    29th - 160,376
    30th - 156,350
    31st - 151,857
    1st - 148,380
    2nd - 143,101
    3rd - 136,489
    4th - 130,933
    5th - 125,533
    6th - 120,227
    7th - 117,373
    8th - 112,622
    9th - 110,243
    10th -108,039
    11th - 105,527
    12th - 101,421
    13th - 98,367
    14th - 94,829
    15th - 89,437
    16th - 84,696
    17th - 81,033
    18th - 75,773
    19th - 72,719
    20th - 70,431
    21st - 69,235
    22nd - 69,528
    Last edited by JaxRed; 02-23-2021 at 12:11 AM.
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  11. #70
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    A higher day today. 71,054. Big number might have been some catch-up. Second day in a row the average has inched up.

    Seven Day Averages

    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    12th - 254,607
    13th - 250,943
    14th - 244,551
    15th - 236,084
    16th - 228,802
    17th - 222,516
    18th - 212,689
    19th - 204,907
    20th - 197,955
    21st - 192,337
    22nd -184,698
    23rd - 180,135
    24th - 175,239
    25th - 175,473
    26th - 172,222
    27th - 167,963
    28th - 163,753
    29th - 160,376
    30th - 156,350
    31st - 151,857
    1st - 148,380
    2nd - 143,101
    3rd - 136,489
    4th - 130,933
    5th - 125,533
    6th - 120,227
    7th - 117,373
    8th - 112,622
    9th - 110,243
    10th -108,039
    11th - 105,527
    12th - 101,421
    13th - 98,367
    14th - 94,829
    15th - 89,437
    16th - 84,696
    17th - 81,033
    18th - 75,773
    19th - 72,719
    20th - 70,431
    21st - 69,235
    22nd - 69,579
    23rd - 70,255
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  12. #71
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    We are definitely in a little plateau. 75,299 today. 7 Day average creeps up for a third day

    Seven Day Averages

    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    12th - 254,607
    13th - 250,943
    14th - 244,551
    15th - 236,084
    16th - 228,802
    17th - 222,516
    18th - 212,689
    19th - 204,907
    20th - 197,955
    21st - 192,337
    22nd -184,698
    23rd - 180,135
    24th - 175,239
    25th - 175,473
    26th - 172,222
    27th - 167,963
    28th - 163,753
    29th - 160,376
    30th - 156,350
    31st - 151,857
    1st - 148,380
    2nd - 143,101
    3rd - 136,489
    4th - 130,933
    5th - 125,533
    6th - 120,227
    7th - 117,373
    8th - 112,622
    9th - 110,243
    10th -108,039
    11th - 105,527
    12th - 101,421
    13th - 98,367
    14th - 94,829
    15th - 89,437
    16th - 84,696
    17th - 81,033
    18th - 75,773
    19th - 72,719
    20th - 70,431
    21st - 69,235
    22nd - 69,579
    23rd - 70,484
    24th - 70,868
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  13. #72
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    The plateau continues 77,377

    7 Day average creeps up for a 4th day

    Seven Day Averages

    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    12th - 254,607
    13th - 250,943
    14th - 244,551
    15th - 236,084
    16th - 228,802
    17th - 222,516
    18th - 212,689
    19th - 204,907
    20th - 197,955
    21st - 192,337
    22nd -184,698
    23rd - 180,135
    24th - 175,239
    25th - 175,473
    26th - 172,222
    27th - 167,963
    28th - 163,753
    29th - 160,376
    30th - 156,350
    31st - 151,857
    1st - 148,380
    2nd - 143,101
    3rd - 136,489
    4th - 130,933
    5th - 125,533
    6th - 120,227
    7th - 117,373
    8th - 112,622
    9th - 110,243
    10th -108,039
    11th - 105,527
    12th - 101,421
    13th - 98,367
    14th - 94,829
    15th - 89,437
    16th - 84,696
    17th - 81,033
    18th - 75,773
    19th - 72,719
    20th - 70,431
    21st - 69,235
    22nd - 69,579
    23rd - 70,484
    24th - 70,715
    25th - 71,412
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  14. #73
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    The plateau continues 80,625

    7 Day average down touch because of 85K spike one week ago,

    Seven Day Averages

    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    12th - 254,607
    13th - 250,943
    14th - 244,551
    15th - 236,084
    16th - 228,802
    17th - 222,516
    18th - 212,689
    19th - 204,907
    20th - 197,955
    21st - 192,337
    22nd -184,698
    23rd - 180,135
    24th - 175,239
    25th - 175,473
    26th - 172,222
    27th - 167,963
    28th - 163,753
    29th - 160,376
    30th - 156,350
    31st - 151,857
    1st - 148,380
    2nd - 143,101
    3rd - 136,489
    4th - 130,933
    5th - 125,533
    6th - 120,227
    7th - 117,373
    8th - 112,622
    9th - 110,243
    10th -108,039
    11th - 105,527
    12th - 101,421
    13th - 98,367
    14th - 94,829
    15th - 89,437
    16th - 84,696
    17th - 81,033
    18th - 75,779
    19th - 72,724
    20th - 70,434
    21st - 69,240
    22nd - 69,585
    23rd - 70,490
    24th - 70,722
    25th - 71,610
    26th - 71,050
    Last edited by JaxRed; 02-26-2021 at 11:59 PM.
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  15. #74
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Finally a down day. 64,320. It is a weekend, though.

    7 Day average down touch because of 85K spike one week ago,

    Seven Day Averages

    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    12th - 254,607
    13th - 250,943
    14th - 244,551
    15th - 236,084
    16th - 228,802
    17th - 222,516
    18th - 212,689
    19th - 204,907
    20th - 197,955
    21st - 192,337
    22nd -184,698
    23rd - 180,135
    24th - 175,239
    25th - 175,473
    26th - 172,222
    27th - 167,963
    28th - 163,753
    29th - 160,376
    30th - 156,350
    31st - 151,857
    1st - 148,380
    2nd - 143,101
    3rd - 136,489
    4th - 130,933
    5th - 125,533
    6th - 120,227
    7th - 117,373
    8th - 112,622
    9th - 110,243
    10th -108,039
    11th - 105,527
    12th - 101,421
    13th - 98,367
    14th - 94,829
    15th - 89,437
    16th - 84,696
    17th - 81,033
    18th - 75,779
    19th - 72,724
    20th - 70,434
    21st - 69,240
    22nd - 69,584
    23rd - 70,637
    24th - 70,899
    25th - 71,713
    26th - 71,278
    27th - 70,221
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

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  17. #75
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    A really low number today. 49,412 It is a weekend, though. But it's been a good couple days/

    7 Day average to 68,693, it's lowest point in this decline.

    Seven Day Averages

    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    12th - 254,607
    13th - 250,943
    14th - 244,551
    15th - 236,084
    16th - 228,802
    17th - 222,516
    18th - 212,689
    19th - 204,907
    20th - 197,955
    21st - 192,337
    22nd -184,698
    23rd - 180,135
    24th - 175,239
    25th - 175,473
    26th - 172,222
    27th - 167,963
    28th - 163,753
    29th - 160,376
    30th - 156,350
    31st - 151,857
    1st - 148,380
    2nd - 143,101
    3rd - 136,489
    4th - 130,933
    5th - 125,533
    6th - 120,227
    7th - 117,373
    8th - 112,622
    9th - 110,243
    10th -108,039
    11th - 105,527
    12th - 101,421
    13th - 98,367
    14th - 94,829
    15th - 89,437
    16th - 84,696
    17th - 81,033
    18th - 75,779
    19th - 72,724
    20th - 70,434
    21st - 69,244
    22nd - 69,588
    23rd - 70,642
    24th - 70,904
    25th - 71,719
    26th - 71,283
    27th - 70,252
    28th - 68,693
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"


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