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Thread: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

  1. #136
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Well, a very bad number. 80,161. I can't remember the last time we were in the 80's. Three states were essentially 8,000 or above. NY and Michigan as you might suspect and Florida all of a sudden. Florida had been slowly rising. I looked to see if there was any explanation like a backlog of cases but saw nothing. Tomorrow's Florida numbers will be interesting.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,548

    April
    1st - 66,975
    2nd - 66,455
    3rd - 66,673
    4th - 66,071
    5th - 65,723
    6th - 65,582
    7th - 66,271
    8th - 66,677
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"


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  3. #137
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Well, an even worse number. 85,368. Three states were essentially 8,000 or above. NY and Michigan averaged 9,000 and Florida over 7K again. Pennsylvania getting hot.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,548

    April
    1st - 66,975
    2nd - 66,455
    3rd - 66,673
    4th - 66,071
    5th - 65,723
    6th - 65,582
    7th - 66,271
    8th - 66,677
    9th - 68,352
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  4. #138
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    A lot lower number today. Probably because of weekend. Three states were averged 7,000 or above. NY and Michigan and Florida.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,548

    April
    1st - 66,975
    2nd - 66,455
    3rd - 66,673
    4th - 66,071
    5th - 65,723
    6th - 65,582
    7th - 66,292
    8th - 66,719
    9th - 68,416
    10th - 67,906
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  5. #139
    Member Sea Ray's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Quote Originally Posted by JaxRed View Post
    A lot lower number today. Probably because of weekend. Three states were averged 7,000 or above. NY and Michigan and Florida.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,548

    April
    1st - 66,975
    2nd - 66,455
    3rd - 66,673
    4th - 66,071
    5th - 65,723
    6th - 65,582
    7th - 66,292
    8th - 66,719
    9th - 68,416
    10th - 67,906
    I'm seeing Florida as showing 5954 for a 7 day average for C19 cases:

    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...vid-cases.html

    Florida bottomed out at about 4500 cases (7 day avg) so this spike is mild. Florida peaked at about 18K in January

    Michigan bottomed out at about 1000 cases in late Feb and their 7 day avg now of 7253 is only about a thousand under their peak in mid December. What's more alarming is that Michigan has less than half the people as Florida. Unless your source is far different than the NY Times, I don't think we can lump those two states together in a discussion of spikes at this time. There's no comparison

  6. #140
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    A decent number today. 56,696. Weekend number. Average almost up to 70K now.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,548

    April
    1st - 66,975
    2nd - 66,455
    3rd - 66,673
    4th - 66,071
    5th - 65,723
    6th - 65,582
    7th - 66,292
    8th - 66,719
    9th - 68,415
    10th - 68,823
    11th - 69,994
    Last edited by JaxRed; 04-12-2021 at 11:23 PM.
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  7. #141
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    A decent number today. 56,522. Still a weekend effect? Florida reported really low number. Average almost up to 70K now.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,548

    April
    1st - 66,975
    2nd - 66,455
    3rd - 66,673
    4th - 66,071
    5th - 65,723
    6th - 65,582
    7th - 66,292
    8th - 66,719
    9th - 68,455
    10th - 68,750
    11th - 70,144
    12th - 69,926
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  8. #142
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    A really bad day in Bedrock. 77,720. Florida made up for their real low number yesterday by putting up 9K today. Hopefully that's really 2 days rolled into one and not 'new normal'. Not to be outdone Michigan throws up a 10K number.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,548

    April
    1st - 66,975
    2nd - 66,455
    3rd - 66,673
    4th - 66,071
    5th - 65,723
    6th - 65,582
    7th - 66,292
    8th - 66,719
    9th - 68,455
    10th - 68,782
    11th - 70,177
    12th - 70,064
    13th - 72,262
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  9. #143
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Another bad day in Bedrock. 78,439. Michigan leads with 9K. Florida, NY and Pennsylvania over 6k.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,548

    April
    1st - 66,975
    2nd - 66,455
    3rd - 66,673
    4th - 66,071
    5th - 65,723
    6th - 65,582
    7th - 66,292
    8th - 66,719
    9th - 68,455
    10th - 68,782
    11th - 70,177
    12th - 70,064
    13th - 72,262
    14th - 72,688
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  10. #144
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Another day in the 70's. Nice if you are talking about the weather. Not nice for Covid - 74,479. Michigan. NY , Florida, and Pennsylvania lead. 7 Day average actually went down.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,548

    April
    1st - 66,975
    2nd - 66,455
    3rd - 66,673
    4th - 66,071
    5th - 65,723
    6th - 65,582
    7th - 66,292
    8th - 66,719
    9th - 68,455
    10th - 68,782
    11th - 70,177
    12th - 70,064
    13th - 72,262
    14th - 72,751
    15th - 71,919
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  11. #145
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Guess I shouldn't have complained about the 70's. Now we are in the 80's. - 81,773. Stop me if you've heard this before but Michigan is worst. Closing in on 10,000 by itself. Florida becoming a problem again at 7,296.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,548

    April
    1st - 66,975
    2nd - 66,455
    3rd - 66,673
    4th - 66,071
    5th - 65,723
    6th - 65,582
    7th - 66,292
    8th - 66,719
    9th - 68,455
    10th - 68,782
    11th - 70,177
    12th - 70,064
    13th - 72,262
    14th - 72,751
    15th - 71,919
    16th - 71,363
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  12. #146
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Lower number for the weekend. - 63,581. NY the highest at over 8,000. Not sure how but average has come down 3 days in a row.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,548

    April
    1st - 66,975
    2nd - 66,455
    3rd - 66,673
    4th - 66,071
    5th - 65,723
    6th - 65,582
    7th - 66,292
    8th - 66,719
    9th - 68,455
    10th - 68,782
    11th - 70,177
    12th - 70,064
    13th - 72,265
    14th - 72,886
    15th - 72,090
    16th - 71,566
    17th - 70,282
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  13. #147
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Very low number for the weekend. - 47,766. Temporarily the 14th stands as a peak.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,548

    April
    1st - 66,975
    2nd - 66,455
    3rd - 66,673
    4th - 66,071
    5th - 65,723
    6th - 65,582
    7th - 66,292
    8th - 66,719
    9th - 68,455
    10th - 68,782
    11th - 70,177
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,834
    15th - 71,997
    16th - 71,441
    17th - 70,186
    18th - 68,806
    Last edited by JaxRed; 04-19-2021 at 04:17 PM.
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  14. #148
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Pretty low number for a Monday - 51,650. The 14th stands as a peak. 5 straight dowm days.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,548

    April
    1st - 66,975
    2nd - 66,455
    3rd - 66,673
    4th - 66,071
    5th - 65,723
    6th - 65,582
    7th - 66,292
    8th - 66,719
    9th - 68,455
    10th - 68,782
    11th - 70,177
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    15th - 71,998
    16th - 71,447
    17th - 71,300
    18th - 70,454
    19th - 69,695
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  15. #149
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Another relatively low number - 60,317. The 14th stands as a peak. 6 straight down days.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,548

    April
    1st - 66,975
    2nd - 66,455
    3rd - 66,673
    4th - 66,071
    5th - 65,723
    6th - 65,582
    7th - 66,292
    8th - 66,719
    9th - 68,455
    10th - 68,782
    11th - 70,177
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    15th - 71,998
    16th - 71,447
    17th - 71,300
    18th - 70,455
    19th - 69,697
    20th - 67,151
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  16. #150
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Another relatively low number - 65,057. The 14th stands as a peak. 7 straight down days.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,548

    April
    1st - 66,975
    2nd - 66,455
    3rd - 66,673
    4th - 66,071
    5th - 65,723
    6th - 65,582
    7th - 66,292
    8th - 66,719
    9th - 68,455
    10th - 68,782
    11th - 70,177
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    15th - 72,000
    16th - 71,447
    17th - 71,301
    18th - 70,455
    19th - 69,697
    20th - 67,226
    21st - 65,239
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"


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