Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

[JaxRed]

Well, a very bad number. 80,161. I can't remember the last time we were in the 80's. Three states were essentially 8,000 or above. NY and Michigan as you might suspect and Florida all of a sudden. Florida had been slowly rising. I looked to see if there was any explanation like a backlog of cases but saw nothing. Tomorrow's Florida numbers will be interesting.

Seven Day Averages

Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473

Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588

Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
23rd - 58,036
24th - 58,556
25th - 59,167
26th - 60,743
27th - 61,990
28th - 62,685
29th - 64,678
30th - 65,074
31st - 65,548

April
1st - 66,975
2nd - 66,455
3rd - 66,673
4th - 66,071
5th - 65,723
6th - 65,582
7th - 66,271
8th - 66,677

[JaxRed]

Well, an even worse number. 85,368. Three states were essentially 8,000 or above. NY and Michigan averaged 9,000 and Florida over 7K again. Pennsylvania getting hot.

Seven Day Averages

Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473

Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588

Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
23rd - 58,036
24th - 58,556
25th - 59,167
26th - 60,743
27th - 61,990
28th - 62,685
29th - 64,678
30th - 65,074
31st - 65,548

April
1st - 66,975
2nd - 66,455
3rd - 66,673
4th - 66,071
5th - 65,723
6th - 65,582
7th - 66,271
8th - 66,677
9th - 68,352

[JaxRed]

A lot lower number today. Probably because of weekend. Three states were averged 7,000 or above. NY and Michigan and Florida.

Seven Day Averages

Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473

Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588

Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
23rd - 58,036
24th - 58,556
25th - 59,167
26th - 60,743
27th - 61,990
28th - 62,685
29th - 64,678
30th - 65,074
31st - 65,548

April
1st - 66,975
2nd - 66,455
3rd - 66,673
4th - 66,071
5th - 65,723
6th - 65,582
7th - 66,292
8th - 66,719
9th - 68,416
10th - 67,906

[Sea Ray]

A lot lower number today. Probably because of weekend. Three states were averged 7,000 or above. NY and Michigan and Florida.

Seven Day Averages

Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473

Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588

Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
23rd - 58,036
24th - 58,556
25th - 59,167
26th - 60,743
27th - 61,990
28th - 62,685
29th - 64,678
30th - 65,074
31st - 65,548

April
1st - 66,975
2nd - 66,455
3rd - 66,673
4th - 66,071
5th - 65,723
6th - 65,582
7th - 66,292
8th - 66,719
9th - 68,416
10th - 67,906

I'm seeing Florida as showing 5954 for a 7 day average for C19 cases:

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...vid-cases.html

Florida bottomed out at about 4500 cases (7 day avg) so this spike is mild. Florida peaked at about 18K in January

Michigan bottomed out at about 1000 cases in late Feb and their 7 day avg now of 7253 is only about a thousand under their peak in mid December. What's more alarming is that Michigan has less than half the people as Florida. Unless your source is far different than the NY Times, I don't think we can lump those two states together in a discussion of spikes at this time. There's no comparison

[JaxRed]

A decent number today. 56,696. Weekend number. Average almost up to 70K now.

Seven Day Averages

Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473

Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588

Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
23rd - 58,036
24th - 58,556
25th - 59,167
26th - 60,743
27th - 61,990
28th - 62,685
29th - 64,678
30th - 65,074
31st - 65,548

April
1st - 66,975
2nd - 66,455
3rd - 66,673
4th - 66,071
5th - 65,723
6th - 65,582
7th - 66,292
8th - 66,719
9th - 68,415
10th - 68,823
11th - 69,994

[JaxRed]

A decent number today. 56,522. Still a weekend effect? Florida reported really low number. Average almost up to 70K now.

Seven Day Averages

Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473

Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588

Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
23rd - 58,036
24th - 58,556
25th - 59,167
26th - 60,743
27th - 61,990
28th - 62,685
29th - 64,678
30th - 65,074
31st - 65,548

April
1st - 66,975
2nd - 66,455
3rd - 66,673
4th - 66,071
5th - 65,723
6th - 65,582
7th - 66,292
8th - 66,719
9th - 68,455
10th - 68,750
11th - 70,144
12th - 69,926

[JaxRed]

A really bad day in Bedrock. 77,720. Florida made up for their real low number yesterday by putting up 9K today. Hopefully that's really 2 days rolled into one and not 'new normal'. Not to be outdone Michigan throws up a 10K number.

Seven Day Averages

Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473

Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588

Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
23rd - 58,036
24th - 58,556
25th - 59,167
26th - 60,743
27th - 61,990
28th - 62,685
29th - 64,678
30th - 65,074
31st - 65,548

April
1st - 66,975
2nd - 66,455
3rd - 66,673
4th - 66,071
5th - 65,723
6th - 65,582
7th - 66,292
8th - 66,719
9th - 68,455
10th - 68,782
11th - 70,177
12th - 70,064
13th - 72,262

[JaxRed]

Another bad day in Bedrock. 78,439. Michigan leads with 9K. Florida, NY and Pennsylvania over 6k.

Seven Day Averages

Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473

Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588

Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
23rd - 58,036
24th - 58,556
25th - 59,167
26th - 60,743
27th - 61,990
28th - 62,685
29th - 64,678
30th - 65,074
31st - 65,548

April
1st - 66,975
2nd - 66,455
3rd - 66,673
4th - 66,071
5th - 65,723
6th - 65,582
7th - 66,292
8th - 66,719
9th - 68,455
10th - 68,782
11th - 70,177
12th - 70,064
13th - 72,262
14th - 72,688

[JaxRed]

Another day in the 70's. Nice if you are talking about the weather. Not nice for Covid - 74,479. Michigan. NY , Florida, and Pennsylvania lead. 7 Day average actually went down.

Seven Day Averages

Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473

Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588

Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
23rd - 58,036
24th - 58,556
25th - 59,167
26th - 60,743
27th - 61,990
28th - 62,685
29th - 64,678
30th - 65,074
31st - 65,548

April
1st - 66,975
2nd - 66,455
3rd - 66,673
4th - 66,071
5th - 65,723
6th - 65,582
7th - 66,292
8th - 66,719
9th - 68,455
10th - 68,782
11th - 70,177
12th - 70,064
13th - 72,262
14th - 72,751
15th - 71,919

[JaxRed]

Guess I shouldn't have complained about the 70's. Now we are in the 80's. - 81,773. Stop me if you've heard this before but Michigan is worst. Closing in on 10,000 by itself. Florida becoming a problem again at 7,296.

Seven Day Averages

Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473

Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588

Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
23rd - 58,036
24th - 58,556
25th - 59,167
26th - 60,743
27th - 61,990
28th - 62,685
29th - 64,678
30th - 65,074
31st - 65,548

April
1st - 66,975
2nd - 66,455
3rd - 66,673
4th - 66,071
5th - 65,723
6th - 65,582
7th - 66,292
8th - 66,719
9th - 68,455
10th - 68,782
11th - 70,177
12th - 70,064
13th - 72,262
14th - 72,751
15th - 71,919
16th - 71,363

[JaxRed]

Lower number for the weekend. - 63,581. NY the highest at over 8,000. Not sure how but average has come down 3 days in a row.

Seven Day Averages

Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473

Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588

Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
23rd - 58,036
24th - 58,556
25th - 59,167
26th - 60,743
27th - 61,990
28th - 62,685
29th - 64,678
30th - 65,074
31st - 65,548

April
1st - 66,975
2nd - 66,455
3rd - 66,673
4th - 66,071
5th - 65,723
6th - 65,582
7th - 66,292
8th - 66,719
9th - 68,455
10th - 68,782
11th - 70,177
12th - 70,064
13th - 72,265
14th - 72,886
15th - 72,090
16th - 71,566
17th - 70,282

[JaxRed]

Very low number for the weekend. - 47,766. Temporarily the 14th stands as a peak.

Seven Day Averages

Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473

Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588

Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
23rd - 58,036
24th - 58,556
25th - 59,167
26th - 60,743
27th - 61,990
28th - 62,685
29th - 64,678
30th - 65,074
31st - 65,548

April
1st - 66,975
2nd - 66,455
3rd - 66,673
4th - 66,071
5th - 65,723
6th - 65,582
7th - 66,292
8th - 66,719
9th - 68,455
10th - 68,782
11th - 70,177
12th - 70,102
13th - 72,314
14th - 72,834
15th - 71,997
16th - 71,441
17th - 70,186
18th - 68,806

[JaxRed]

Pretty low number for a Monday - 51,650. The 14th stands as a peak. 5 straight dowm days.

Seven Day Averages

Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473

Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588

Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
23rd - 58,036
24th - 58,556
25th - 59,167
26th - 60,743
27th - 61,990
28th - 62,685
29th - 64,678
30th - 65,074
31st - 65,548

April
1st - 66,975
2nd - 66,455
3rd - 66,673
4th - 66,071
5th - 65,723
6th - 65,582
7th - 66,292
8th - 66,719
9th - 68,455
10th - 68,782
11th - 70,177
12th - 70,102
13th - 72,314
14th - 72,845
15th - 71,998
16th - 71,447
17th - 71,300
18th - 70,454
19th - 69,695

[JaxRed]

Another relatively low number - 60,317. The 14th stands as a peak. 6 straight down days.

Seven Day Averages

Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473

Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588

Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
23rd - 58,036
24th - 58,556
25th - 59,167
26th - 60,743
27th - 61,990
28th - 62,685
29th - 64,678
30th - 65,074
31st - 65,548

April
1st - 66,975
2nd - 66,455
3rd - 66,673
4th - 66,071
5th - 65,723
6th - 65,582
7th - 66,292
8th - 66,719
9th - 68,455
10th - 68,782
11th - 70,177
12th - 70,102
13th - 72,314
14th - 72,845
15th - 71,998
16th - 71,447
17th - 71,300
18th - 70,455
19th - 69,697
20th - 67,151

[JaxRed]

Another relatively low number - 65,057. The 14th stands as a peak. 7 straight down days.

Seven Day Averages

Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473

Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588

Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
23rd - 58,036
24th - 58,556
25th - 59,167
26th - 60,743
27th - 61,990
28th - 62,685
29th - 64,678
30th - 65,074
31st - 65,548

April
1st - 66,975
2nd - 66,455
3rd - 66,673
4th - 66,071
5th - 65,723
6th - 65,582
7th - 66,292
8th - 66,719
9th - 68,455
10th - 68,782
11th - 70,177
12th - 70,102
13th - 72,314
14th - 72,845
15th - 72,000
16th - 71,447
17th - 71,301
18th - 70,455
19th - 69,697
20th - 67,226
21st - 65,239