And that peak will not vary much if at all based on whether masks are mandated. It'll run its course regardlessOriginally Posted by Todd Gack
And that peak will not vary much if at all based on whether masks are mandated. It'll run its course regardless
The rising fastest states are all now in the South (mostly). Nevada is in that group too.
29th raw number 99,470. After backfills, probably over 100K.
Seven Day Averages -
Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473
Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588
Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
29th - 64,678
April
5th - 65,723
12th - 70,102
13th - 72,314
14th - 72,845
19th - 69,697
26th - 58,371
May
3rd - 50,806
10th - 40,395
17th - 32,081
24th - 25,405
31st - 18,881
June
7th - 15,686
14th - 13,189
21st - 12.048
28th - 12,605
July
5th - 13,854
12th - 21,984
17th - 33,588
18th - 35,306
19th - 37,145
20th - 39,266
21st - 42,792
22nd - 46,484
23rd - 50,629
24th - 54,100
25th - 56,976
26th - 59,557
27th - 64,228
28th - 67,971
29th - 72,462
30th - 76,386
Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"
https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php
30th did end up over 100K. I'm posting a couple days behind to ensure more complete numbers. Florida in particular is running late and they are worst state.
Seven Day Averages -
Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473
Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588
Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
29th - 64,678
April
5th - 65,723
12th - 70,102
13th - 72,314
14th - 72,845
19th - 69,697
26th - 58,371
May
3rd - 50,806
10th - 40,395
17th - 32,081
24th - 25,405
31st - 18,881
June
7th - 15,686
14th - 13,189
21st - 12.048
28th - 12,605
July
5th - 13,854
12th - 21,984
17th - 33,588
18th - 35,306
19th - 37,145
20th - 39,266
21st - 42,792
22nd - 46,484
23rd - 50,629
24th - 54,100
25th - 56,976
26th - 59,557
27th - 64,228
28th - 67,971
29th - 72,923
30th - 77,120
31st - 78,924
Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"
https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php
Seven Day Averages -
Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473
Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588
Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
29th - 64,678
April
5th - 65,723
12th - 70,102
13th - 72,314
14th - 72,845
19th - 69,697
26th - 58,371
May
3rd - 50,806
10th - 40,395
17th - 32,081
24th - 25,405
31st - 18,881
June
7th - 15,686
14th - 13,189
21st - 12.048
28th - 12,605
July
5th - 13,854
12th - 21,984
17th - 33,588
18th - 35,306
19th - 37,145
20th - 39,266
21st - 42,792
22nd - 46,484
23rd - 50,629
24th - 54,100
25th - 56,976
26th - 59,557
27th - 64,228
28th - 67,971
29th - 72,923
30th - 77,153
31st - 80,531
August
1st - 80,743
Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"
https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php
Sorry, meant to post in this thread:
Looks like Alabama has peaked already. Shorter than last year's wave there. Look for Florida to start peaking in about 3-4 days. Maybe early next week? Texas will probably be another week or so behind (5-10 days).
After the South calms down, I'm assuming Great Lakes states would be the next. California is starting another wave too so we'll see how big that gets.
No peak seen yet. Raw numbers on 3rd and 4th both over 100K. 4th is 112,279 (before all the numbers roll in)
Seven Day Averages -
Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473
Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588
Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
29th - 64,678
April
5th - 65,723
12th - 70,102
13th - 72,314
14th - 72,845
19th - 69,697
26th - 58,371
May
3rd - 50,806
10th - 40,395
17th - 32,081
24th - 25,405
31st - 18,881
June
7th - 15,686
14th - 13,189
21st - 12.048
28th - 12,605
July
5th - 13,854
12th - 21,984
17th - 33,588
18th - 35,306
19th - 37,145
20th - 39,266
21st - 42,792
22nd - 46,484
23rd - 50,629
24th - 54,100
25th - 56,976
26th - 59,557
27th - 64,228
28th - 67,971
29th - 72,923
30th - 77,153
31st - 81,836
August
1st - 85,100
2nd - 88,897
Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"
https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php
Which site are you looking at for state by state? I'd be interested in checking it out.
https://covidestim.org/
If you look at the Rt graphs, you can see all the Sun Belt are peaking or have already peaked while the upper midwest/Great Lakes are still rising. Doesn't mean cases won't peak, but the growth rate is slowing.
Last edited by Todd Gack; 08-05-2021 at 10:50 AM.
bing (08-05-2021)
I'm not seeing that Alabama has peaked. What day are you seeing as their peak?
bing (08-05-2021)
Again, it's not cases. . . yet. Click on the "Effective Reproductions" tab. The rate of infections is decreasing meaning the case count will soon decrease.
No peak seen yet. 7 Day averages hit 100K
Seven Day Averages -
Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473
Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588
Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
29th - 64,678
April
5th - 65,723
12th - 70,102
13th - 72,314
14th - 72,845
19th - 69,697
26th - 58,371
May
3rd - 50,806
10th - 40,395
17th - 32,081
24th - 25,405
31st - 18,881
June
7th - 15,686
14th - 13,189
21st - 12.048
28th - 12,605
July
5th - 13,854
12th - 21,984
17th - 33,588
18th - 35,306
19th - 37,145
20th - 39,266
21st - 42,792
22nd - 46,484
23rd - 50,629
24th - 54,100
25th - 56,976
26th - 59,557
27th - 64,228
28th - 67,971
29th - 72,923
30th - 77,153
31st - 81,836
August
1st - 85,100
2nd - 88,897
3rd - 92,835
4th - 97,092
5th - 100,236
Last edited by JaxRed; 08-05-2021 at 11:45 PM.
Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"
https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php
No peak seen yet. 7 Day averages hit 105K
Seven Day Averages -
Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473
Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588
Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
29th - 64,678
April
5th - 65,723
12th - 70,102
13th - 72,314
14th - 72,845
19th - 69,697
26th - 58,371
May
3rd - 50,806
10th - 40,395
17th - 32,081
24th - 25,405
31st - 18,881
June
7th - 15,686
14th - 13,189
21st - 12.048
28th - 12,605
July
5th - 13,854
12th - 21,984
17th - 33,588
18th - 35,306
19th - 37,145
20th - 39,266
21st - 42,792
22nd - 46,484
23rd - 50,629
24th - 54,100
25th - 56,976
26th - 59,557
27th - 64,228
28th - 67,971
29th - 72,923
30th - 77,153
31st - 81,836
August
1st - 85,100
2nd - 88,897
3rd - 93,324
4th - 97,725
5th - 101,556
6th - 105,346
Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"
https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php
No peak seen yet. 7 Day averages hit 117K
Seven Day Averages -
Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473
Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588
Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
29th - 64,678
April
5th - 65,723
12th - 70,102
13th - 72,314
14th - 72,845
19th - 69,697
26th - 58,371
May
3rd - 50,806
10th - 40,395
17th - 32,081
24th - 25,405
31st - 18,881
June
7th - 15,686
14th - 13,189
21st - 12.048
28th - 12,605
July
5th - 13,854
12th - 21,984
17th - 33,588
18th - 35,306
19th - 37,145
20th - 39,266
21st - 42,792
22nd - 46,484
23rd - 50,629
24th - 54,100
25th - 56,976
26th - 59,557
27th - 64,228
28th - 67,971
29th - 72,923
30th - 77,153
31st - 81,836
August
1st - 85,100
2nd - 88,897
3rd - 93,324
4th - 97,725
5th - 101,626
6th - 105,620
7th - 109,897
8th - 114,234
9th - 117,956
Last edited by JaxRed; 08-11-2021 at 01:02 AM.
Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"
https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php
No peak seen yet. 7 Day averages hit 129K
Seven Day Averages -
Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473
Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588
Mar
1st - 69,309
8th - 59,152
15th - 55,835
22nd - 57,008
29th - 64,678
April
5th - 65,723
12th - 70,102
13th - 72,314
14th - 72,845
19th - 69,697
26th - 58,371
May
3rd - 50,806
10th - 40,395
17th - 32,081
24th - 25,405
31st - 18,881
June
7th - 15,686
14th - 13,189
21st - 12.048
28th - 12,605
July
5th - 13,854
12th - 21,984
17th - 33,588
18th - 35,306
19th - 37,145
20th - 39,266
21st - 42,792
22nd - 46,484
23rd - 50,629
24th - 54,100
25th - 56,976
26th - 59,557
27th - 64,228
28th - 67,971
29th - 72,923
30th - 77,153
31st - 81,836
August
1st - 85,100
2nd - 88,897
3rd - 93,324
4th - 97,725
5th - 101,626
6th - 105,620
7th - 109,897
8th - 114,234
9th - 117,354
10th - 120,132
11th - 123,598
12th - 129,067
Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"
https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php
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